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Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN)

Fair Value
Financial ServicesFinancial Data & Stock ExchangesUnited States

Fundamental

45

Price

$179.39

Market Cap

$47.33B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Coinbase runs an online exchange where people and institutions buy, sell and store cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum. Around that core marketplace it has built a set of subscription and service products — custody for institutions, a Visa debit card, staking, and its own blockchain infrastructure — designed to earn steadier fees regardless of whether crypto prices are rising or falling that day.

How it makes money

Transaction revenue is a fee charged as a percentage of each trade, so it rises and falls sharply with how much people are trading — which itself tracks crypto prices and volatility far more than any steady economic trend. Subscription and services revenue, from custody fees, staking commissions and stablecoin interest, is far steadier because it does not depend on daily trading activity, and Coinbase has been shifting its business mix toward it.

Revenue by segment

Transaction Revenue56.5%

Fees earned on trades placed by retail users and institutions. Moves up and down with crypto trading volume.

Subscription and Services39.4%

Custody fees, staking rewards, stablecoin interest and the Coinbase One subscription — revenue that does not depend on daily trading activity.

Competitive moat

Switching costs · Narrow

Once a customer's crypto holdings, tax records and linked bank accounts sit on Coinbase, moving them to another exchange is enough friction that many do not bother, particularly institutional clients using its custody service. That said, the core trading product is fairly easy to compare on price, and sophisticated traders do split activity across several exchanges.

What drives demand

Cyclical

Trading volume, and with it transaction revenue, rises sharply when crypto prices are rising and enthusiasm is high, and collapses in bear markets when prices fall and interest fades. This is a much steeper cycle than a typical business cycle, driven by sentiment toward a single asset class rather than the broader economy.

Key risks

  • Dependence on crypto trading volume — Transaction revenue still makes up more than half of Coinbase's revenue and falls quickly when crypto prices decline and trading activity dries up, as has happened repeatedly in past cycles.
  • Regulatory uncertainty — The rules governing what counts as a security, how exchanges must be licensed, and what services Coinbase can offer are still being litigated and rewritten across jurisdictions, and an adverse ruling could force product or business changes.
  • Security and custody risk — Coinbase holds customer crypto assets directly, making it a target for hacking and theft; a successful attack on its custody systems would be both a direct financial loss and a blow to customer trust.
  • Competition from other exchanges and platforms — Other crypto exchanges, traditional brokers adding crypto trading, and decentralised platforms all compete for the same trading fees, putting pressure on the prices Coinbase can charge.

The case for

Buyers argue that Coinbase is becoming the regulated, trusted on-ramp of choice as crypto moves further into the mainstream, that subscription and services revenue is steadily reducing dependence on trading volume, and that regulatory clarity, once it arrives, favours an established compliant player over less regulated competitors.

The case against

Sellers fear that revenue still swings with crypto sentiment more than with any durable growth trend, that regulatory outcomes remain genuinely unpredictable, and that cheaper exchanges and brokers erode the fees Coinbase can charge on its core trading business over time.

Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on September 18, 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 48.2Score: 71Market cap: $0

Robinhood sells crypto trading to the same US retail investor Coinbase targets, inside an app that also offers stocks and options, so the two fight for the beginner's first account.

Binance Holdings Ltd.Not tracked

Binance is the largest crypto exchange by trading volume worldwide and takes the same retail and institutional trading fees Coinbase lives on, across nearly every market outside the United States.

Payward, Inc. (Kraken)Not tracked

Kraken is the other large US-regulated spot exchange, competing for the same American and European customers with a comparable custody, staking and trading offer at lower fees.

Gemini Space Station, Inc.GEMI

Gemini is a US-licensed exchange and qualified custodian that courts the same compliance-minded retail and institutional clients as Coinbase, with a similar card, staking and custody line-up.

BullishBLSH

Bullish runs a regulated institutional spot and derivatives venue, competing directly with Coinbase Prime and Coinbase Institutional for the trading flow of funds and market makers.

