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IRPC Public Company Limited (IRPSY)

POSITIVE
EnergyOil & Gas Refining & MarketingThailand

Fundamental

68

Price

$2.42

Market Cap

$51.43B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

IRPC refines crude oil into fuels and turns some of that output into petrochemicals, at an integrated site in Thailand that is the country's second-largest refinery, with capacity of about 215,000 barrels a day. It also sells lubricants, asphalt and plastics such as polyethylene and polypropylene. The company is majority-linked to Thailand's national oil company PTT, which owns roughly 45% of it and supplies its crude oil.

How it makes money

Revenue comes from selling refined fuels, petrochemicals and related products at market prices, so profit depends on the spread between the cost of crude oil and the price of what comes out the other end — a margin that swings with global oil and petrochemical markets rather than being set by the company. PTT supplies essentially all of its crude, but at market price rather than at a discount, so ownership does not translate into a lower input cost.

Competitive moat

No identified moat · None

IRPC buys its main input, crude oil, at market price even from its own parent company, and sells fuels and basic petrochemicals that are largely undifferentiated commodities priced on global markets. Being Thailand's second-largest refiner gives it local scale, but not a cost or pricing advantage over other refiners exposed to the same crude and product prices.

What drives demand

Cyclical

As a refiner and petrochemical producer, results move with global crude oil prices and refining margins, which swing with the broader economy, energy demand and regional refining capacity — not with any steady, non-discretionary consumption pattern.

The case for

Buyers argue that being tied to PTT, Thailand's national oil company and a roughly 45% owner, gives IRPC funding support and credit-rating uplift in stressed periods, and that its position as the country's second-largest, fully integrated refining-and-petrochemical complex is not easily replicated.

The case against

Sellers fear that buying crude at market price even from its own parent leaves IRPC with no cost advantage, that refining and petrochemical margins are set by volatile global markets outside its control, and that a commodity business with no pricing power offers little protection when those margins compress.

Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$283.23B

Trailing 12 months to the last reported quarter — estimated from per-share metrics

Net Income

$5.52B

Trailing 12 months to the last reported quarter — estimated from per-share metrics

Free Cash Flow

$20.46B

Total Equity

$76.40B

Total Liabilities

$67.55B

Current Ratio

1.36

Interest Coverage

-

Debt/EBITDA

2.77

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

Undervalued

Fair Value

$5.93

Current Price

$2.42

Margin of Safety

+59.2%

Fair Value Range

$3.86 - $8.01

Estimation Methods

Analyst Target:$2.03
DCF:$11.69
PE-based:$6.69
Graham Growth:$8.47
EPV:$2.36
Analyst Consensus:Sell (2B / 5H / 12S)
Last Earnings Surprise:+8.21%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

9.32

ROE

14.8%

P/B Ratio

0.70

P/FCF

2.51

Gross Margin

5.8%

ROIC

4.9%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

4.9%

WACC

5.9%

ROIC − WACC

-1.0 pp

ROIC is roughly in line with the cost of capital — the company is barely covering its capital cost.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (12)

  • P/FCF 2.51
  • P/B Ratio 0.70
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • ROE 8.1%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 9.9%
  • Earnings Surprise avg 37.9%
  • Net Margin Trend -1.3% vs -1.6%

Failed (7)

  • Price CAGR -7.06%
  • ROIC 4.9%
  • Gross Margin 5.8%
  • Operating Margin 3.0%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Analyst Consensus 11% Buy
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

Unavailable (8)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-Score

2/9

Serious financial concerns

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

-

Low quality: investigate accounting

Share Dilution

-

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Terdkiat PrommoolPresident, CEO, Secretary & Director58
Ms. Torsang ChaipravatSenior EVP of Corporate Accounting & Finance49
Mr. Lersak ThongruangSenior Executive Vice President of Operation58
Ms. Wanida UtaisomnapaSenior Executive Vice President of Corporate Commercial & Marketing59
Mr. Kraisit AnukoolutaiwongExecutive VP of Corporate People & Organization Effectiveness63
Mr. Thammasak PanyowatkoolExecutive Vice President of Corporate Organization Effectiveness58
Mr. Rathapol UnakanpornExecutive VP of Infrastructure Logistics & Operation Excellence62
Mr. Pranarch KosayanontSenior Executive Vice President of Corporate Strategy Planning & Business Development58
Mr. Poramet JunwichitSenior Executive Vice President of Corporate Organization Effectiveness60
Mr. Apichit WongpanitActing Senior Executive Vice President of Corporate Organization Effectiveness and Digital-

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Latest News

Recent headlines for IRPSY, sourced from Markets Gazette.

No recent news for IRPSY.