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ORIX Corporation (ORXCF)

NEUTRAL
Financial ServicesFinancial ConglomeratesJapan

Fundamental

64

Price

$6279.00

Market Cap

$6.74T

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

ORIX is a Japanese financial conglomerate that does not fit one label: it leases equipment to businesses, lends money, develops and manages real estate, runs private-equity investments and airport and water concessions, sells life insurance, owns a bank, leases aircraft and ships, and generates and retails renewable energy — mostly in Japan, with growing operations in the Americas, Europe and Asia. Its edge is being able to move capital across all of these businesses as opportunities shift.

How it makes money

Because it spans leasing, lending, insurance, banking and investing, ORIX earns money in several different ways at once: interest and fees on loans and leases, insurance premiums, gains on private-equity and real-estate investments, and returns on aircraft, ship and infrastructure assets it owns and operates. Group results are reported mainly as segment profit rather than a single, clean revenue split, reflecting how different these businesses are from one another.

What drives demand

Moderately cyclical

Spreading across leasing, lending, insurance, real estate, private equity and infrastructure means different parts of the group respond to different conditions at different times — private equity and real estate lean cyclical, insurance and core leasing lean steadier — so the group as a whole tends to be less exposed to any single economic swing than a pure-play in one of those businesses would be.

Key risks

  • Credit risk across many businesses — ORIX monitors credit exposure across loans, leases and investments by borrower type, region and asset quality; concentration in any of these can expose the group to loan and lease losses.
  • Interest rate exposure — A meaningful part of interest income comes from floating-rate installment loans and related instruments, so a drop in market interest rates can reduce income earned on that book.
  • Market risk from diverse exposures — The group is exposed to interest rate, foreign exchange and equity market price movements across its lending, investment and insurance businesses simultaneously.
  • Liquidity and funding risk — As a business that lends and leases using borrowed and raised capital, ORIX depends on continued access to funding markets at reasonable cost to sustain its lending and leasing activities.
  • Operational and cybersecurity risk — The group names information security, IT and operational risk among its principal risk categories, given how many financial systems and customer data it operates across its many business lines.

The case for

Buyers argue that spreading capital across leasing, lending, insurance, real estate, private equity and infrastructure lets ORIX shift money toward whichever business is performing best at a given time, and that this diversification makes the group's overall earnings steadier than any single one of its businesses would be on its own.

The case against

Sellers worry that a conglomerate spanning lending, insurance, real estate and private equity is hard for an outside investor to value cleanly, that credit, interest-rate and market risk hit several of its businesses at once in a downturn, and that segment profit — the way results are reported — can mask which parts of the group are actually struggling.

Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$2.27T

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Net Income

$620.81B

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Free Cash Flow

-

Total Equity

$4.67T

Total Liabilities

$6.31T

Current Ratio

1.68

Interest Coverage

-

Debt/EBITDA

5.47

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

Undervalued

Fair Value

$10452.58

Current Price

$6279.00

Margin of Safety

+39.9%

Fair Value Range

$6794.18 - $14110.99

Estimation Methods

Analyst Target:$6767.78
DCF:$16807.23
PE-based:$5827.39
Graham Growth:$24307.96
EPV:$2707.55
Analyst Consensus:Buy (9B / 7H / 0S)
Last Earnings Surprise:+37.10%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

11.04

ROE

14.0%

P/B Ratio

1.44

P/FCF

-

Gross Margin

43.6%

ROIC

5.4%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

5.4%

WACC

5.7%

ROIC − WACC

-0.4 pp

ROIC is roughly in line with the cost of capital — the company is barely covering its capital cost.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (13)

  • Price CAGR 13.79%
  • ROIC 5.4%
  • Gross Margin 43.6%
  • P/B Ratio 1.44
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • ROE 10.1%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 7.8%
  • Analyst Consensus 56% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 21.7%
  • PEG Ratio 0.73
  • Net Margin Trend 13.4% vs 12.2%

Failed (2)

  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • Piotroski F-Score 0/9

Unavailable (12)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Operating Margin NaN%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-Score

0/9

Serious financial concerns

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

-

Low quality: investigate accounting

Share Dilution

-

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Hidetake TakahashiPresident & CEO for Digital Innovation, Representative Executive Officer and Director54
Mr. Seiichi MiyakeManaging Executive Officer & Head of Investment and Operation Headquarters57
Mr. Stan H. Koyanagi J.D.Senior Managing Executive Officer & Global General Counsel65
Mr. Satoru MatsuzakiRepresentative Executive Officer Deputy President, COO for Japan & APAC and Director59
Mr. Eiji AritaManaging Executive Officer & Head of Corporate Business Headquarters59
Mr. Masataka YamadaSenior Managing Executive Officer, CFO, Chief Strategy Officer & Director53
Mr. Paddy HoganGlobal Head of Investor Relations-
Koichi UchidaGeneral Manager of Group Corporate Communication-
Mr. Satoru KatahiraChairman of Health Insurance Society and Corporate Pension Fund of ORIX Group-
Mr. Shuji IrieSenior Managing Executive Officer, COO of Infrastructure Business Unit & Director62

Audit Risk

1

Board Risk

2

Compensation Risk

1

Shareholder Rights Risk

7

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Latest News

Recent headlines for ORXCF, sourced from Markets Gazette.

No recent news for ORXCF.