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The Simply Good Foods Company (SMPL)

NEUTRAL
Consumer DefensivePackaged FoodsUnited States

Fundamental

65

Price

$10.85

Market Cap

$969M

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

The Simply Good Foods Company, a consumer-packaged food and beverage company, engages in the development, marketing, and sale of snacks and meal replacements, and other products in North America and internationally. The company offers protein bars, ready-to-drink beverages and shakes, sweet and salty snacks, cookies, muffins, protein chips and crackers, protein powders, and recipes under the Quest, Atkins, and OWYN brand names. It also provides confectionery products, such as peanut butter cups, brownies, caramel candy bites, chocolatey coated peanut candies, and caramel candy bars. In addition, the company licenses certain products that contain its brands and logos; and distributes its products to various retail channels, such as mass merchandise, grocery and drug stores, club and convenience stores, gas stations, and other channels. It also sells its products through e-commerce channels, including questnutrition.com, atkins.com, liveowyn.com, amazon.com and others. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.

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Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

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No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$1.39B

Trailing 12 months (through 5/30/2026)

Net Income

$-199M

Trailing 12 months (through 5/30/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$158M

Total Equity

$1.81B

Total Liabilities

$589M

Current Ratio

4.80

Interest Coverage

11.84

Debt/EBITDA

2.51

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

General caseUndervalued

Fair Value

$34.47

Current Price

$10.85

Margin of Safety

+68.5%

Fair Value Range

$22.41 - $46.54

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$14.88
Discounted cash flow (DCF):$63.87
Earnings multiple (P/E):Not enough data to compute it
Graham growth formula:Not enough data to compute it
Earnings power value (EPV):Not enough data to compute it
Justified P/B:Not enough data to compute it
Dividend discount (Gordon):Not enough data to compute it
P/FFO, funds from operations:Not enough data to compute it
Mid-cycle earnings:$36.42
Revenue multiple:Not enough data to compute it
Analyst Consensus:Buy (9B / 8H / 0S)
Last Earnings Surprise:+16.57%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

10.75

ROE

5.7%

P/B Ratio

0.68

P/FCF

8.13

Gross Margin

32.7%

ROIC

-9.5%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

-9.5%

WACC

6.8%

ROIC − WACC

-16.3 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (18)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 10.41%
  • Gross Margin 32.7%
  • P/FCF 8.13
  • P/B Ratio 0.68
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 12.2%
  • Analyst Consensus 53% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 7.7%
  • Share Dilution 0.6%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

Failed (7)

  • Price CAGR -2.96%
  • ROIC -9.5%
  • Operating Margin -17.1%
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE -12.3%
  • Net Margin Trend -14.3% vs 10.0%

Unavailable (3)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)

Piotroski F-Score

6/9

Mixed signals: some areas need attention

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

-

Low quality: investigate accounting

Share Dilution

0.6%

Share count is stable

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. James Marshall KiltsIndependent Chairman of the Board77
Mr. Joseph E. ScalzoPresident, CEO & Director66
Mr. Christopher James BealerCFO & Principal Accounting Officer49
Mr. Timothy Richard Kraft J.D.Chief Administrative Officer and Chief Legal & Corporate Development Officer45
Mr. Ryan A. ThomasSenior Vice President of Atkins & OWYN Marketing46
Ms. Kathy KelleySVP of Operations-
Mr. Matthew D. SilerVice President, Investor Relations and Treasury-
Mr. Stamati ArakasSenior Vice President of Strategic & Global Sales-
Ms. Jessica MorganSVP, Deputy General Counsel & Head of People-
Mr. Jeremy IvieChief Product Technology Officer-

Audit Risk

3

Board Risk

1

Compensation Risk

1

Shareholder Rights Risk

4

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Latest News

Recent headlines for SMPL, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 4/7/2026NEUTRAL
    Simply Good Foods Gears Up For Q2 Print; Here Are The Recent Forecast Changes From Wall Street's Most Accurate Analysts

    Simply Good Foods Corp. is scheduled to report its second-quarter earnings on April 9th. Analysts are forecasting earnings per share of $0.40, a decrease from the $0.46 reported in the same quarter last year. The company has also appointed a new CEO. Despite the anticipated earnings decline, the stock saw a modest gain of 0.4%. Recent analyst actions include Mizuho initiating coverage with a 'Buy' rating in January 2022, Morgan Stanley maintaining an 'Equal-Weight' rating, and Credit Suisse upgrading its rating from 'Neutral' to 'Outperform'. Investors will be watching the earnings report and management's forward guidance closely.

via Markets Gazette