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Alcon Inc. (ALC)

NEUTRAL
HealthcareMedical Instruments & SuppliesSwitzerland

Fundamental

37

Price

$73.24

Market Cap

$35.41B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Alcon makes products for eye care: surgical equipment and disposable supplies used in cataract and vitreoretinal operations, plus contact lenses and eye drops sold over the counter and through optometrists. Spun off from Novartis in 2019 and domiciled in Switzerland, it is one of the largest companies focused solely on the eye, selling to surgeons, hospitals and eye-care practitioners worldwide.

How it makes money

The Surgical segment follows a razor-and-blade pattern: Alcon sells or places a surgical console or laser once, then earns recurring revenue for years from the consumables, lenses and service that surgeons must keep buying to use it. Vision Care behaves more like a consumer-health business, with contact lenses and eye drops repurchased regularly through optometrists and retail.

Revenue by segment

Surgical56.3%

Cataract and vitreoretinal surgical equipment, intraocular lenses (implantables) and the consumables surgeons use with them.

Vision Care43.7%

Contact lenses and ocular-health products such as lubricating eye drops, sold through optometrists and retail rather than surgeons.

Competitive moat

Switching costs · Narrow

Once a surgical practice is set up around Alcon's consoles, lens formulas and diagnostic tools, moving to a rival platform means retraining staff and requalifying equipment, which keeps buyers locked into Alcon's consumables. The advantage is real but not exclusive: Johnson & Johnson Vision, Bausch + Lomb and Zeiss compete for the same installed-base strategy.

What drives demand

Defensive

Most Surgical revenue tracks cataract surgery volumes, which are driven by an aging population and are rarely postponable once vision is impaired, so demand holds up better than in most medtech categories during downturns. Vision Care is a bit more discretionary but still tied to a recurring need rather than a one-off purchase.

Key risks

  • Reliance on single-source suppliers — The company relies on global supply chains and, for some components, on single-source suppliers; a disruption at one of them can halt production of a device or lens line with no quick substitute.
  • Exposure to China and volatile markets — Alcon flags an increasingly challenging economic, political and legal environment in China as a risk factor, alongside broader exposure to currency and political volatility in the emerging markets where it sells.
  • Cybersecurity and data privacy — The company cites cybersecurity and cloud-migration vulnerabilities, and the complexity of complying with data-privacy rules across the many jurisdictions where it operates, as ongoing risks to its business.
  • Competition from large medtech rivals — Alcon competes against large, well-resourced eye-care and medical-device companies that can match its research spending and pursue the same installed-base strategy, pressuring both pricing and market share.

The case for

Buyers argue that Alcon's installed base of roughly 28,000 surgical systems locks in years of recurring consumables revenue, that cataract surgery demand is structurally supported by an aging population, and that new product launches keep growth ahead of the broader eye-care market.

The case against

Sellers fear that reliance on single-source suppliers and a difficult China environment could disrupt supply or demand with little warning, and that well-funded rivals pursuing the same installed-base strategy will eventually compress the pricing power that the consumables model depends on.

Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on August 23, 2026 with claude-opus-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 64.8Score: 55Market cap: $14.87B

CooperVision is a pure contact-lens rival named by both companies in their annual reports, disputing the same spherical, toric and multifocal lens prescriptions through the same optician and optometrist channel.

Bausch + Lomb CorporationBLCO

Alcon names Bausch & Lomb as a primary competitor in both of its segments, so the two go head to head across cataract surgery equipment and intraocular lenses as well as contact lenses and eye drops sold to the same eye-care professionals.

Johnson & Johnson (Johnson & Johnson Vision / Acuvue)JNJ

Its Johnson & Johnson Vision arm is the other global player Alcon names in both surgical and vision care, competing directly on premium intraocular lenses and, with the Acuvue brand, on daily disposable contact lenses.

Carl Zeiss Meditec AGAFX

Listed first among Alcon's surgical competitors, Zeiss sells the ophthalmic surgical platforms, refractive lasers and diagnostic systems that compete for the same capital budgets of cataract and refractive surgery clinics.

Hoya Corporation (ホーヤ株式会社)7741

Hoya's Vision Care and medical divisions compete with Alcon on intraocular lenses implanted in cataract surgery, with particular strength in Japan and the rest of Asia.

Glaukos CorporationGKOS

Glaukos is the specialist rival Alcon names in surgical glaucoma, selling the micro-stents implanted during cataract surgery that compete directly with Alcon's own glaucoma devices for the same surgeons.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$224M

Trailing 12 months (through 3/31/2013)

Net Income

$-40M

Trailing 12 months (through 3/31/2013)

Free Cash Flow

-

Total Equity

$278M

Total Liabilities

$238M

Current Ratio

0.18

Interest Coverage

-

Debt/EBITDA

2.20

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

Overvalued

Fair Value

$43.57

Current Price

$73.24

Margin of Safety

-68.1%

Fair Value Range

$28.32 - $58.82

Estimation Methods

Analyst Target:$85.24
DCF:$22.88
PE-based:$24.54
Graham Growth:$21.33
EPV:$18.31
Analyst Consensus:Buy (16B / 2H / 2S)
Last Earnings Surprise:+3.41%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

44.50

ROE

-9.4%

P/B Ratio

132.11

P/FCF

-

Gross Margin

-

ROIC

-13.2%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

-13.2%

WACC

8.8%

ROIC − WACC

-22.0 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (6)

  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 8.8%
  • Analyst Consensus 80% Buy
  • Share Dilution -0.3%

Failed (11)

  • Price CAGR 3.84%
  • ROIC -13.2%
  • P/B Ratio 132.11
  • Operating Margin -24.4%
  • Current Ratio
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • ROE 3.7%
  • Earnings Surprise avg 2.3%
  • Net Margin Trend -17.8% vs 10.6%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

Unavailable (10)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)

Piotroski F-Score

2/9

Serious financial concerns

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

-

Low quality: investigate accounting

Share Dilution

-0.3%

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. David J. EndicottCEO & Director60
Mr. Timothy C. StonesiferSenior VP & CFO58
Mr. Ian BellSenior VP & COO54
Margaret BuckleyChief Accounting Officer-
Dr. Franck Leveiller Ph.D.SVP of Global Research & Development and Chief Scientific Officer-
Mr. Muru MurugappanSenior VP and Chief Information & Transformation Officer-
Mr. Daniel CravensVice President of Investor Relations-
Mr. Royce R. Bedward J.D.Senior VP, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary59
Ms. Kimberly MartinSenior VP and Chief HR & Corporate Communications50
Mr. Leon Sergio Duplan FraustroSenior VP & President of Americas57

Audit Risk

9

Board Risk

4

Compensation Risk

3

Shareholder Rights Risk

1

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Latest News

Recent headlines for ALC, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 2/25/2026NEUTRAL
    Alcon (ALC) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

    Markets Gazette announces the availability of the Alcon (ALC) Q4 2025 earnings call transcript. This routine event for publicly traded companies provides investors and analysts with a detailed account of discussions between management and the financial community. While the specific content of the results and projections has not yet been disclosed in this announcement, the publication of the transcript is a crucial step for transparency and in-depth analysis of the company's performance. Market participants are now awaiting to examine the details to assess Alcon's financial health, future prospects, and potential impact on its stock price. The earnings call typically covers revenues, profits, margins, guidance, and future strategies, all critical elements for investment decisions.

via Markets Gazette