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Pony AI Inc. (PONY)

NEUTRAL
TechnologyInformation Technology ServicesChina

Fundamental

37

Price

$7.47

Market Cap

$3.29B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Pony AI Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the autonomous mobility business in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company provides robotaxi services that include autonomous vehicle (AV) engineering solutions, such as AV software deployment and maintenance; vehicle integration and engineering; and road-testing services to original equipment manufacturers and transportation network companies. It also offers robotruck services that provide transportation services to logistics platforms. In addition, the company engages in the licensing and applications business that comprises personally-owned vehicle intelligent solutions, including intelligent driving software solutions, proprietary vehicle domain controller products, and data analytics tools; vehicle integration services, software development, and licensing services; and vehicle-to-everything (V2X) products and services to enhance road safety. The company's customers include OEMs and TNCs; OEMs and logistics platforms; and sensor and hardware component suppliers. Pony AI Inc. was incorporated in 2016 and is based in Guangzhou, the People's Republic of China.

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Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

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No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$110M

Trailing 12 months (through 3/31/2026)

Net Income

$-141M

Trailing 12 months (through 3/31/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$-272M

Total Equity

$1.28B

Total Liabilities

$19M

Current Ratio

15.94

Interest Coverage

-

Debt/EBITDA

-

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

Undervalued

Fair Value

$20.37

Current Price

$7.47

Margin of Safety

+63.3%

Fair Value Range

$19.35 - $21.39

Estimation Methods

Analyst Target:$20.37
DCF:-
PE-based:-
Graham Growth:-
EPV:-
Analyst Consensus:Strong Buy (22B / 3H / 0S)
Last Earnings Surprise:+33.77%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

-

ROE

-6.8%

P/B Ratio

2.08

P/FCF

-

Gross Margin

16.2%

ROIC

-13.8%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

-13.8%

WACC

17.9%

ROIC − WACC

-31.7 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (6)

  • P/B Ratio 2.08
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Current Ratio
  • Analyst Consensus 88% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 34.8%
  • Net Margin Trend -148.9% vs -365.4%

Failed (7)

  • Price CAGR -24.28%
  • ROIC -13.8%
  • Gross Margin 16.2%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • ROE -11.5%
  • Piotroski F-Score 0/9

Unavailable (14)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Operating Margin NaN%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • Revenue Growth 5Y (Finnhub)
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-Score

0/9

Serious financial concerns

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

-

Low quality: investigate accounting

Share Dilution

-

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Dr. Jun PengCo-founder, CEO & Chairman of the Board50
Dr. Tiancheng LouCo-Founder, CTO & Director38
Dr. Haojun WangCFO & Joint Company Secretary48
George ShaoHead of Capital Markets & Investor Relations-
Dr. Chi-Chih YaoChief Adviser-
Dr. Mo LuyiVP and Head of the Guangzhou & Shenzhen Offices36
Mr. Zhang NingVP, Head of Autonomous Driving System & Head of the Beijing Office38
Mr. Tung Ching NgJoint Company Secretary36

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Latest News

Recent headlines for PONY, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 5/27/2026NEGATIVE
    PONY Stock's Momentum Tumbles As Macquarie Slashes Price Target Despite Q1 Beat

    Pony AI's stock momentum has significantly declined, evidenced by a drop in its momentum score to 2.59. This downturn occurred despite the company reporting a substantial Q1 revenue beat and raising its 2026 financial guidance. The primary catalyst for this negative sentiment appears to be Macquarie's decision to slash its price target for the stock. This action by a key analyst firm suggests underlying concerns that outweigh the positive financial results, potentially signaling future headwinds for investors.

  • 5/26/2026POSITIVE
    Pony AI says its robotaxi revenue quintupled. The stock is rising.

    Pony AI reported a quintupling of robotaxi revenue, signaling strong growth in its autonomous driving services. Despite widening losses, the company also increased its sales targets, indicating confidence in future performance. This significant revenue jump, coupled with ambitious sales goals, suggests robust market adoption and operational scaling for Pony AI's robotaxi division. Investors will be watching to see if the company can translate this revenue growth into profitability, but the immediate outlook for the stock appears positive based on these expansionary metrics.

  • 3/26/2026NEGATIVE
    Why Is Pony AI Stock Falling Thursday?

    Pony AI's stock experienced a decline on Thursday following a mixed fourth-quarter report. While the company saw a significant tripling of its robotaxi revenue, this was overshadowed by an 18% year-over-year dip in overall sales. Investors are scrutinizing the company's margins, net profit figures, and its ambitious 2026 expansion plans in light of the topline contraction. The divergence between the strong robotaxi segment and the broader sales decrease raises concerns about the sustainability of growth and profitability, potentially impacting future investor sentiment and stock valuation.

via Markets Gazette