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Sunrun Inc. (RUN)

NEUTRAL
TechnologySolarUnited States

Fundamental

58

Price

$9.24

Market Cap

$2.16B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Sunrun Inc. designs, develops, installs, sells, owns, and maintains residential solar energy systems in the United States. The company sells solar energy systems and products, such as panels and racking; and solar leads generated to customers. It offers battery storage along with solar energy systems; and sells services to commercial developers through multi-family and new homes. Its primary customers are residential homeowners. The company markets and sells its products through direct-to-consumer approach across online, retail, mass media, digital media, canvassing, field marketing, and referral channels, as well as its partner network. It also operates distributed electricity power plants. Sunrun Inc. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.

No editorial profile for this company yet

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$3.48B

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Net Income

$403M

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Free Cash Flow

-

Total Equity

$3.13B

Total Liabilities

$17.63B

Current Ratio

1.42

Interest Coverage

-

Debt/EBITDA

-

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

Undervalued

Fair Value

$13.86

Current Price

$9.24

Margin of Safety

+33.3%

Fair Value Range

$9.01 - $18.72

Estimation Methods

Analyst Target:$15.97
DCF:$0.70
PE-based:$22.07
Graham Growth:$23.93
EPV:$1.48
Analyst Consensus:Buy (16B / 11H / 1S)
Last Earnings Surprise:+81.43%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

6.03

ROE

14.4%

P/B Ratio

0.62

P/FCF

-

Gross Margin

-

ROIC

0.3%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

0.3%

WACC

2.4%

ROIC − WACC

-2.1 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (12)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 5.60%
  • P/B Ratio 0.62
  • Current Ratio
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • ROE 12.4%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 26.2%
  • Analyst Consensus 57% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 920.6%
  • Net Margin Trend 11.6% vs -120.6%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

Failed (7)

  • ROIC 0.3%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 2.7%
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) -0.50
  • Share Dilution 18.4%

Unavailable (8)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-Score

5/9

Mixed signals: some areas need attention

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

-0.50

Low quality: investigate accounting

Share Dilution

18.4%

Issuing new shares, diluting ownership

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Ms. Mary Grace PowellCEO & Director65
Mr. Edward Harris FensterFounder & Vice-Chair48
Ms. Lynn Michelle JurichFounder & Vice-Chair45
Mr. Paul S. DicksonPresident & Chief Revenue Officer40
Mr. Danny AbajianCFO & Principal Financial Officer39
Ms. Jeanna Steele J.D.Chief Legal & People Officer49
Mr. Patrick KentChief Operating Officer-
Ms. Maria BarakChief Accounting Officer42
Mr. Rachit SrivastavaChief Technology Officer-
Mr. Patrick JobinSenior VP of Finance & Investor Relations-

Audit Risk

3

Board Risk

4

Compensation Risk

6

Shareholder Rights Risk

5

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Latest News

Recent headlines for RUN, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 6/24/2026POSITIVE
    This solar stock is surging on the heels of a new Tesla deal

    Sunrun Inc. is experiencing a significant surge in its stock price following the announcement of a new strategic partnership with Tesla. The collaboration aims to leverage Sunrun's expertise in home battery storage to address the burgeoning energy demands of Artificial Intelligence (AI) data centers. This deal positions Sunrun as a key player in the rapidly expanding AI infrastructure sector, potentially unlocking substantial new revenue streams and market opportunities. Investors are reacting positively to the news, anticipating accelerated growth and enhanced market share for Sunrun as it capitalizes on this innovative venture.

  • 2/27/2026NEGATIVE
    Why Sunrun Crashed Today

    Solar energy company Sunrun Inc. experienced a significant stock market decline following recent management statements forecasting a decrease in aggregate subscriber value for the upcoming year. This negative outlook immediately triggered a selling reaction among investors, concerned about the implications for the company's future growth and profitability. The market interpreted the forecasts as a sign of slowdown in a sector that requires constant expansion to justify high valuations. Analysts are now awaiting further details and strategies from Sunrun to mitigate the impact of this contraction and reassure shareholders about the company's ability to navigate an increasingly competitive market.

  • 2/26/2026NEUTRAL
    Sunrun (RUN) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

    Markets Gazette reports that the transcript for Sunrun Inc.'s (RUN) Q4 2025 earnings call is not yet available. Investors were keenly awaiting this document to thoroughly analyze the financial performance of the leading residential solar energy company. The absence of the transcript prevents an immediate assessment of the results, future projections, and management's responses to analyst questions. Typically, these transcripts offer crucial insights into operational metrics, growth strategies, margins, and regulatory challenges, directly influencing investment decisions. Delayed publication or unavailability of such information can create short-term uncertainty, as the market awaits concrete data to provide a clear direction for the stock. The market will remain on alert for official updates to evaluate Sunrun's trajectory and outlook.

  • 2/22/2026NEUTRAL
    Sunrun Director Sells 164k Shares As Stock Continues to Shine Bright

    A director at Sunrun Inc. recently sold 164,000 shares, valued at over $3 million. Despite this transaction, the company's stock continues to perform well, reflecting substantial operational growth. The insider sale could be interpreted in various ways, from personal portfolio diversification to potential profit-taking. However, the context of operational growth suggests the market might not react negatively in the short term, but insider selling is a signal to monitor closely for future developments.

  • 2/22/2026NEGATIVE
    Sunrun Director Sells 50K Shares for Nearly $1M As Virtual Power Plant Continues to Expand

    A director at Sunrun Inc. recently sold 50,000 shares, valued at nearly $1 million. This transaction raises questions about the stock's future performance, despite the company's expanding virtual power plant (VPP) network. While VPP expansion can be seen as a long-term growth signal, a significant insider sale might suggest reduced confidence in the stock's current or near-term value. Investors will be watching closely to see if the positive VPP trend can outweigh concerns stemming from this insider sale.

via Markets Gazette