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Nippon Kayaku Co., Ltd. (NPKYF)

POSITIVE
Basic MaterialsChemicalsJapan

Fundamental

67

Price

$2068.00

Market Cap

$304.16B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Nippon Kayaku was founded in 1916 as Japan's first industrial explosives maker and has since turned its chemistry expertise into three unrelated businesses: specialty chemicals such as epoxy resins and dyes, pharmaceuticals including anti-cancer and cardiovascular drugs, and automotive safety components — airbag inflators and micro gas generators sold to seatbelt and airbag makers worldwide. It no longer sells explosives as a core line; that heritage lives on mainly in its name.

How it makes money

Each business earns money in a different way. Fine chemicals sell to electronics, textile and agrochemical manufacturers as industrial inputs priced on volume and specification. Life sciences revenue comes from drug sales, largely covered by national health insurance systems, with pricing set through negotiation and regulatory approval cycles rather than open competition. Mobility and imaging revenue comes from supplying safety components under long-term contracts with automakers and their tier-one suppliers.

Revenue by segment

Mobility & Imaging39.18%

Airbag inflators and micro gas generators for automotive safety systems, plus imaging-related chemical products — the largest business domain.

Fine Chemicals30.69%

Epoxy resins, UV-curable resins, dyes and electronic materials sold to industrial manufacturers.

Life Sciences30.18%

Prescription pharmaceuticals, including anti-cancer, cardiovascular and anti-inflammatory drugs.

Competitive moat

Switching costs · Narrow

Automakers qualify safety components like airbag inflators through lengthy testing before they go into a vehicle program, so once Nippon Kayaku is designed into a platform it tends to stay there for the life of that model. The same is not true across its other two businesses, where chemicals and drugs face more open competition, which is why the advantage is narrow rather than covering the whole company.

What drives demand

Moderately cyclical

The three businesses pull in different directions: pharmaceutical demand is largely defensive, since patients keep needing medication regardless of the economy, while fine chemicals and automotive safety components track industrial and vehicle production, which slow in downturns. The blend leaves the group somewhere between the two extremes rather than firmly cyclical or firmly defensive.

The case for

Buyers argue that spreading revenue across defensive pharmaceuticals, industrial chemicals and automotive safety components gives Nippon Kayaku more balance than a single-industry supplier, and that its long history as a qualified airbag-inflator supplier makes that business hard for a new entrant to displace.

The case against

Sellers fear that running three unrelated businesses under one roof dilutes management focus and makes it harder for investors to value the company against single-industry peers, and that two of the three segments remain exposed to the same automotive and industrial production cycle at the same time.

Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$238.95B

Trailing 12 months to the last reported quarter — estimated from per-share metrics

Net Income

$23.81B

Trailing 12 months to the last reported quarter — estimated from per-share metrics

Free Cash Flow

-

Total Equity

$282.64B

Total Liabilities

$68.18B

Current Ratio

2.71

Interest Coverage

-

Debt/EBITDA

1.66

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

Undervalued

Fair Value

$3515.35

Current Price

$2068.00

Margin of Safety

+41.2%

Fair Value Range

$2284.97 - $4745.72

Estimation Methods

Analyst Target:-
DCF:$5467.70
PE-based:$2051.08
Graham Growth:$6017.75
EPV:$1256.99
Analyst Consensus:Strong Buy (4B / 1H / 0S)
Last Earnings Surprise:+37.28%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

12.77

ROE

8.7%

P/B Ratio

1.10

P/FCF

-

Gross Margin

30.1%

ROIC

5.7%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

5.7%

WACC

7.5%

ROIC − WACC

-1.8 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (14)

  • ROIC 5.7%
  • Gross Margin 30.1%
  • P/B Ratio 1.10
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 9.0%
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Price below Graham Number
  • ROE 9.1%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 6.9%
  • Analyst Consensus 80% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 37.3%
  • PEG Ratio 0.74
  • Net Margin Trend 17.0% vs 5.1%

Failed (3)

  • Price CAGR 3.41%
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • Piotroski F-Score 0/9

Unavailable (10)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-Score

0/9

Serious financial concerns

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

-

Low quality: investigate accounting

Share Dilution

-

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Tsutomu KawamuraGeneral Manager of Finance & Accounting Division-
Yasuhito KatoMD of Technology & Director60
Ichio KohinataGeneral Manager of Legal Affairs Division-
Shinji InoueSenior Executive Officer of planning, Corp. Communication & Accounting and Director59
Makoto TakedaMD of Human Resource & Director61
Hiroshi ShimadaSenior MD, Head of Pharmaceuticals Group & Director60
Hideyuki YuyaMD & Head of Polatechno Group-
Shigehide KagayaHead of Catalysts Group, Fine Chemicals Business Unit-
Yoshiki AkataniManaging Director of Fine Chemicals Business Area-
Akihiko MiuraGeneral Manager of Responsible Care & Technology Division-

Audit Risk

1

Board Risk

9

Compensation Risk

1

Shareholder Rights Risk

1

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Latest News

Recent headlines for NPKYF, sourced from Markets Gazette.

No recent news for NPKYF.