Back to rankings

Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft (BAMXF)

NEUTRAL
Consumer CyclicalAuto ManufacturersGermany

Fundamental

52

Price

$58.00

Market Cap

$34.99B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

BMW designs, manufactures and sells premium cars and motorcycles under the BMW, Mini and Rolls-Royce brands, competing on the higher-margin end of the auto market rather than on volume. Alongside the vehicles themselves, it runs a financial-services arm that leases and finances the cars it sells, which is large enough to be reported as its own division even though its purpose is to support vehicle sales rather than operate independently.

How it makes money

Automotive revenue is booked when a car or motorcycle is delivered to a dealer or customer, at prices that vary widely by model and market and that carry higher margins on premium models than on entry-level ones. Financial Services earns interest and fee income on the loans and leases it writes for BMW buyers, a revenue stream that grows with vehicle sales but is reported and accounted for separately, with meaningful revenue eliminated on consolidation because it overlaps with cars already counted in the automotive figures.

Revenue by segment

Automotive78%

Design, production and sale of BMW, Mini and Rolls-Royce vehicles; the core of the group's revenue and earnings.

Financial Services21%

Loans, leases and insurance products sold alongside vehicle purchases, mainly to support automotive sales.

Motorcycles1.5%

BMW-branded motorcycles, a small and stable niche next to the much larger car business.

Competitive moat

Brand · Narrow

The BMW badge, and Rolls-Royce even more so, allows the company to charge prices well above the cost of an equivalent mass-market car, and brand loyalty keeps many owners buying the same marque repeatedly. It is a narrow rather than wide moat because Mercedes-Benz and Audi offer comparably strong premium brands in the same segments, so BMW is competing among equals rather than standing alone.

What drives demand

Cyclical

Premium vehicles are a large discretionary purchase, so sales rise and fall with consumer confidence and credit conditions more than essential goods do. The company has flagged China specifically as a source of swings in recent periods, where intense local competition and weaker demand pulled deliveries down sharply even while other regions held up better.

Key risks

  • Weakening demand and competition in China — Chinese deliveries fell sharply in 2025 amid intense local competition, and the company has pointed to growing geopolitical tension and volatility in that market as a factor that complicates long-range planning.
  • Tariffs and trade policy — Tariff changes and currency developments were cited as factors that shaped results in 2025 and require flexibility from the organization, given BMW's global manufacturing and export footprint.
  • Financial Services credit exposure — The financial-services division carries credit risk on the loans and leases it writes for vehicle buyers, which rises if economic conditions weaken and customers struggle to make payments.

The case for

Buyers argue that the BMW and Rolls-Royce brands preserve pricing power that mass-market carmakers lack, that weakness in China is cyclical rather than permanent, and that the financial-services arm adds a steadier, fee-like income stream on top of vehicle sales.

The case against

Sellers worry that a 12.5% drop in Chinese deliveries in 2025 reflects a structural loss of ground to local premium and electric-vehicle brands rather than a temporary dip, and that tariffs and currency swings add cost pressure the company cannot fully offset through pricing on a highly discretionary product.

Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$127.11B

Trailing 12 months to the last reported quarter — estimated from per-share metrics

Net Income

$6.18B

Trailing 12 months to the last reported quarter — estimated from per-share metrics

Free Cash Flow

$1.71B

Total Equity

$95.30B

Total Liabilities

$116.79B

Current Ratio

1.15

Interest Coverage

-

Debt/EBITDA

8.47

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

Undervalued

Fair Value

$130.83

Current Price

$58.00

Margin of Safety

+55.7%

Fair Value Range

$85.04 - $176.63

Estimation Methods

Analyst Target:$72.62
DCF:$86.26
PE-based:$76.24
Graham Growth:$365.18
EPV:$110.27
Analyst Consensus:Hold (13B / 12H / 5S)
Last Earnings Surprise:-9.39%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

5.65

ROE

6.6%

P/B Ratio

0.37

P/FCF

20.46

Gross Margin

14.3%

ROIC

2.5%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

2.5%

WACC

2.2%

ROIC − WACC

+0.2 pp

ROIC is roughly in line with the cost of capital — the company is barely covering its capital cost.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (11)

  • P/FCF 20.46
  • P/B Ratio 0.37
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 6.3%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Price below Graham Number
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 6.2%
  • Earnings Surprise avg 2.9%
  • PEG Ratio 0.36
  • Net Margin Trend 5.5% vs 5.1%

Failed (10)

  • Price CAGR -3.51%
  • ROIC 2.5%
  • Gross Margin 14.3%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • ROE 6.6%
  • Analyst Consensus 43% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 0.55
  • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

Unavailable (6)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-Score

1/9

Serious financial concerns

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

0.55

Moderate: some gap between profits and cash

Share Dilution

-

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Dr. Milan NedeljkovicCEO & Chairman of the Management Board56
Mr. Walter MertlMember of Management Board of Finance51
Jochen GollerMember of the Board of Management of Customer, Brands & Sales59
Ms. Ilka HorstmeierPeople, Real Estate & Labour Relations Director and Member of the Board of Management56
Dr. Joachim PostHead of Development & Member of the Board of Management54
Dr. Nicolai MartinMember of the Board of Management and Purchasing & Supplier Network47
Dr. Raymond WittmannMember of the Board of Management47
Mr. Adam SykesHead of Investor Relations-
Dr. Andreas LiepeGeneral Counsel-
Mr. Alexander BilgeriHead of Communication Human Resources, Production, Purchasing & Sustainability50

Audit Risk

9

Board Risk

6

Compensation Risk

1

Shareholder Rights Risk

10

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Latest News

Recent headlines for BAMXF, sourced from Markets Gazette.

No recent news for BAMXF.