Eli Lilly and Company (LLY)
POSITIVEFundamental
72
Price
$1252.50
Market Cap
$1.12T
Part 1 · What the company is worth
Overview
Eli Lilly discovers, develops and sells prescription medicines, concentrating on diabetes and obesity, oncology, immunology and neuroscience. Its current growth is dominated by tirzepatide, the molecule sold as Mounjaro for diabetes and Zepbound for weight loss, which together now account for more than half of company revenue. Drugs reach patients through wholesalers, pharmacies and, increasingly, direct-to-consumer channels for the weight-loss franchise.
How it makes money
Revenue comes almost entirely from selling patented medicines at prices that reflect years of research and clinical-trial spending rather than manufacturing cost. A drug protected by patent can be priced with little direct competition; once patents expire, generic or biosimilar versions typically cut that product's sales sharply within a few years, which is why the pipeline behind today's bestsellers matters as much as the bestsellers themselves.
Revenue by segment
Tirzepatide sold for type 2 diabetes, the single largest product and the fastest-growing major one in 2025.
The rest of the portfolio across diabetes, oncology, immunology and neuroscience, none individually broken out in the annual results.
The same molecule, tirzepatide, sold for chronic weight management — a newer indication already generating more than a fifth of total revenue.
A breast-cancer treatment and the largest product outside the tirzepatide franchise.
Competitive moat
Patents and licences · WidePatents on approved molecules give Lilly years of protection from direct competition, and the regulatory approval process itself is a barrier few companies can clear. The tirzepatide franchise adds a manufacturing edge too: building the capacity to produce injectable GLP-1 drugs at this scale takes years, which is currently limiting how fast even a well-funded rival like Novo Nordisk can respond.
What drives demand
DefensiveMost of the portfolio treats chronic conditions — diabetes, cancer, autoimmune disease — that patients keep treating regardless of the economic cycle. The newer weight-loss business is more exposed to household budgets since much of it is paid out of pocket or with limited insurance coverage, but it still sits on top of an otherwise defensive base.
Key risks
- Patent expiration and biosimilar competition — The company identifies the loss of intellectual-property protection on key products, and the entry of generic or biosimilar competitors once patents expire, as a risk to future revenue.
- Government and payer pricing pressure — Continued pricing pressure from governmental and private payers, including Medicare drug-price negotiation under U.S. law, affects pricing, reimbursement and patient access to Lilly's medicines.
- Concentration in a few products — The company depends on a relatively small number of products and a consolidated supply chain for a significant share of total revenue, so a manufacturing, safety or competitive setback for any one of them has an outsized effect.
The case for
Buyers argue that the tirzepatide franchise still has years of volume growth ahead as obesity treatment expands globally, that manufacturing scale-up gives Lilly a lead over Novo Nordisk that is hard to close quickly, and that a broad pipeline beyond GLP-1 drugs reduces the company's dependence on any single therapeutic area.
The case against
Sellers fear that more than half of revenue now rests on one molecule facing well-capitalized competition and looming price cuts from Novo Nordisk, that government price negotiation will keep compressing margins on older products, and that a business this concentrated in a handful of drugs is unusually exposed to a single clinical, manufacturing or pricing setback.
Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
No editorial profile for this company yet
No competitor list for this company yet.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Revenue
$79.67B
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Net Income
$26.71B
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Free Cash Flow
-
Total Equity
$26.54B
Total Liabilities
$85.94B
Current Ratio
1.35
Interest Coverage
-
Debt/EBITDA
1.32
Earnings Per Share
Revenue & Net Income
Free Cash Flow
Income Breakdown
Historical statement
Margins over time
Debt over time
How heavy the debt is
Growth grid
Growth — Revenue
Fair Value Estimation
Fair Value
$1558.54
Current Price
$1252.50
Margin of Safety
+19.6%
Fair Value Range
$1051.34 - $2065.73
Estimation Methods
Valuation Metrics
P/E Ratio
41.84
ROE
77.8%
P/B Ratio
34.65
P/FCF
-
Gross Margin
83.4%
ROIC
-
Profitability Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
-
WACC
7.7%
ROIC − WACC
-
Fundamental Analysis Criteria
Passed (16)
- EPS shows upward trend
- Price CAGR 32.81%
- Gross Margin 83.4%
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Current Ratio
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- ROE 92.6%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 21.6%
- Analyst Consensus 79% Buy
- Earnings Surprise avg 24.8%
- PEG Ratio 1.56
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.05
- Share Dilution -0.6%
- Net Margin Trend 33.5% vs 25.9%
- Piotroski F-Score 8/9
Failed (4)
- P/B Ratio 34.65
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Unknown)
Unavailable (7)
- ROIC NaN%
- P/FCF NaN
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Operating Margin NaN%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- CapEx intensity
- Interest Coverage
Piotroski F-Score
Strong financial health
Earnings Quality
High quality: earnings backed by cash
Share Dilution
Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly
Governance
Executive Team
| Name | Title | Age |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. David A. Ricks | Chairman, President & CEO | 57 |
| Mr. Lucas E. Montarce | Executive VP & CFO | 48 |
| Dr. Daniel M. Skovronsky M.D., Ph.D. | Chief Scientific & Product Officer and President of Lilly Research Laboratories | 52 |
| Ms. Anat Hakim J.D. | Executive VP, General Counsel & Secretary | 56 |
| Mr. Jacob S. Van Naarden | Executive VP, President of Lilly Oncology & Head of Corporate Business Development | 40 |
| Mr. Donald A. Zakrowski | Senior VP of Finance & Chief Accounting Officer | - |
| Mr. Diogo Rau | Executive VP and Chief Information & Digital Officer | 50 |
| Mr. Michael Czapar | Senior Vice President of Investor Relations | - |
| Mr. Eric Dozier | Executive VP & Chief People Officer | 58 |
| Mr. Ilya Yuffa | Executive VP and President of Lilly USA & Global Customer Capabilities | 50 |
Audit Risk
8
Board Risk
5
Compensation Risk
5
Shareholder Rights Risk
9
Part 2 · The price and when to enter
This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.
