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Afry AB (AFXXF)

NEUTRAL
IndustrialsEngineering & ConstructionSweden

Fundamental

69

Price

$103.10

Market Cap

$11.63B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

AFRY is a Swedish engineering, design and advisory firm. It does not manufacture anything: it sells the expertise of roughly 18,000 engineers and consultants to clients building power plants, factories, roads, buildings and transport systems. Its work spans planning, technical design and project management for the energy transition and for industrial and infrastructure projects across the Nordics and internationally.

How it makes money

Revenue comes from billing clients for consulting hours and project work, either at hourly rates or as fixed-price contracts for a defined scope. Profitability depends heavily on utilization — how much of each consultant's time is billed to a client rather than idle — rather than on selling more of a physical product. Public-sector and utility clients tend to give a steadier project pipeline than industrial clients, whose spending follows their own capital-investment cycles.

Revenue by segment

Industry44.8%

Engineering and advisory work for industrial clients across sectors such as forestry, mining, chemicals and manufacturing.

Transportation & Places35.9%

Design and planning for buildings, cities, roads and rail and other transport infrastructure.

Energy22%

Engineering for power generation, grids and renewable-energy projects, tied to the broader energy transition.

What drives demand

Cyclical

AFRY's order book follows its clients' capital-spending plans: when industrial companies and utilities are confident enough to commit to new plants, grids or factories, they hire engineering firms to design them, and when that confidence drops, projects are delayed or shelved. Full-year 2025 net sales fell as clients navigated what the company itself described as market uncertainty across several of its business areas.

The case for

Buyers argue that the energy transition and infrastructure renewal across the Nordics and Europe give AFRY a long runway of engineering work, and that its scale and breadth across Energy, Industry and Transportation & Places let it win large projects that smaller specialist firms cannot staff alone.

The case against

Sellers fear that a consulting business has little pricing power when client capital spending slows, as the 2025 sales decline showed, and that profitability rises and falls with staff utilization rates that management does not fully control once demand softens.

Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Generated on August 23, 2026 with claude-opus-5 — shared with all users

Sweco AB (publ)SWEC B

Sweco is AFRY's closest Nordic rival, bidding for the same engineering, architecture and infrastructure design assignments from the same public authorities, utilities and property clients in Sweden, Finland, Norway and Denmark.

Ramboll Group A/SNot tracked

Ramboll, foundation-owned and based in Copenhagen, competes with AFRY across the whole Nordic region for engineering, environmental and energy consulting mandates, and increasingly for the same work in the rest of Europe.

Rejlers AB (publ)REJL B

Rejlers sells technical consulting in electrical power, automation and industrial engineering to the same Swedish, Finnish and Norwegian energy and industry clients that make up AFRY's Energy and Industry divisions.

Norconsult ASANORCO

Norconsult competes head-on with AFRY for community planning, transport infrastructure and building design contracts in Norway and Sweden, where both firms bid on the same public tenders.

COWI A/SNot tracked

COWI, the Danish foundation-owned consultancy, overlaps with AFRY on bridges, water, energy and industrial engineering projects across the Nordics and in international infrastructure work.

WSP Global Inc.WSP

WSP runs one of Sweden's largest engineering consultancies and competes with AFRY for infrastructure, buildings and environmental design work both in the Nordics and on international projects.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$24.22B

Trailing 12 months to the last reported quarter — estimated from per-share metrics

Net Income

$761M

Trailing 12 months to the last reported quarter — estimated from per-share metrics

Free Cash Flow

$2.49B

Total Equity

$12.27B

Total Liabilities

$7.30B

Current Ratio

1.03

Interest Coverage

-

Debt/EBITDA

3.94

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

Fairly Valued

Fair Value

$120.22

Current Price

$103.10

Margin of Safety

+14.2%

Fair Value Range

$78.14 - $162.29

Estimation Methods

Analyst Target:$132.17
DCF:$280.81
PE-based:$65.76
Graham Growth:$52.21
EPV:$91.39
Analyst Consensus:Strong Buy (9B / 3H / 0S)
Last Earnings Surprise:-25.41%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

14.72

ROE

6.3%

P/B Ratio

0.92

P/FCF

4.50

Gross Margin

79.3%

ROIC

5.9%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

5.9%

WACC

6.5%

ROIC − WACC

-0.6 pp

ROIC is roughly in line with the cost of capital — the company is barely covering its capital cost.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (15)

  • ROIC 5.9%
  • Gross Margin 79.3%
  • P/FCF 4.50
  • P/B Ratio 0.92
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 5.5%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 6.3%
  • Analyst Consensus 75% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 3.13

Failed (5)

  • Price CAGR -4.13%
  • ROE 6.3%
  • Earnings Surprise avg -23.9%
  • Net Margin Trend 3.1% vs 4.5%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

Unavailable (7)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-Score

2/9

Serious financial concerns

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

3.13

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

-

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Ms. Linda PalssonPresident & CEO51
Mr. Bo SandstromExecutive VP & CFO50
Ebba VassalloHead of Investor Relations-
Ms. Susan GustafssonExecutive VP & Group General Counsel52
Ms. Prima GamukamaCompliance & Ethics Officer-
Mr. Henrik TegnerEVP of Commercial & Communications55
Daniela SpetzEVP of Corporate Development and M&A35
Sara KlingenborgExecutive VP of People & Culture52
Mr. Nicholas OksanenEVP of Global Division Industry58
Helena PaulssonHead of Urban Development-

Audit Risk

2

Board Risk

4

Compensation Risk

8

Shareholder Rights Risk

8

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Latest News

Recent headlines for AFXXF, sourced from Markets Gazette.

No recent news for AFXXF.