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C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. (CHRW)

NEUTRAL
IndustrialsIntegrated Freight & LogisticsUnited States

Fundamental

63

Price

$144.56

Market Cap

$16.55B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

C.H. Robinson arranges the movement of other companies' freight without owning any trucks, ships or planes itself. It matches shippers who need cargo moved with a network of independent carriers, handling booking, pricing, paperwork and tracking in between, and earns the spread between what it charges shippers and what it pays carriers. Most of its business is trucking within North America, with a smaller international ocean and air freight arm.

How it makes money

Revenue is the total price charged to shippers for arranging their freight, but profitability comes from the gross margin between that price and what C.H. Robinson pays the carrier — a spread that widens when trucking capacity is tight and narrows when there are more trucks chasing loads than freight to move. Because it owns no transportation assets, its costs scale with volume rather than with fixed fleet ownership, but its margins ride the freight market's boom-and-bust cycle.

Revenue by segment

North American Surface Transportation71.7%

Truckload, less-than-truckload and intermodal freight brokerage across the United States, Canada and Mexico, the company's core business.

Global Forwarding19%

International ocean and air freight forwarding, including customs brokerage, for shippers moving goods across borders.

All Other Segments9.3%

Smaller businesses including produce sourcing and managed transportation services that fall outside the two core segments.

Competitive moat

Network effects · Narrow

A large base of both shippers and carriers gives C.H. Robinson more freight to match and more capacity to draw on than a smaller broker, which can mean better pricing and reliability for both sides. The advantage is narrow because freight brokerage has low barriers to entry and is increasingly contested by digital freight-matching platforms that compete on the same basic function.

What drives demand

Cyclical

Freight volumes move closely with industrial production, retail sales and global trade, so spot rates and margins compress in an economic downturn and expand when the economy and trade are strong. The business is a fairly direct read on broader economic activity rather than a source of steady, non-discretionary demand.

Key risks

  • Freight market cyclicality — Freight demand tends to move with industrial production, retail sales and global trade; volumes and spot rates fall in a downturn, compressing the spread the company earns between shipper and carrier pricing.
  • Dependence on third-party carriers — The company owns no trucks, ships or planes and relies on independent carriers for capacity; an inability to secure enough capacity can push customers toward competitors.
  • Technology disruption — Digital freight-matching platforms and automated routing tools can intensify competition and pressure the fees C.H. Robinson earns for the same brokerage function.
  • International and trade-policy exposure — The Global Forwarding business is exposed to shifts in trade policy, tariffs and geopolitical disruption to shipping routes, and the company recently exited its Europe Surface Transportation business, reflecting ongoing portfolio adjustments abroad.

Customer concentration

Top customers account for 2% of revenue

The company states its largest customer accounted for approximately 2% of 2025 consolidated total revenues, out of roughly 75,000 customers served — an unusually low concentration for the industry.

The case for

Buyers argue that an unusually diversified customer base, with no single client above roughly 2% of revenue, and a large carrier network give C.H. Robinson resilience and pricing flexibility that smaller brokers lack, positioning it to gain share as freight volumes recover.

The case against

Sellers fear that freight brokerage has low barriers to entry and is being reshaped by digital freight-matching technology that erodes the value of a traditional broker's network, while the business remains exposed to the full swing of the freight cycle.

Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$17.00B

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Net Income

$633M

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$895M

Total Equity

$1.85B

Total Liabilities

$3.21B

Current Ratio

1.58

Interest Coverage

-

Debt/EBITDA

2.20

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

Fairly Valued

Fair Value

$162.72

Current Price

$144.56

Margin of Safety

+11.2%

Fair Value Range

$105.76 - $219.67

Estimation Methods

Analyst Target:$199.84
DCF:$225.52
PE-based:$110.53
Graham Growth:$88.72
EPV:$56.38
Analyst Consensus:Buy (23B / 8H / 1S)
Last Earnings Surprise:+3.54%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

27.26

ROE

31.8%

P/B Ratio

10.26

P/FCF

24.96

Gross Margin

-

ROIC

18.3%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

18.3%

WACC

8.8%

ROIC − WACC

+9.6 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (18)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 5.44%
  • Price CAGR 6.82%
  • ROIC 18.3%
  • P/FCF 24.96
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 36.0%
  • Analyst Consensus 72% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 5.9%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.08
  • Share Dilution 0.7%
  • Net Margin Trend 3.7% vs 3.1%
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

Failed (7)

  • P/B Ratio 10.26
  • Operating Margin 4.9%
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 0.0%
  • PEG Ratio 5.13

Unavailable (3)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage

Piotroski F-Score

7/9

Strong financial health

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

1.08

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

0.7%

Share count is stable

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. David P. BozemanPresident, CEO & Director57
Mr. Damon J. LeeChief Financial Officer47
Ms. Dorothy G. CapersChief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary63
Mr. Michael J. ShortPresident of Global Freight Forwarding55
Mr. Arun D. RajanChief Strategy & Innovation Officer56
Mr. Michael W. NeillChief Technology Officer53
Mr. Charles S. IvesSenior Director of Investor Relations53
Mr. Duncan BurnsChief Communications & Marketing Officer48
Ms. Angela K. FreemanChief Human Resources & ESG Officer57
Mr. Jordan T. KassPresident of Managed Services52

Audit Risk

1

Board Risk

3

Compensation Risk

7

Shareholder Rights Risk

8

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Latest News

Recent headlines for CHRW, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 7/14/2026POSITIVE
    The secrets of an unheralded AI success story

    Logistics giant C.H. Robinson has achieved a remarkable 45% productivity increase through the strategic deployment of AI agents, according to CEO Dave Bozeman. This significant operational improvement demonstrates a clear return on investment (ROI) from artificial intelligence initiatives within the company. The success highlights how AI can be effectively integrated into traditional industries like logistics to drive substantial efficiency gains, potentially setting a new benchmark for the sector and signaling strong future performance for C.H. Robinson.

  • 7/6/2026POSITIVE
    C.H. Robinson’s CEO is running his AI transformation on Lean principles: ‘It’s been a game-changer for this company’

    C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. is implementing Lean principles to drive its AI transformation, a strategy described as a 'game-changer' by its CEO. This approach focuses on efficiency and continuous improvement, aiming to optimize processes and resource allocation within the company's artificial intelligence initiatives. By integrating Lean methodologies, C.H. Robinson seeks to enhance the effectiveness and speed of its AI development and deployment, potentially leading to significant operational advantages and competitive differentiation in the logistics sector. Investors may view this strategic focus on operational excellence within AI as a positive indicator for future growth and profitability.

via Markets Gazette