Foris DAX Asia (Crypto.com)Not tracked

Crypto.com serves the same mass-market retail user with a mobile app, a debit card and staking products, and competes head-on with Coinbase in the US, Europe and Asia.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$6.28B

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Net Income

$-988M

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Free Cash Flow

-

Total Equity

$14.79B

Total Liabilities

$14.88B

Current Ratio

2.42

Interest Coverage

6.92

Debt/EBITDA

4.11

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

General caseFairly Valued

Fair Value

$229.01

Current Price

$179.39

Margin of Safety

+21.7%

Fair Value Range

$210.40 - $247.63

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$212.37
Discounted cash flow (DCF):$249.82
Earnings multiple (P/E):Not enough data to compute it
Graham growth formula:Not enough data to compute it
Earnings power value (EPV):$10.32
Justified P/B:Not enough data to compute it
Dividend discount (Gordon):Not enough data to compute it
P/FFO, funds from operations:$87.88
Mid-cycle earnings:$51.64
Revenue multiple:$62.29
Analyst Consensus:Buy (32B / 10H / 3S)
Last Earnings Surprise:-574.35%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

40.31

ROE

8.5%

P/B Ratio

3.62

P/FCF

-

Gross Margin

-

ROIC

2.5%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

2.5%

WACC

15.9%

ROIC − WACC

-13.4 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (9)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Debt/equity ratio
  • Operating margin 9.9%
  • Current ratio
  • Interest coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Revenue growth 5Y 41.2%
  • Analyst consensus: 71% buy
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

Failed (11)

  • Price CAGR -4.72%
  • ROIC 2.5%
  • P/B ratio 3.62
  • Return on tangible assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • ROE -6.9%
  • Earnings surprise, average -403.7%
  • Share dilution 4.1%
  • Net margin trend -15.7% vs 40.8%

Unavailable (7)

  • Gross margin –
  • P/FCF –
  • Dividend payout –
  • Positive free cash flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • PEG ratio (needs P/E > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income)

Piotroski F-Score

5/9

Mixed signals: some areas need attention

ROA > 0
Operating cash flow > 0
ΔROA > 0
Cash flow > net income
Leverage ↓
Current ratio ↑
No dilution
Gross margin ↑
Asset turnover ↑

Earnings Quality

-

Low quality: investigate accounting

Share Dilution

4.1%

Issuing new shares, diluting ownership

Institutional Holdings

No institutional filings reported for this company.

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Brian ArmstrongCo-Founder, Chairman & CEO42
Ms. Emilie M. ChoiPresident & COO46
Mr. Frederick Ernest Ehrsam IIICo-Founder & Independent Director36
Ms. Alesia Jeanne HaasChief Financial Officer48
Mr. Paul Grewal J.D.Advisor53
Mr. Lawrence J. BrockAdvisor53
Ms. Jennifer N. JonesChief Accounting Officer-
Mr. Rob WitoffChief Technology Officer-
Mr. Anil K. GuptaVice President of Investor Relations-
Molly AbrahamGeneral Counsel & Secretary-

Audit Risk

10

Board Risk

10

Compensation Risk

10

Shareholder Rights Risk

10

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Documents

  • Annual Report (10-K)

    A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.

    Filed on 2026-02-12

    View document
  • Quarterly Report (10-Q)

    A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.

    Filed on 2026-07-30

    View document
  • Current Report (8-K)

    An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.

    Filed on 2026-10-02

    View document

via SEC EDGAR

Income History

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for COIN, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 3d agoPOSITIVE
    Coinbase And Samsung Bring USDC Directly Into Samsung Wallet

    Coinbase has partnered with Samsung to integrate its USD Coin (USDC) stablecoin directly into Samsung Wallet. This integration, launching in the final week of October, will be available on 82 million compatible Galaxy devices in the United States. Coinbase Prime will handle the custody of USDC, and users will be able to send funds to crypto wallets and bank accounts in over 60 countries. This move significantly expands the accessibility and utility of USDC, potentially driving adoption and transaction volume for Coinbase's services.

