Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (TXRH)
NEUTRALFundamental
66
Price
$203.05
Market Cap
$13.42B
Part 1 · What the company is worth
Overview
Texas Roadhouse operates and franchises casual-dining steakhouse restaurants under the Texas Roadhouse, Bubba's 33 and Jaggers brands, serving hand-cut steaks and other American comfort food at moderate prices. Most locations are company-owned rather than franchised, which is unusual for a restaurant chain this size: Texas Roadhouse prefers to run its own stores and keep the full profit rather than share it with franchisees, franchising mainly in markets it chooses not to enter directly, including internationally.
How it makes money
Almost all revenue comes from food and drink sold at company-owned restaurants, recognized as guests pay their bill; franchise royalties and fees, based on a percentage of franchisee sales, are a small addition on top. Because Texas Roadhouse owns most of its stores, its economics look more like a traditional restaurant operator than an asset-light franchisor: it captures more revenue per location than franchise-heavy chains, but also carries the real-estate, labor and food-cost risk that a franchise model would push onto operators.
Revenue by segment
Food and beverage sales at company-owned Texas Roadhouse, Bubba's 33 and Jaggers restaurants, plus gift-card and other incidental revenue.
Ongoing royalties and one-time opening fees paid by franchisees who operate Texas Roadhouse restaurants under license, mostly outside the US.
Competitive moat
Brand · NarrowTexas Roadhouse has built a loyal following around consistent quality, large portions and value pricing, which shows up in one of the industry's longest streaks of positive comparable sales. That loyalty supports steady traffic, but the moat is narrow: diners can switch to any of dozens of other casual-dining chains with little friction, and Texas Roadhouse must keep earning repeat visits through execution rather than any structural lock-in.
What drives demand
Moderately cyclicalRestaurant spending is discretionary and tends to soften when consumers feel financially stretched, but Texas Roadhouse's value positioning — large portions at moderate prices — has historically made it a relative beneficiary when diners trade down from pricier restaurants rather than stop eating out altogether, softening the swings compared with fine dining.
Key risks
- Beef and commodity cost volatility — Steaks are the core menu item, and beef prices are volatile and largely outside the company's control; a sustained spike in beef costs compresses restaurant-level margins faster than menu prices can be raised.
- Labor cost and availability — Restaurants depend on a large hourly workforce, and rising minimum wages, tight labor markets or high turnover push up costs and can limit how many hours a location can stay open.
- Ownership model concentrates capital and risk — Because most restaurants are company-operated rather than franchised, Texas Roadhouse carries the lease and buildout costs of every new location itself, so a slowdown in new-store performance affects results more directly than at an asset-light franchisor.
- Discretionary consumer spending — Dining out is one of the first expenses households cut when they feel financial pressure, so a broad economic downturn or reduced consumer confidence can reduce visit frequency even at a value-priced chain.
The case for
Buyers argue that decades of consistent comparable-sales growth show Texas Roadhouse has built real customer loyalty around value and quality, that owning most of its restaurants lets it capture more of each location's economics than franchise-heavy peers, and that continued store growth gives a long, visible runway for the model to keep compounding.
The case against
Sellers fear that beef-cost volatility and rising labor costs squeeze restaurant-level margins in a business with limited pricing power, that owning most locations concentrates real-estate and buildout risk on the company's own balance sheet, and that a full-priced stock leaves little room for error if comparable-sales growth slows from its current pace.
Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
No editorial profile for this company yet
No competitor list for this company yet.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Revenue
$6.23B
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Net Income
$422M
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Free Cash Flow
$342M
Total Equity
$1.46B
Total Liabilities
$2.07B
Current Ratio
0.46
Interest Coverage
-
Debt/EBITDA
1.60
Earnings Per Share
Revenue & Net Income
Free Cash Flow
Income Breakdown
Historical statement
Margins over time
Debt over time
How heavy the debt is
Growth grid
Growth — Revenue
Fair Value Estimation
Fair Value
$331.87
Current Price
$203.05
Margin of Safety
+38.8%
Fair Value Range
$215.72 - $448.02
Estimation Methods
Valuation Metrics
P/E Ratio
32.79
ROE
28.4%
P/B Ratio
8.65
P/FCF
33.16
Gross Margin
-
ROIC
13.2%
Profitability Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
13.2%
WACC
8.3%
ROIC − WACC
+4.9 pp
ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.
Fundamental Analysis Criteria
Passed (16)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR 14.80%
- Price CAGR 15.54%
- ROIC 13.2%
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 7.7%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- ROE 28.2%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 19.6%
- Analyst Consensus 56% Buy
- PEG Ratio 0.50
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.90
- Share Dilution -1.1%
Failed (9)
- P/FCF 33.16
- P/B Ratio 8.65
- CapEx intensity
- Current Ratio
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- Earnings Surprise avg -5.2%
- Net Margin Trend 6.8% vs 7.9%
- Piotroski F-Score 4/9
Unavailable (3)
- Gross Margin NaN%
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Interest Coverage
Piotroski F-Score
Mixed signals: some areas need attention
Earnings Quality
High quality: earnings backed by cash
Share Dilution
Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly
Governance
Executive Team
| Name | Title | Age |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Gerald L. Morgan | CEO & Executive Vice Chairman | 64 |
| Ms. Regina A. Tobin | President | 60 |
| Mr. Michael S. Lenihan | Chief Financial Officer | 52 |
| Mr. Keith V. Humpich | Chief Accounting & Financial Services Officer | 54 |
| Mr. Hernan E. Mujica | Chief Technology Officer | 62 |
| Mr. Christopher C. Colson | Corporate Secretary and Chief Business & Administrative Officer | 48 |
| Mr. Travis C. Doster | Chief Communications Officer | 58 |
| Mr. Lloyd Paul Marshall | Chief Growth Officer | 55 |
| Michael Bailen | Head of Investor Relations | - |
| Mr. Sean G. Renfroe | General Counsel | 44 |
Audit Risk
6
Board Risk
1
Compensation Risk
4
Shareholder Rights Risk
1
Part 2 · The price and when to enter
This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.
Latest News
Recent headlines for TXRH, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 5/7/2026POSITIVETexas Roadhouse Sales Hold as Diners Pick Cheaper Beef Cuts
Texas Roadhouse Inc. reported in-line first-quarter results, with shares seeing a positive reaction. The casual dining chain indicated that sales momentum is expected to persist. This resilience is attributed to diners adapting to elevated prices and a slight moderation in commodity-cost inflation. The company's ability to maintain sales through strategic adjustments in menu offerings, such as diners opting for more economical beef cuts, suggests a robust operational strategy. Investors will be watching for continued margin management and sales growth in the upcoming quarters.
via Markets Gazette