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Mongolian Mining Corporation (MOGLF)

NEUTRAL
Basic MaterialsCoking CoalMongolia

Fundamental

38

Price

$10.27

Market Cap

$10.63B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Mongolian Mining Corporation mines and washes coking coal, the type of coal used to make steel rather than to generate electricity, from open-pit mines in Mongolia's South Gobi region. Raw coal is processed at its own washing plants to raise its quality before being trucked and railed across the border to buyers in China, by far the largest steelmaking market in the world. It has recently added a small gold and metals business alongside its core coal operations.

How it makes money

Revenue comes from selling washed coking coal by the tonne at prices that track international and Chinese steel-industry benchmarks, so it moves with steel production cycles rather than with anything the company controls. Different coal grades — hard coking coal, semi-soft and mid-ash semi-hard — sell at different prices per tonne, so the product mix shipped in a given period affects average realized price as much as tonnage does.

Revenue by segment

Coking coal96.2%

Washed hard coking, semi-soft and mid-ash semi-hard coal sold mainly to Chinese steelmakers — the core, long-standing business.

Gold and metals3.8%

A newly reported business line generating revenue for the first time in fiscal 2025, alongside the established coal operations.

What drives demand

Cyclical

Demand for coking coal follows Chinese steel production, which itself follows construction and industrial activity in China's economy. A slowdown in Chinese steel output or a shift toward other coking-coal suppliers reduces both the volume MMC can sell and the price it can charge for it, at the same time.

The case for

Buyers argue that proximity to the Chinese border gives Mongolian coal a transport-cost advantage over seaborne suppliers, that washing plants let the company sell higher-value processed coal rather than raw ore, and that the new gold and metals business diversifies revenue beyond a single commodity cycle.

The case against

Sellers fear that revenue depends almost entirely on Chinese steel demand and coking coal prices, both outside the company's control, and that 2025's sharp drop in profit — despite similar volumes to prior periods — shows how quickly a fall in average selling price can erode earnings.

Segment figures from fiscal year 2025Sources: Mongolian Mining Corporation Announces 2025 Annual Results

Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$792M

Trailing 12 months to the last reported quarter — estimated from per-share metrics

Net Income

$5M

Trailing 12 months to the last reported quarter — estimated from per-share metrics

Free Cash Flow

$-6M

Total Equity

$10.18B

Total Liabilities

$395M

Current Ratio

1.49

Interest Coverage

-

Debt/EBITDA

1.19

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

Fairly Valued

Fair Value

$11.75

Current Price

$10.27

Margin of Safety

+12.6%

Fair Value Range

$7.64 - $15.86

Estimation Methods

Analyst Target:-
DCF:$10.51
PE-based:$18.49
Graham Growth:$6.66
EPV:$0.36
Analyst Consensus:Sell (0B / 3H / 4S)
Last Earnings Surprise:-71.02%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

1962.26

ROE

9.7%

P/B Ratio

8.73

P/FCF

-

Gross Margin

17.5%

ROIC

2.0%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

2.0%

WACC

10.5%

ROIC − WACC

-8.5 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (7)

  • Price CAGR 13.73%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 6.5%
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 14.6%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.33

Failed (10)

  • ROIC 2.0%
  • Gross Margin 17.5%
  • P/B Ratio 8.73
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • ROE 0.5%
  • Analyst Consensus 0% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg -71.0%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

Unavailable (10)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)
  • Net Margin Trend (invalid data)

Piotroski F-Score

2/9

Serious financial concerns

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

1.33

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

-

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Odjargal JambaljamtsExecutive Chairman of the Board60
Dr. Battsengel GotovGroup CEO & Executive Director53
Ms. Ulemj BaskhuuExecutive Vice President & Group CFO47
Mr. Tuvshinbayar TagarvaaVP & COO51
Mr. Lkhagva-Ochir SaidVP & CTO-
Ms. Uurtsaikh DorjgotovExecutive VP & Group Chief Legal Counsel61
Mr. Oyunbat LkhagvatsendPresident and Chief Executive – Gold & Metals49
Ms. Bayarmaa BazarVP & Chief Audit Executive-
Mr. Enkhbat DorjpalamCEO & President of Coal & Energy43
Ms. Mei Yi Lee ACIS, ACS, FCIS, FCSCompany Secretary57

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Latest News

Recent headlines for MOGLF, sourced from Markets Gazette.

No recent news for MOGLF.