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Boralex Inc. (BRLXF)

NEUTRAL
UtilitiesUtilities - RenewableCanada

Fundamental

31

Price

$37.24

Market Cap

-

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Boralex develops, builds and operates renewable power plants — mostly onshore wind, plus hydroelectric dams, solar farms and battery storage — in Canada, France, the United Kingdom and the United States. It is France's largest independent onshore wind producer and one of Canada's larger renewable operators. The company does not sell electricity to households directly; it sells the power its plants generate into wholesale markets or under long-term contracts with utilities and large corporate buyers.

How it makes money

Boralex earns revenue from selling the electricity its wind, hydro, solar and battery assets generate, either at a market price, a government feed-in premium, or a fixed price locked in under a long-term power purchase agreement signed years before a plant is built. Because output depends on how much the wind blows or the sun shines, revenue swings with weather from quarter to quarter even when installed capacity stays flat; 2025 revenue fell 3% despite 8% more electricity produced, mainly on weaker French contract prices.

Competitive moat

No identified moat · None

Electricity is a commodity: a megawatt-hour from Boralex's wind farm is indistinguishable from one produced by a competitor next door, and long-term power contracts are available to any developer with capital, permits and grid access. Boralex's edge is operational — decades of site selection and construction experience — rather than a structural barrier that keeps rivals out.

What drives demand

Defensive

Most of Boralex's output is sold under long-term contracts or government feed-in tariffs that are largely insulated from the broader economic cycle, so revenue depends far more on wind speeds, rainfall and sunshine than on GDP growth or consumer spending. The main swing factor in 2025 was weather-driven production and softer short-term power prices in France, not a change in underlying demand.

The case for

Buyers argue that Boralex's 2030 strategy, backed by $8 billion in planned investment and a project pipeline of 8.2 GW, positions it to double installed capacity by 2030, and that six new plants commissioned in 2025 already show the growth engine is running.

The case against

Sellers fear that falling short-term power prices in France already cut 2025 net earnings by more than half, that renewable projects depend on financing conditions and government contract auctions the company does not control, and that debt taken on to fund $8 billion of growth adds financial risk if power prices stay soft.

Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$898M

Trailing 12 months (through 3/31/2026)

Net Income

$-32M

Trailing 12 months (through 3/31/2026)

Free Cash Flow

-

Total Equity

$1.54B

Total Liabilities

-

Current Ratio

1.24

Interest Coverage

-

Debt/EBITDA

9.23

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

Fairly Valued

Fair Value

$33.03

Current Price

$37.24

Margin of Safety

-12.8%

Fair Value Range

$24.59 - $41.47

Estimation Methods

Analyst Target:$37.25
DCF:-
PE-based:-
Graham Growth:-
EPV:$16.14
Analyst Consensus:Hold (1B / 5H / 5S)
Last Earnings Surprise:-116.76%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

-

ROE

-2.1%

P/B Ratio

2.51

P/FCF

-

Gross Margin

75.6%

ROIC

-

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

-

WACC

3.6%

ROIC − WACC

-

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (5)

  • Price CAGR 6.88%
  • Gross Margin 75.6%
  • P/B Ratio 2.51
  • Current Ratio
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 6.0%

Failed (6)

  • Debt/EBITDA
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • ROE -2.1%
  • Analyst Consensus 9% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg -107.8%
  • Piotroski F-Score 0/9

Unavailable (16)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • ROIC NaN%
  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin NaN%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)
  • Share Dilution (need 2+ years)
  • Net Margin Trend (invalid data)

Piotroski F-Score

0/9

Serious financial concerns

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

-

Low quality: investigate accounting

Share Dilution

-

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Patrick DecostrePresident, CEO & Director52
Mr. Stéphane MilotVice President of Investor Relations and Financial Planning & Analysis-
Mr. Pascal HurtubiseExecutive VP & Chief Legal Officer-
Eric CantinVice President of Corporate Finance-
Ms. Marie-Josée ArsenaultExecutive VP and Chief People & Culture Officer-
Mr. Rabindra Nath MishraDeputy Managing Director of Development Europe-
Mr. Pascal Laprise-DemersSenior Vice President of Corporate Strategy & Business Performance-
Mr. Nicolas MabbouxSenior Vice President of IT and Digital Transformation-
David LettHead of Projects-
Egbert De GrootSenior Vice President of Merger, Acquisitions & Energy Commercialisation of North America-

Audit Risk

9

Board Risk

4

Compensation Risk

2

Shareholder Rights Risk

8

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Latest News

Recent headlines for BRLXF, sourced from Markets Gazette.

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