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MGE Energy Inc. (MGEE)

NEUTRAL
UtilitiesUtilities - Regulated ElectricUnited States

Fundamental

57

Price

$79.18

Market Cap

$2.98B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

MGE Energy, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a public utility holding company in the United States. It operates through Regulated Electric Utility Operations; Regulated Gas Utility Operations; Nonregulated Energy Operations; Transmission Investments; and All Other segments. The company generates, purchases, and distributes electricity; purchases and distributes natural gas; owns and leases electric generating capacity; and plans, constructs, operates, maintains, and expands transmission facilities to provide transmission power services. It also generates electricity from coal-fired, gas-fired, and renewable energy sources and provides solar and wind generation, and battery storage services. As of December 31, 2025, the company owned and operated 811 miles of overhead electric distribution lines; 1,386 miles of underground electric distribution cables; 47 substations with an installed capacity of 1.2 million kVA; and gas facilities, including 3,117 miles of distribution mains, as well as supplied electric service to approximately 170,000 customers. MGE Energy, Inc. was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Madison, Wisconsin.

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Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

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Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$776M

Fiscal year ended 12/31/2025

Net Income

$136M

Fiscal year ended 12/31/2025

Free Cash Flow

$-80M

Total Equity

$1.30B

Total Liabilities

$1.85B

Current Ratio

1.15

Interest Coverage

4.75

Debt/EBITDA

3.26

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

Regulated utilityOvervalued

Fair Value

$58.45

Current Price

$79.18

Margin of Safety

-35.5%

Fair Value Range

$41.28 - $75.61

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$77.75
Discounted cash flow (DCF):$41.21
Earnings multiple (P/E):$80.04
Graham growth formula:Not applicable to this type of company
Earnings power value (EPV):$43.43
Justified P/B:Not applicable to this type of company
Dividend discount (Gordon):$45.55
P/FFO, funds from operations:Not applicable to this type of company
Mid-cycle earnings:Not applicable to this type of company
Revenue multiple:Not applicable to this type of company
Analyst Consensus:Hold (1B / 3H / 4S)
Last Earnings Surprise:+13.32%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

20.34

ROE

10.4%

P/B Ratio

2.16

P/FCF

-

Gross Margin

-

ROIC

4.5%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

4.5%

WACC

7.0%

ROIC − WACC

-2.5 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (14)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • P/B Ratio 2.16
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 11.1%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 6.7%
  • Earnings Surprise avg 6.6%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.86
  • Share Dilution 0.9%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

Failed (8)

  • EPS CAGR 2.66%
  • Price CAGR 1.88%
  • ROIC 4.5%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Analyst Consensus 13% Buy
  • PEG Ratio 2.76

Unavailable (6)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Operating Margin NaN%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Net Margin Trend (invalid data)

Piotroski F-Score

5/9

Mixed signals: some areas need attention

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

1.86

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

0.9%

Share count is stable

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Jeffrey M. KeeblerPresident, CEO & Chairman of the Board53
Mr. Jared Joseph BushekExecutive VP, CFO & Treasurer44
Ms. Cari Anne RenlundVP, General Counsel & Secretary51
James J. LorenzVice President of Energy Operations58
Jenny Lynn LagerwallAssistant VP of Accounting & Controller40
Mr. Ken FrassettoDirector of Shareholder Services & Treasury Management-

Audit Risk

2

Board Risk

3

Compensation Risk

1

Shareholder Rights Risk

3

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Latest News

Recent headlines for MGEE, sourced from Markets Gazette.

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