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SPS Commerce, Inc. (SPSC)

NEUTRAL
TechnologySoftware - ApplicationUnited States

Fundamental

72

Price

$80.09

Market Cap

$2.94B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

SPS Commerce, Inc. provides cloud-based supply chain management solutions in the United States. It offers solutions through SPS Commerce, a cloud-based platform that connects retailers, brands, distributors, manufacturers, and logistics providers, handling the complexity of modern commerce operations. The company also provides Fulfillment, a comprehensive solution designed to streamline supply chain operation that sends and receives order data, ensuring accurate execution of required processes from order to invoicing and revenue recovery through fully automated operations; and Analytics product that simplifies managing sell-through data from customers business partners that handle data acquisition, cleansing, normalization, and delivery. In addition, it offers various complimentary products, such as assortment product, which simplifies the communication of robust, accurate item data by automatically translating item attributes, and hierarchies through single connection across all sales channels; and relationship management product that allows organizations to accelerate digitization of their supply chain and improve collaboration with suppliers through change management, onboarding programs, and supplier score carding. The company was formerly known as St. Paul Software, Inc. and changed its name to SPS Commerce, Inc. in May 2001. SPS Commerce, Inc. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.

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Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

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No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$772M

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Net Income

$78M

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$152M

Total Equity

$974M

Total Liabilities

$196M

Current Ratio

2.26

Interest Coverage

-

Debt/EBITDA

0.05

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

General caseFairly Valued

Fair Value

$78.66

Current Price

$80.09

Margin of Safety

-1.8%

Fair Value Range

$51.13 - $106.19

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$75.45
Discounted cash flow (DCF):$155.04
Earnings multiple (P/E):$27.37
Graham growth formula:$68.13
Earnings power value (EPV):$26.70
Justified P/B:$26.62
Dividend discount (Gordon):Not enough data to compute it
P/FFO, funds from operations:Not enough data to compute it
Mid-cycle earnings:$34.92
Revenue multiple:Not enough data to compute it
Analyst Consensus:Buy (8B / 9H / 1S)
Last Earnings Surprise:+13.79%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

39.11

ROE

9.6%

P/B Ratio

3.12

P/FCF

14.74

Gross Margin

69.8%

ROIC

8.0%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

8.0%

WACC

8.0%

ROIC − WACC

-0.0 pp

ROIC is roughly in line with the cost of capital — the company is barely covering its capital cost.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (19)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 20.17%
  • Price CAGR 8.78%
  • ROIC 8.0%
  • Gross Margin 69.8%
  • P/FCF 14.74
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 12.8%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 8.1%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 19.2%
  • Earnings Surprise avg 10.5%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.92
  • Share Dilution 0.5%
  • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

Failed (7)

  • P/B Ratio 3.12
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Analyst Consensus 44% Buy
  • PEG Ratio 2.44
  • Net Margin Trend 10.1% vs 11.8%

Unavailable (2)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage

Piotroski F-Score

8/9

Strong financial health

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

2.92

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

0.5%

Share count is stable

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Chadwick CollinsCEO & Director48
Mr. Jamie ThingelstadExecutive VP & CTO53
Mr. Eduardo RosiniExecutive VP & Chief Commercial Officer57
Mr. Joseph M. Del Preto IIExecutive VP & CFO50
Ms. Maria PergolinoSenior VP & Chief Marketing Officer-
Ms. Erica KoenigSenior VP & Chief Human Resources Officer-
Mr. Michael SvatekSenior VP & Chief Product Officer-

Audit Risk

1

Board Risk

2

Compensation Risk

3

Shareholder Rights Risk

2

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Latest News

Recent headlines for SPSC, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 3/10/2026NEGATIVE
    This Supply Chain Network Stock Down 50% Just Saw One Investor Sell Off $34 Million in Shares

    SPS Commerce, a provider of cloud-based supply chain solutions, experienced a significant sell-off as one investor divested $34 million worth of shares. This large transaction, following a prior 50% stock price decline, raises concerns about institutional sentiment and potential future price pressure. Investors will be closely monitoring trading volumes and any further disclosures to gauge the extent of this selling pressure and its impact on the stock's recovery prospects.

  • 2/23/2026POSITIVE
    Fund Builds $40 Million SPS Commerce Stake as Shares Sink 60% Despite 100 Straight Growth Quarters

    SPS Commerce, a cloud-based supply chain software provider, presents a contrasting picture for investors. Despite an outstanding record of 100 consecutive quarters of growth, the stock has plummeted by 60%, creating an apparent disconnect between business performance and market valuation. Against this backdrop, a key development has emerged: an investment fund has seized the opportunity, building a new $40 million stake. This significant institutional investment is a strong vote of confidence. It suggests the fund views the price collapse as overdone and sees long-term intrinsic value in the company's solid business model. For the market, this accumulation could signal that the stock has reached a bottom and may attract other value investors looking for underpriced assets with robust fundamentals.

via Markets Gazette