Microchip Technology Incorporated (MCHP)
NEUTRALFundamental
53
Price
$73.55
Market Cap
$40.30B
Part 1 · What the company is worth
Overview
Microchip Technology designs and manufactures the small, low-cost chips that give everyday electronics their basic intelligence and connectivity: microcontrollers, analog chips, memory and programmable logic used inside cars, industrial equipment, appliances and data centre hardware. Unlike fabless chip designers, it still owns and runs some of its own factories, alongside outside foundries. Its catalogue spans tens of thousands of parts sold in modest volumes to a very broad base of industrial and automotive customers rather than a handful of large buyers.
How it makes money
Revenue comes from selling physical chips, mostly through distributors who hold inventory and resell to thousands of smaller customers, with the rest sold directly to larger accounts. Engineers design a specific Microchip part into a product years before it ships, and once that design is locked in, they rarely switch supplier for the life of that product, which gives revenue a slow-moving, order-book character rather than one driven by short-term demand shifts.
Revenue by segment
The programmable chips that act as the 'brain' inside a huge range of electronic products, Microchip's largest product line.
Chips that manage power, signal conversion and interfacing between the physical world and digital electronics.
Programmable logic chips and memory products sold alongside the core microcontroller and analog lines, plus a small technology licensing business.
Competitive moat
Switching costs · NarrowOnce an engineer designs a Microchip part into a product, replacing it means re-qualifying a new chip across the whole design, a costly step most customers avoid once a product is in production. That stickiness is real but not unique to Microchip: rivals such as Texas Instruments, STMicroelectronics and NXP compete for the same design-in decisions on the next product generation, so the advantage resets with every new product cycle.
What drives demand
CyclicalMicrochip sells into a huge range of industrial, automotive and consumer end markets, which smooths out any single customer's ups and downs, but the semiconductor industry as a whole still moves through pronounced boom-and-bust inventory cycles: distributors and customers over-order when supply is tight and work down stockpiles when it eases, amplifying the swing in Microchip's own order book beyond the swing in end demand.
Key risks
- Distributor concentration — Arrow Electronics alone represented 12% of fiscal 2026 net sales; a disruption at this distributor, or a change in its relationship with Microchip, would affect a meaningful share of revenue.
- Dependence on outside foundries — About 65% of fiscal 2026 sales came from products made at outside wafer foundries; capacity shortfalls or disruption at those foundries limit how much Microchip can ship, regardless of demand.
- Unabsorbed manufacturing capacity — Microchip paused expansion at two of its own fabs and recorded $200.8 million of unabsorbed capacity charges in fiscal 2026, a cost of owning factories that run below full utilisation during a downturn.
- Export controls and geopolitical restrictions — Roughly three-quarters of sales go to customers outside the United States; export controls, tariffs and an active investigation by Chinese authorities into US analog semiconductor makers could restrict where Microchip can sell.
- Intense price competition — Microchip competes against several large, well-funded semiconductor makers on price and technical performance, and states that intense competition in its markets creates ongoing pressure on margins.
Customer concentration
Top customers account for 12% of revenue
Arrow Electronics, its largest distributor, accounted for 12% of net sales in fiscal 2026; no other distributor or direct customer exceeded 10%, so concentration sits with the distribution channel rather than any single end customer.
The case for
Buyers argue that Microchip's tens of thousands of design-ins across industrial and automotive customers give it revenue that is hard for any single customer loss to dent, and that the current inventory correction is cyclical rather than a sign of lost competitive position.
The case against
Sellers fear that unabsorbed factory costs will keep weighing on margins until the industry cycle turns, that heavy reliance on outside foundries and a concentrated distributor leaves supply exposed to disruption, and that Chinese scrutiny of US analog chipmakers could restrict a market Microchip depends on.
Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
No editorial profile for this company yet
No competitor list for this company yet.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Revenue
$5.12B
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Net Income
$478M
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Free Cash Flow
$871M
Total Equity
$6.43B
Total Liabilities
$7.94B
Current Ratio
1.92
Interest Coverage
3.74
Debt/EBITDA
4.58
Earnings Per Share
Revenue & Net Income
Free Cash Flow
Income Breakdown
Historical statement
Margins over time
Debt over time
How heavy the debt is
Growth grid
Growth — Revenue
Fair Value Estimation
Fair Value
$53.18
Current Price
$73.55
Margin of Safety
-38.3%
Fair Value Range
$34.57 - $71.79
Estimation Methods
Valuation Metrics
P/E Ratio
109.13
ROE
3.6%
P/B Ratio
6.25
P/FCF
36.27
Gross Margin
60.2%
ROIC
4.8%
Profitability Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
4.8%
WACC
13.1%
ROIC − WACC
-8.3 pp
ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.
Fundamental Analysis Criteria
Passed (15)
- Price CAGR 9.02%
- Gross Margin 60.2%
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 15.5%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- CapEx intensity
- Current Ratio
- Interest Coverage
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Analyst Consensus 78% Buy
- Earnings Surprise avg 6.3%
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.50
- Net Margin Trend 9.3% vs -3.5%
- Piotroski F-Score 6/9
Failed (11)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR -9.77%
- ROIC 4.8%
- P/FCF 36.27
- P/B Ratio 6.25
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- ROE 7.3%
- Revenue Growth 5Y -2.8%
- Share Dilution 1990.9%
Unavailable (2)
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
Piotroski F-Score
Mixed signals: some areas need attention
Earnings Quality
High quality: earnings backed by cash
Share Dilution
Issuing new shares, diluting ownership
Governance
Executive Team
| Name | Title | Age |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Stephen Sanghi | CEO, President & Chair of the Board | 69 |
| Mr. James Eric Bjornholt | Senior Corporate Vice President & CFO | 54 |
Audit Risk
5
Board Risk
7
Compensation Risk
10
Shareholder Rights Risk
2
Part 2 · The price and when to enter
This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.
Latest News
Recent headlines for MCHP, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 6/12/2026POSITIVEJim Cramer: This Tech Stock Is 'Terrific,' Fluence Faces Profit Test
Jim Cramer, host of 'Mad Money,' has identified Microchip Technology as a 'terrific' investment opportunity. The recommendation is underpinned by the company's robust financial performance and promising growth prospects. Cramer's endorsement suggests that Microchip Technology is well-positioned for future success, potentially attracting increased investor interest and driving its stock price higher. Investors should monitor the company's upcoming earnings reports and strategic initiatives for further validation of this positive outlook.
- 6/1/2026POSITIVEMicrochip Technology Stock Climbs On Data Center Revenue Growth
Microchip Technology's stock experienced a notable increase following the company's announcement of robust revenue growth within its Data Center Solutions Business Unit. The company also provided positive forward guidance for this key segment. This performance indicates strong demand for Microchip's products in the rapidly expanding data center market, a sector critical for cloud computing, AI, and high-performance computing. Investors are likely reacting to the company's ability to capitalize on this trend, suggesting potential for continued market share gains and improved financial results.
via Markets Gazette