Latest News
Recent headlines for LLY, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 13d agoNEGATIVEEli Lilly is suing pharmacies and peptide vendors over early sales of the next big weight-loss drug: retatrutide
Eli Lilly and Company has initiated legal action against pharmacies and peptide vendors accused of prematurely selling compounded versions of its upcoming weight-loss drug, retatrutide. This move aims to protect the integrity of its intellectual property and ensure the drug's eventual regulated release. The lawsuit highlights the intense market anticipation for retatrutide, a drug poised to be a significant player in the lucrative obesity treatment market. For investors, while the legal action may create short-term noise, it underscores Lilly's commitment to safeguarding its pipeline and maximizing the commercial potential of its innovative therapies.
- 14d agoPOSITIVEEli Lilly Surges, Novo Nordisk Slips in Weight-Loss War
Eli Lilly and Company (NYSE:LLY) has reported a significant 48% surge in second-quarter revenue, reaching US$23 billion, driven by its blockbuster GLP-1 weight-loss and diabetes treatments. Sales of Mounjaro and Zepbound combined accounted for nearly 65% of total revenue, with Mounjaro alone seeing a 91% jump. The company has consequently raised its full-year revenue forecast to US$85-87 billion. This strong performance, coupled with a 7% stock increase in early trading, highlights Lilly's robust market position and growth potential in the highly competitive weight-loss drug sector, outperforming rivals like Novo Nordisk.
- 20d agoPOSITIVELilly’s revenue soars 48%, driven by demand for its GLP-1s
Eli Lilly and Company reported a remarkable 48% surge in revenue, significantly exceeding expectations. This growth was primarily fueled by robust demand for its GLP-1 drugs, Mounjaro and Zepbound, which are indicated for Type 2 diabetes and weight loss respectively. The strong performance underscores the increasing market penetration and therapeutic success of Lilly's innovative treatments in high-demand areas. Investors will likely view this as a strong indicator of sustained future earnings growth and market leadership for the pharmaceutical giant.
- 21d agoPOSITIVEEli Lilly Ripe for Stock Split After Obesity Drug-Fueled Rally
Eli Lilly and Company's stock has surged past the $1,000 mark, driven by the sustained success of its weight-loss drugs over the last four years. This significant rally has led to speculation on Wall Street about the possibility of a stock split. A stock split, if enacted, would make the shares more accessible to a broader range of investors by lowering the per-share price, potentially increasing liquidity and demand. This development signals strong underlying business performance and positive future outlook for the pharmaceutical giant.
- 26d agoPOSITIVEInvestors are overlooking healthcare stocks and should consider these top picks, says JPMorgan
JPMorgan analysts highlight healthcare stocks as an overlooked investment opportunity, naming Eli Lilly and Company as a top pick. The bank's analysis suggests that the sector's potential is not fully priced into current valuations. Eli Lilly, a major player in pharmaceuticals with a strong pipeline and recent product successes, is positioned to benefit from this favorable outlook. Investors seeking growth and stability may find healthcare stocks, particularly those with strong fundamentals like Eli Lilly, an attractive addition to their portfolios.
- 26d agoNEUTRALOne of the market’s ‘most durable growth’ sectors has been passed over for AI, says JPMorgan
JPMorgan analysts note that while the market's attention has shifted to Artificial Intelligence, the healthcare sector, particularly pharmaceuticals, remains a 'most durable growth' area. Eli Lilly, AbbVie, and Danaher Corporation are highlighted as top picks within this resilient sector. Despite the broader market's focus on AI, these companies represent established growth opportunities with strong fundamentals. Investors may find these healthcare giants attractive for their stability and long-term growth potential, even if they are currently overshadowed by the AI investment frenzy.
- 7/21/2026NEGATIVENovo Nordisk sues Eli Lilly over ads comparing GLP-1 medications
Novo Nordisk has filed a lawsuit against Eli Lilly, alleging that Lilly's advertisements for its GLP-1 medications fail to include the most current clinical data. This legal action introduces uncertainty and potential reputational risk for Eli Lilly, which could impact investor sentiment and its stock performance. The dispute centers on the accuracy and completeness of comparative drug information, a critical area in the highly competitive pharmaceutical market. Investors will be monitoring the legal proceedings closely for any potential financial or market share implications.
- 7/1/2026POSITIVEEli Lilly just placed a $40 million bet on the next injectable boom
Eli Lilly and Company, a leading GLP-1 maker, has invested $40 million in artificial intelligence to accelerate drug discovery and innovate in consumer medicine. This strategic investment underscores the company's commitment to leveraging cutting-edge technology to enhance its pipeline and market position. The focus on AI in drug discovery could lead to faster development cycles and the identification of novel therapeutic targets, potentially boosting future revenue streams and solidifying its leadership in the pharmaceutical sector. Investors may view this as a positive indicator of future growth and innovation.
via Markets Gazette