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Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI)

NEUTRAL
Consumer DefensiveDiscount StoresUnited States

Fundamental

71

Price

$75.04

Market Cap

$4.61B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. operates as a retailer of closeout merchandise and excess inventory in the United States. The company offers health and beauty aids, food, candy, beverages, pet food and treats, laundry related products, and cleaning supplies; housewares and kitchen items, home decor products, furniture, household essential items, and home maintenance and utility items; patio furniture, air conditioners, fans, space heaters, toys, lawn and garden related products, outdoor items, holiday decor, gifts, and decorations products; books, stationery items, small electronic devices and accessories, clothing, sporting goods, pet products, automotive products, luggage and other general merchandise. It sells its products under the Ollie's, Ollie's Bargain Outlet, Good Stuff Cheap, Ollie's Army, Real Brands! Real Bargains, Sarasota Breeze, American Way brands. The company was formerly known as Bargain Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. in March 2015. Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania.

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Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

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No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$2.73B

Trailing 12 months (through 5/2/2026)

Net Income

$249M

Trailing 12 months (through 5/2/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$195M

Total Equity

$1.89B

Total Liabilities

$1.07B

Current Ratio

2.32

Interest Coverage

-

Debt/EBITDA

2.01

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

Fairly Valued

Fair Value

$83.17

Current Price

$75.04

Margin of Safety

+9.8%

Fair Value Range

$58.19 - $108.15

Estimation Methods

Analyst Target:$106.87
DCF:$99.02
PE-based:$61.69
Graham Growth:$38.25
EPV:$50.21
Analyst Consensus:Strong Buy (18B / 4H / 0S)
Last Earnings Surprise:+2.29%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

18.90

ROE

12.7%

P/B Ratio

2.44

P/FCF

21.70

Gross Margin

40.7%

ROIC

9.5%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

9.5%

WACC

7.0%

ROIC − WACC

+2.6 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (20)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 20.87%
  • Price CAGR 10.34%
  • ROIC 9.5%
  • Gross Margin 40.7%
  • P/FCF 21.70
  • P/B Ratio 2.44
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 11.4%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 13.5%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 7.9%
  • Analyst Consensus 82% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.26
  • Share Dilution 0.0%
  • Net Margin Trend 9.1% vs 8.6%
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

Failed (6)

  • CapEx intensity
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg 1.0%
  • PEG Ratio 16.67

Unavailable (2)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage

Piotroski F-Score

7/9

Strong financial health

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

1.26

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

0.0%

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. John W. Swygert Jr.Executive Chairman56
Mr. Eric van der ValkPresident, CEO & Director55
Mr. Robert F. HelmExecutive VP & CFO45
Mr. Christopher M. ZenderExecutive VP & COO61
Mr. Larry KrausSenior VP & Chief Information Officer53
Mr. Jared E. Shure J.D.Senior VP, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary44
Mr. John P. RouleauManaging Director of Corporate Communications & Business Development-
Tom KuypersSenior Vice President of Marketing & Advertising-
Mr. Shane ThorntonSenior Vice President & General Merchandise Manager-
Ms. Lyn Rhoads Walther C.F.A.Executive-

Audit Risk

5

Board Risk

5

Compensation Risk

4

Shareholder Rights Risk

2

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Latest News

Recent headlines for OLLI, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 6/4/2026NEGATIVE
    This Evercore ISI Group Analyst Turns Bearish; Here Are Top 2 Downgrades For Thursday

    Evercore ISI Group analyst Gregory Melendez has turned bearish, downgrading Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings (OLLI) and PVH Corp. OLLI's stock was trading at $79.74 at the time of the report. While specific reasons for the downgrade were not detailed in the provided snippet, analyst downgrades typically signal concerns about future performance, valuation, or competitive landscape. Investors often interpret such actions as a signal to reduce exposure to the affected stocks.

  • 3/14/2026NEGATIVE
    Ollie's Bargain Outlet Analysts Slash Their Forecasts After Q4 Results

    Ollie's Bargain Outlet reported Q4 earnings per share of $1.39, meeting analyst expectations. However, the company's sales reached $779.256 million, falling short of market estimates. This sales miss, coupled with recent analyst downgrades and maintained ratings, has prompted a revision of future earnings forecasts. Investors should note the divergence between earnings and sales performance, which could indicate underlying demand issues or inventory challenges impacting future revenue growth.

  • 3/12/2026NEUTRAL
    Ollie's (OLLI) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

    Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. has released its Q4 2025 earnings call transcript. While the transcript is available, no specific financial figures, performance metrics, or forward-looking statements are detailed in the provided information. The release of an earnings call transcript is a standard procedural event for publicly traded companies. Investors will need to consult the full transcript or accompanying financial reports for detailed insights into the company's performance, strategic initiatives, and future outlook.

via Markets Gazette