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Auto Trader Group plc (ATDRF)

NEUTRAL
Communication ServicesInternet Content & InformationUnited Kingdom

Fundamental

59

Price

$549.20

Market Cap

$4.18B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Auto Trader runs the UK's largest online marketplace for buying and selling cars, listing vehicles from independent and franchised dealers alongside private sellers. It does not buy or sell cars itself, or take a cut of each sale; instead it charges dealers a subscription to advertise their stock and offers tools like valuations, finance and part-exchange that plug into that marketplace. Its scale — most UK car buyers start their search there — is the product it sells to dealers.

How it makes money

Almost all revenue comes from dealers paying a recurring subscription for the right to advertise their vehicles on Auto Trader, priced by how many cars a dealer lists and what extra products (finance leads, data tools) they add on top — not from a fee per car sold. A much smaller slice comes from consumer-facing services and from manufacturers and agencies advertising new-vehicle stock, rather than from private individuals paying to list a single car.

Revenue by segment

Trade90.1%

Subscription fees from independent and franchised car dealers advertising their stock, the core of the business.

Consumer Services and Manufacturer & Agency9.9%

Smaller revenue from consumer-facing tools and from manufacturers and agencies advertising new-vehicle stock on the platform.

Competitive moat

Network effects · Wide

Buyers go to Auto Trader because it lists the most cars; dealers advertise there because that is where the buyers already are. Auto Trader accounts for over 75% of time spent on UK automotive classified sites and is roughly ten times larger than its nearest competitor, a gap that is hard to close because a rival marketplace with fewer buyers attracts fewer dealer listings, and vice versa.

What drives demand

Moderately cyclical

Revenue depends less on how many cars change hands in the UK than on how many dealers keep paying to advertise, so even a slow used-car market does not hit Auto Trader as directly as it hits a dealer. Demand is still tied to the health of the UK car market and to consumer confidence more broadly.

Key risks

  • Competition from disruptive technology — The company names failure to keep up with new technology and changing consumer behaviour, such as new ways of buying cars, as a principal risk to its dominant position.
  • Regulatory and tax changes — New rules such as the UK's Digital Services Tax already cut into profit, recognising a £10.2 million charge in FY2025, and further regulatory change could add further costs.
  • Legal and regulatory compliance — The company operates under consumer protection, data and advertising regulation, and non-compliance in any of these areas is named as a principal risk.
  • Brand and reputation — Much of Auto Trader's value rests on being the trusted place to search for a car; anything that damages consumer trust in its listings or data could weaken that position quickly.

The case for

Buyers argue that Auto Trader's marketplace advantage is close to unassailable — ten times the scale of its nearest rival and the large majority of UK car-shopping attention — and that its subscription model means revenue holds up even when the number of cars actually changing hands slows down.

The case against

Sellers worry that new digital taxes and regulation are already eating into margins, that any technology shift in how people shop for cars could erode an advantage built for the current way of searching, and that a marketplace this dominant invites scrutiny from regulators and dealers pushing back on pricing power.

Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on August 23, 2026 with claude-opus-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 20.2Score: 74Market cap: —

Its cargurus.co.uk marketplace sells dealer advertising subscriptions in Britain on the same model as Auto Trader, and the UK is one of the markets where it is actively adding dealer accounts.

Cazoo (Motors.co.uk Limited)Not tracked

It is the UK's second-largest used-car classified marketplace, selling the same listing packages to the same franchised and independent dealers Auto Trader depends on, and competing for the same car buyers.

carwow LtdNot tracked

It competes for the same UK dealer marketing budgets, generating new-car enquiries and running a Sell My Car auction that takes part-exchange and private-seller stock Auto Trader also wants.

Gumtree.com LimitedNot tracked

Its motors section is the main free alternative for UK private sellers and also sells paid dealer packages, competing with Auto Trader for both listings and buyer traffic.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$571M

Trailing 12 months to the last reported quarter — estimated from per-share metrics

Net Income

$265M

Trailing 12 months to the last reported quarter — estimated from per-share metrics

Free Cash Flow

$244M

Total Equity

$385M

Total Liabilities

$211M

Current Ratio

1.73

Interest Coverage

-

Debt/EBITDA

0.52

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

Overvalued

Fair Value

$194.13

Current Price

$549.20

Margin of Safety

-182.9%

Fair Value Range

$126.18 - $262.07

Estimation Methods

Analyst Target:$562.06
DCF:$16.39
PE-based:$4.19
Graham Growth:$15.03
EPV:$4.56
Analyst Consensus:Hold (8B / 12H / 2S)
Last Earnings Surprise:-0.06%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

1592.48

ROE

60.2%

P/B Ratio

1096.64

P/FCF

1713.33

Gross Margin

79.1%

ROIC

51.4%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

51.4%

WACC

7.6%

ROIC − WACC

+43.8 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (12)

  • ROIC 51.4%
  • Gross Margin 79.1%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 62.9%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • ROE 60.5%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 18.9%
  • PEG Ratio 0.67
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.10
  • Net Margin Trend 47.1% vs 47.0%

Failed (9)

  • Price CAGR 2.95%
  • P/FCF 1713.33
  • P/B Ratio 1096.64
  • CapEx intensity
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Analyst Consensus 36% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg -4.5%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

Unavailable (6)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-Score

2/9

Serious financial concerns

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

1.10

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

-

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Nathan James CoeCEO & Executive Director47
Mr. James Jonathan Warner C.M.A.CFO & Director41
Mr. Chris KellyChief Technology Officer-
Ms. Alison RossChief People & Operations Director51
Ms. Karolina Edwards-SmajdaChief Product Officer-
Ms. Claire V. BatyCompany Secretary & Director of Governance-

Audit Risk

2

Board Risk

1

Compensation Risk

2

Shareholder Rights Risk

1

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Latest News

Recent headlines for ATDRF, sourced from Markets Gazette.

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