Auto Trader Group plc (ATDRF)
NEUTRALFundamental
59
Price
$549.20
Market Cap
$4.18B
Part 1 · What the company is worth
Overview
Auto Trader runs the UK's largest online marketplace for buying and selling cars, listing vehicles from independent and franchised dealers alongside private sellers. It does not buy or sell cars itself, or take a cut of each sale; instead it charges dealers a subscription to advertise their stock and offers tools like valuations, finance and part-exchange that plug into that marketplace. Its scale — most UK car buyers start their search there — is the product it sells to dealers.
How it makes money
Almost all revenue comes from dealers paying a recurring subscription for the right to advertise their vehicles on Auto Trader, priced by how many cars a dealer lists and what extra products (finance leads, data tools) they add on top — not from a fee per car sold. A much smaller slice comes from consumer-facing services and from manufacturers and agencies advertising new-vehicle stock, rather than from private individuals paying to list a single car.
Revenue by segment
Subscription fees from independent and franchised car dealers advertising their stock, the core of the business.
Smaller revenue from consumer-facing tools and from manufacturers and agencies advertising new-vehicle stock on the platform.
Competitive moat
Network effects · WideBuyers go to Auto Trader because it lists the most cars; dealers advertise there because that is where the buyers already are. Auto Trader accounts for over 75% of time spent on UK automotive classified sites and is roughly ten times larger than its nearest competitor, a gap that is hard to close because a rival marketplace with fewer buyers attracts fewer dealer listings, and vice versa.
What drives demand
Moderately cyclicalRevenue depends less on how many cars change hands in the UK than on how many dealers keep paying to advertise, so even a slow used-car market does not hit Auto Trader as directly as it hits a dealer. Demand is still tied to the health of the UK car market and to consumer confidence more broadly.
Key risks
- Competition from disruptive technology — The company names failure to keep up with new technology and changing consumer behaviour, such as new ways of buying cars, as a principal risk to its dominant position.
- Regulatory and tax changes — New rules such as the UK's Digital Services Tax already cut into profit, recognising a £10.2 million charge in FY2025, and further regulatory change could add further costs.
- Legal and regulatory compliance — The company operates under consumer protection, data and advertising regulation, and non-compliance in any of these areas is named as a principal risk.
- Brand and reputation — Much of Auto Trader's value rests on being the trusted place to search for a car; anything that damages consumer trust in its listings or data could weaken that position quickly.
The case for
Buyers argue that Auto Trader's marketplace advantage is close to unassailable — ten times the scale of its nearest rival and the large majority of UK car-shopping attention — and that its subscription model means revenue holds up even when the number of cars actually changing hands slows down.
The case against
Sellers worry that new digital taxes and regulation are already eating into margins, that any technology shift in how people shop for cars could erode an advantage built for the current way of searching, and that a marketplace this dominant invites scrutiny from regulators and dealers pushing back on pricing power.
Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated on August 23, 2026 with claude-opus-5 — shared with all users
Its cargurus.co.uk marketplace sells dealer advertising subscriptions in Britain on the same model as Auto Trader, and the UK is one of the markets where it is actively adding dealer accounts.
It is the UK's second-largest used-car classified marketplace, selling the same listing packages to the same franchised and independent dealers Auto Trader depends on, and competing for the same car buyers.
It competes for the same UK dealer marketing budgets, generating new-car enquiries and running a Sell My Car auction that takes part-exchange and private-seller stock Auto Trader also wants.
Its motors section is the main free alternative for UK private sellers and also sells paid dealer packages, competing with Auto Trader for both listings and buyer traffic.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Revenue
$571M
Trailing 12 months to the last reported quarter — estimated from per-share metrics
Net Income
$265M
Trailing 12 months to the last reported quarter — estimated from per-share metrics
Free Cash Flow
$244M
Total Equity
$385M
Total Liabilities
$211M
Current Ratio
1.73
Interest Coverage
-
Debt/EBITDA
0.52
Earnings Per Share
Revenue & Net Income
Free Cash Flow
Income Breakdown
Historical statement
Margins over time
Debt over time
How heavy the debt is
Growth grid
Growth — Revenue
Fair Value Estimation
Fair Value
$194.13
Current Price
$549.20
Margin of Safety
-182.9%
Fair Value Range
$126.18 - $262.07
Estimation Methods
Valuation Metrics
P/E Ratio
1592.48
ROE
60.2%
P/B Ratio
1096.64
P/FCF
1713.33
Gross Margin
79.1%
ROIC
51.4%
Profitability Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
51.4%
WACC
7.6%
ROIC − WACC
+43.8 pp
ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.
Fundamental Analysis Criteria
Passed (12)
- ROIC 51.4%
- Gross Margin 79.1%
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 62.9%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- Current Ratio
- Debt/EBITDA
- ROE 60.5%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 18.9%
- PEG Ratio 0.67
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.10
- Net Margin Trend 47.1% vs 47.0%
Failed (9)
- Price CAGR 2.95%
- P/FCF 1713.33
- P/B Ratio 1096.64
- CapEx intensity
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- Analyst Consensus 36% Buy
- Earnings Surprise avg -4.5%
- Piotroski F-Score 2/9
Unavailable (6)
- EPS data insufficient
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Interest Coverage
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Share Dilution (missing shares data)
Piotroski F-Score
Serious financial concerns
Earnings Quality
High quality: earnings backed by cash
Share Dilution
Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly
Governance
Executive Team
| Name | Title | Age |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Nathan James Coe | CEO & Executive Director | 47 |
| Mr. James Jonathan Warner C.M.A. | CFO & Director | 41 |
| Mr. Chris Kelly | Chief Technology Officer | - |
| Ms. Alison Ross | Chief People & Operations Director | 51 |
| Ms. Karolina Edwards-Smajda | Chief Product Officer | - |
| Ms. Claire V. Baty | Company Secretary & Director of Governance | - |
Audit Risk
2
Board Risk
1
Compensation Risk
2
Shareholder Rights Risk
1
Part 2 · The price and when to enter
This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.
Latest News
Recent headlines for ATDRF, sourced from Markets Gazette.