  • 3d agoNEUTRAL
    Coinbase Will Halt Sports Prediction Contracts In Michigan After State Deal

    Coinbase Financial Markets will cease offering new sports prediction contracts in Michigan by October 10, 2026, and will close all existing positions by the same date. This agreement with Michigan authorities allows the state to refrain from enforcement actions as long as Coinbase complies. However, the broader regulatory question of whether states can oversee federally registered event contracts remains unsettled. This development impacts Coinbase's derivatives offerings in a specific market, but the core business and its regulatory standing are not fundamentally altered by this localized agreement.

  • 4d agoPOSITIVE
    Coinbase brings global crypto derivatives liquidity to US with Deribit integration

    Coinbase has announced a strategic integration with Deribit, a leading crypto derivatives exchange. This partnership will grant US institutional investors access to Deribit's extensive liquidity in options and perpetual futures markets. Further expansion to include US retail clients is anticipated later this year. This move is significant as it bridges a gap in the US market for sophisticated crypto derivatives trading, potentially attracting substantial institutional capital and increasing trading volumes on Coinbase's platform. The integration is expected to enhance Coinbase's product offering and solidify its position as a key player in the digital asset ecosystem.

  • 12d agoPOSITIVE
    Citi And Coinbase Bring Stablecoin Payments Into Corporate Banking

    Coinbase and Citi have deepened their collaboration, integrating stablecoin payments into corporate banking services. This new infrastructure allows Citi clients to receive payments in stablecoins, with Coinbase handling the blockchain transactions and conversion to fiat currency. Additionally, Coinbase's business clients gain access to Citi-powered virtual accounts that seamlessly manage conversions between fiat and stablecoins. This strategic move by Coinbase aims to enhance its institutional offerings and drive adoption of digital asset payments within the traditional finance sector, potentially boosting transaction volumes and revenue.

  • 13d agoPOSITIVE
    Crypto Market Update: Citi Partners with Coinbase on Stablecoins

    Citigroup is partnering with Coinbase Global to enable institutional clients to accept stablecoin payments from retail customers. Coinbase will provide the blockchain technology and convert stablecoins to fiat before Citigroup settles the transactions. This collaboration expands on a previous partnership that streamlined fiat pay-ins and pay-outs. Citigroup also expanded its token services network to Japan and the UAE. This news is positive for Coinbase as it integrates traditional finance with crypto, potentially increasing transaction volume and adoption of its services.

  • 17d agoPOSITIVE
    Coinbase Pushes Gold And Silver Trading Toward Always-On Markets

    Coinbase is expanding its derivatives offerings into precious metals, launching gold and silver perpetual futures for non-US traders and aiming for 24/7 availability of regulated US gold and silver futures through Coinbase Derivatives. This move aligns with Coinbase's 'everything exchange' strategy, leveraging crypto-style derivatives to provide exposure to gold and silver markets. The expansion into traditional assets via digital-native products could attract new user segments and increase trading volume, potentially boosting Coinbase's revenue streams and market position.

  • 18d agoNEGATIVE
    Crypto Firm Coinbase Dropped as Member of UK Finance Lobby Group

    Coinbase Global Inc. has been removed from UK Finance, a key British financial services lobby group, despite the growing importance of digital assets in policy discussions. This exclusion could signal a lack of full integration or support within traditional financial circles in the UK, potentially impacting Coinbase's ability to influence regulatory frameworks and market access. For investors, this development may raise concerns about the company's standing and advocacy power in a crucial market, potentially affecting its long-term growth prospects and regulatory navigation.

  • 20d agoPOSITIVE
    Coinbase Opens IPO Allocations To US Retail Traders Starting With Oura

    Coinbase is expanding its financial services beyond cryptocurrency by enabling eligible US retail customers to request allocations in Initial Public Offerings (IPOs) directly through its app. This new service, facilitated by Coinbase Capital Markets, allows users to submit Conditional Offers to Buy at the IPO price before public trading begins. The first IPO available is Oura. Coinbase's allocation process includes incentives for longer-term participation, such as a 30-day holding requirement to discourage immediate flipping, with penalties for early sales. This move positions Coinbase as a competitor to traditional retail brokerages, integrating IPO access into its existing digital asset platform and potentially driving user engagement and revenue diversification.

via Markets Gazette