Bayer Aktiengesellschaft (BAYRY)
NEUTRALFundamental
60
Price
$49.26
Market Cap
$46.97B
Part 1 · What the company is worth
Overview
Bayer runs three separate businesses under one roof: seeds and crop-protection chemicals sold to farmers, prescription drugs sold through healthcare systems, and over-the-counter health products such as vitamins and pain relievers sold directly to consumers. The three have little in common operationally — different customers, regulators and sales channels — and are grouped together mainly for historical reasons, which is why Bayer has repeatedly weighed splitting them apart.
How it makes money
Crop Science sells seeds and chemicals to farmers and distributors on a seasonal cycle tied to planting calendars, so revenue is lumpy through the year and sensitive to weather and crop prices. Pharmaceuticals earns money when hospitals, pharmacies and health insurers buy prescription drugs, with prices and volumes shaped by each country's reimbursement system rather than by open retail pricing. Consumer Health sells packaged over-the-counter products through retailers at ordinary retail margins, the most straightforward of the three revenue streams.
Revenue by segment
Seeds, herbicides, fungicides and other crop-protection products sold to farmers worldwide; the largest of Bayer's three divisions.
Prescription drugs sold through healthcare systems, covering areas including cardiology, oncology and women's health.
Over-the-counter brands such as vitamins, allergy and pain-relief products sold directly to consumers through retailers.
Competitive moat
Patents and licences · NarrowPatented seed traits and drugs under patent protection give temporary pricing power in Crop Science and Pharmaceuticals, but that protection expires and competitors sell generic or biosimilar equivalents once it does. Consumer Health brands carry some loyalty but compete against store brands and other established names, so none of the three divisions has a durable, wide advantage on its own.
What drives demand
Moderately cyclicalCrop Science demand depends on farmers' planting decisions, which swing with crop prices and weather and can be genuinely cyclical in a bad year. Pharmaceuticals and Consumer Health are steadier, since people keep taking prescribed medicines and buying basic health products in most economic conditions, which offsets some of the agricultural volatility at the group level.
Key risks
- Glyphosate litigation — Bayer carries billions of euros in provisions for lawsuits alleging its glyphosate-based Roundup herbicide causes cancer, and paid roughly $1.3 billion in settlements and judgments in 2025 alone; the final cost of resolving remaining and future claims is still uncertain.
- Patent expirations — Both Crop Science and Pharmaceuticals rely on patent-protected products for their best margins, and once a patent expires generic or biosimilar competitors typically erode price and volume quickly.
- Regulatory and reimbursement risk — Crop-protection products face ongoing regulatory review that can restrict or ban active ingredients in some markets, while pharmaceutical prices depend on reimbursement decisions by governments and insurers that can change with little notice.
The case for
Buyers argue that the glyphosate litigation is closer to its end than its beginning after large settlements were reached, that the pharmaceutical pipeline can refill as older drugs lose patent protection, and that the sum of three global, essential businesses is worth more than the market allows while the legal overhang lasts.
The case against
Sellers worry that litigation costs and provisions could keep growing beyond what has already been set aside, that key drugs face patent cliffs without fully proven replacements, and that running three unrelated global businesses under one roof dilutes management focus compared with more focused pure-play competitors.
Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
No editorial profile for this company yet
No competitor list for this company yet.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Revenue
$45.38B
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Net Income
$-1.74B
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Free Cash Flow
$6.56B
Total Equity
$29.58B
Total Liabilities
$38.43B
Current Ratio
1.04
Interest Coverage
-
Debt/EBITDA
3.79
Earnings Per Share
Revenue & Net Income
Free Cash Flow
Income Breakdown
Historical statement
Margins over time
Debt over time
How heavy the debt is
Growth grid
Growth — Revenue
Fair Value Estimation
Fair Value
$56.13
Current Price
$49.26
Margin of Safety
+12.2%
Fair Value Range
$36.49 - $75.78
Estimation Methods
Valuation Metrics
P/E Ratio
-
ROE
-5.7%
P/B Ratio
1.59
P/FCF
7.16
Gross Margin
60.5%
ROIC
4.8%
Profitability Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
4.8%
WACC
6.2%
ROIC − WACC
-1.4 pp
ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.
Fundamental Analysis Criteria
Passed (10)
- Gross Margin 60.5%
- P/FCF 7.16
- P/B Ratio 1.59
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- Current Ratio
- Debt/EBITDA
- DCF valuation (Undervalued)
- Analyst Consensus 82% Buy
- Earnings Surprise avg 28.3%
Failed (7)
- Price CAGR -7.13%
- ROIC 4.8%
- CapEx intensity
- ROE -6.1%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 1.9%
- Net Margin Trend -7.9% vs -5.5%
- Piotroski F-Score 2/9
Unavailable (10)
- EPS data insufficient
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Operating Margin NaN%
- Interest Coverage
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
- Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)
- Share Dilution (missing shares data)
Piotroski F-Score
Serious financial concerns
Earnings Quality
Low quality: investigate accounting
Share Dilution
Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly
Governance
Executive Team
| Name | Title | Age |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. William N. Anderson | Chairman of the Management Board & CEO | 59 |
| Mr. Stefan Oelrich | President of the Pharmaceuticals Division & Member of the Board of Management | 57 |
| Ms. Heike Prinz | Chief Talent Officer, Labor Director & Member of Management Board | 61 |
| Dr. Judith Hartmann | CFO & Member of Management Board | 56 |
| Mr. Rodrigo Santos | Member of Management Board, Head of the Crop Science Division & President of Crop Science Division | 52 |
| Mr. Julio Triana | Member of Management Board & President of Consumer Health Division | 60 |
| Mr. Alex Buschermohle | Chief Information Officer, Head-Digital Transformation & IT-Crop Science Division | - |
| Ms. Jana Marlen Ackermann | Head of the Investor Relations | 41 |
| Mr. Bill Dodero | General Counsel and Senior VP of Law Patents & Compliance | - |
| Mr. Michael Preuss | Head of Communications, Government Relations and Corporate Brand | - |
Audit Risk
6
Board Risk
1
Compensation Risk
2
Shareholder Rights Risk
1
Part 2 · The price and when to enter
This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.
Latest News
Recent headlines for BAYRY, sourced from Markets Gazette.