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Performance Food Group Company (PFGC)

NEUTRAL
Consumer DefensiveFood DistributionUnited States

Fundamental

61

Price

$104.76

Market Cap

$16.73B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Performance Food Group buys food and related products in bulk from manufacturers and resells them, delivered by truck, to restaurants, convenience stores and institutions across North America. It does not make the food it sells: its business is the logistics of buying, warehousing and distributing more than 300,000 products from over 150 distribution centers to more than 300,000 customer locations that would otherwise have to source from many separate suppliers.

How it makes money

Revenue comes from marking up products bought from suppliers and reselling them, mostly against individual purchase orders rather than long-term contracts. Because it only handles and moves goods rather than manufacturing them, margins are thin by nature, so profit depends on volume, purchasing scale and selling higher-margin private-label "Performance Brands" products rather than on pricing power over any single item.

Revenue by segment

Foodservice53.4%

Delivery of food, equipment and supplies to independent and chain restaurants and other food-away-from-home outlets.

Convenience38.9%

Distribution of snacks, beverages, tobacco and other packaged goods to convenience stores and gas-station retailers.

Specialty7.8%

Distribution of candy, snacks and other specialty products to vending operators, theaters and other non-traditional channels.

Competitive moat

Scale · Narrow

The company points to economies of scale in purchasing and a nationwide network of over 150 distribution centers as its edge in a business it itself calls low-margin and intensely competitive. Most customers buy order-by-order with no exclusivity, so the advantage lies in buying and routing goods more cheaply than smaller regional rivals, not in locking customers in.

What drives demand

Cyclical

Demand tracks how often people eat away from home, which the company itself ties to consumer confidence and discretionary spending — both of which contract in a downturn. Foodservice volumes therefore move with the broader economy more than a typical grocery distributor, even though eating is a basic need.

Key risks

  • Thin margins amplify swings — The company operates in what it calls a low-margin industry, so a small decline in sales or a small rise in costs can produce a disproportionately large swing in net income.
  • No exclusivity with customers — Many customers buy under individual purchase orders with no obligation to keep buying, so a competitor offering better pricing or service can take business away with little friction.
  • Reliance on third-party suppliers — The company depends on outside suppliers for the products it distributes, so labor shortages, weather, recalls or disease outbreaks upstream can interrupt supply or raise costs.
  • Significant debt load — Total indebtedness of about $6.8 billion constrains financial flexibility and increases exposure to interest-rate movements on variable-rate borrowings.
  • Sensitivity to consumer spending — Unfavorable economic conditions, inflation or tariffs can reduce consumer confidence and discretionary spending, directly lowering demand for food-away-from-home.

Customer concentration

The company states that no single customer accounted for more than 10% of consolidated net sales in fiscal 2025, 2024 or 2023, without disclosing an exact figure for the largest one.

The case for

Buyers argue that a nationwide distribution network built through years of acquisitions gives the company purchasing scale that smaller regional distributors cannot match, and that growing the mix of higher-margin independent restaurant and private-label sales can lift profitability even in a structurally thin-margin industry.

The case against

Sellers fear that a low-margin, largely order-by-order business tied to discretionary restaurant spending leaves little cushion in a downturn, and that nearly $6.8 billion of debt limits room to maneuver if sales volumes or interest rates move against the company.

Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$67.84B

Trailing 12 months (through 6/27/2026)

Net Income

$359M

Trailing 12 months (through 6/27/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$1.03B

Total Equity

$4.90B

Total Liabilities

$13.95B

Current Ratio

1.51

Interest Coverage

2.15

Debt/EBITDA

4.57

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

Fairly Valued

Fair Value

$105.92

Current Price

$104.76

Margin of Safety

+1.1%

Fair Value Range

$68.85 - $142.99

Estimation Methods

Analyst Target:$123.62
DCF:$132.77
PE-based:$42.31
Graham Growth:$37.28
EPV:$44.85
Analyst Consensus:Strong Buy (19B / 2H / 0S)
Last Earnings Surprise:-2.68%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

46.19

ROE

7.3%

P/B Ratio

3.40

P/FCF

16.18

Gross Margin

11.9%

ROIC

5.1%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

5.1%

WACC

7.7%

ROIC − WACC

-2.6 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (16)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 23.61%
  • Price CAGR 15.90%
  • ROIC 5.1%
  • P/FCF 16.18
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 20.3%
  • Analyst Consensus 90% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 3.93
  • Share Dilution 0.5%
  • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

Failed (10)

  • Gross Margin 11.9%
  • P/B Ratio 3.40
  • Operating Margin 1.3%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • ROE 7.1%
  • Earnings Surprise avg -4.6%
  • Net Margin Trend 0.5% vs 0.5%

Unavailable (2)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-Score

8/9

Strong financial health

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

3.93

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

0.5%

Share count is stable

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. George L. HolmExecutive Chair70
Mr. Scott E. McPhersonCEO, President & Director55
Mr. H. Patrick HatcherExecutive VP & CFO55
Mr. Allen Brent King J.D.Executive VP, General Counsel & Secretary56
Ms. Chasity GroshSenior VP & Chief Accounting Officer47
Mr. Donald S. BulmerExecutive VP & Chief Information Officer60
Mr. Bill Marshall C.F.A.Senior Vice President of Investor Relations-
Mr. Scott GoldenDirector of Communications & Engagement-
Ms. Erika T. Davis CCPExecutive VP & Chief Human Resources Officer61
Mr. George HearnSenior VP & CFO of Performance Foodservice-

Audit Risk

5

Board Risk

4

Compensation Risk

1

Shareholder Rights Risk

1

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Latest News

Recent headlines for PFGC, sourced from Markets Gazette.

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