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Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (TXRH)

NEUTRAL
Consumer CyclicalRestaurantsUnited States

Fundamental

66

Price

$203.05

Market Cap

$13.42B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Texas Roadhouse operates and franchises casual-dining steakhouse restaurants under the Texas Roadhouse, Bubba's 33 and Jaggers brands, serving hand-cut steaks and other American comfort food at moderate prices. Most locations are company-owned rather than franchised, which is unusual for a restaurant chain this size: Texas Roadhouse prefers to run its own stores and keep the full profit rather than share it with franchisees, franchising mainly in markets it chooses not to enter directly, including internationally.

How it makes money

Almost all revenue comes from food and drink sold at company-owned restaurants, recognized as guests pay their bill; franchise royalties and fees, based on a percentage of franchisee sales, are a small addition on top. Because Texas Roadhouse owns most of its stores, its economics look more like a traditional restaurant operator than an asset-light franchisor: it captures more revenue per location than franchise-heavy chains, but also carries the real-estate, labor and food-cost risk that a franchise model would push onto operators.

Revenue by segment

Restaurant and other sales99.5%

Food and beverage sales at company-owned Texas Roadhouse, Bubba's 33 and Jaggers restaurants, plus gift-card and other incidental revenue.

Royalties and franchise fees0.5%

Ongoing royalties and one-time opening fees paid by franchisees who operate Texas Roadhouse restaurants under license, mostly outside the US.

Competitive moat

Brand · Narrow

Texas Roadhouse has built a loyal following around consistent quality, large portions and value pricing, which shows up in one of the industry's longest streaks of positive comparable sales. That loyalty supports steady traffic, but the moat is narrow: diners can switch to any of dozens of other casual-dining chains with little friction, and Texas Roadhouse must keep earning repeat visits through execution rather than any structural lock-in.

What drives demand

Moderately cyclical

Restaurant spending is discretionary and tends to soften when consumers feel financially stretched, but Texas Roadhouse's value positioning — large portions at moderate prices — has historically made it a relative beneficiary when diners trade down from pricier restaurants rather than stop eating out altogether, softening the swings compared with fine dining.

Key risks

  • Beef and commodity cost volatility — Steaks are the core menu item, and beef prices are volatile and largely outside the company's control; a sustained spike in beef costs compresses restaurant-level margins faster than menu prices can be raised.
  • Labor cost and availability — Restaurants depend on a large hourly workforce, and rising minimum wages, tight labor markets or high turnover push up costs and can limit how many hours a location can stay open.
  • Ownership model concentrates capital and risk — Because most restaurants are company-operated rather than franchised, Texas Roadhouse carries the lease and buildout costs of every new location itself, so a slowdown in new-store performance affects results more directly than at an asset-light franchisor.
  • Discretionary consumer spending — Dining out is one of the first expenses households cut when they feel financial pressure, so a broad economic downturn or reduced consumer confidence can reduce visit frequency even at a value-priced chain.

The case for

Buyers argue that decades of consistent comparable-sales growth show Texas Roadhouse has built real customer loyalty around value and quality, that owning most of its restaurants lets it capture more of each location's economics than franchise-heavy peers, and that continued store growth gives a long, visible runway for the model to keep compounding.

The case against

Sellers fear that beef-cost volatility and rising labor costs squeeze restaurant-level margins in a business with limited pricing power, that owning most locations concentrates real-estate and buildout risk on the company's own balance sheet, and that a full-priced stock leaves little room for error if comparable-sales growth slows from its current pace.

Segment figures from fiscal year 2025Sources: Texas Roadhouse, Inc. Announces Fourth Quarter 2025 Results

Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$6.23B

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Net Income

$422M

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$342M

Total Equity

$1.46B

Total Liabilities

$2.07B

Current Ratio

0.46

Interest Coverage

-

Debt/EBITDA

1.60

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

Undervalued

Fair Value

$331.87

Current Price

$203.05

Margin of Safety

+38.8%

Fair Value Range

$215.72 - $448.02

Estimation Methods

Analyst Target:$217.74
DCF:$551.40
PE-based:$182.94
Graham Growth:$322.26
EPV:$65.00
Analyst Consensus:Buy (19B / 15H / 0S)
Last Earnings Surprise:-0.79%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

32.79

ROE

28.4%

P/B Ratio

8.65

P/FCF

33.16

Gross Margin

-

ROIC

13.2%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

13.2%

WACC

8.3%

ROIC − WACC

+4.9 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (16)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 14.80%
  • Price CAGR 15.54%
  • ROIC 13.2%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 7.7%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 28.2%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 19.6%
  • Analyst Consensus 56% Buy
  • PEG Ratio 0.50
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.90
  • Share Dilution -1.1%

Failed (9)

  • P/FCF 33.16
  • P/B Ratio 8.65
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg -5.2%
  • Net Margin Trend 6.8% vs 7.9%
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

Unavailable (3)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage

Piotroski F-Score

4/9

Mixed signals: some areas need attention

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

1.90

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

-1.1%

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Gerald L. MorganCEO & Executive Vice Chairman64
Ms. Regina A. TobinPresident60
Mr. Michael S. LenihanChief Financial Officer52
Mr. Keith V. HumpichChief Accounting & Financial Services Officer54
Mr. Hernan E. MujicaChief Technology Officer62
Mr. Christopher C. ColsonCorporate Secretary and Chief Business & Administrative Officer48
Mr. Travis C. DosterChief Communications Officer58
Mr. Lloyd Paul MarshallChief Growth Officer55
Michael BailenHead of Investor Relations-
Mr. Sean G. RenfroeGeneral Counsel44

Audit Risk

6

Board Risk

1

Compensation Risk

4

Shareholder Rights Risk

1

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Latest News

Recent headlines for TXRH, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 5/7/2026POSITIVE
    Texas Roadhouse Sales Hold as Diners Pick Cheaper Beef Cuts

    Texas Roadhouse Inc. reported in-line first-quarter results, with shares seeing a positive reaction. The casual dining chain indicated that sales momentum is expected to persist. This resilience is attributed to diners adapting to elevated prices and a slight moderation in commodity-cost inflation. The company's ability to maintain sales through strategic adjustments in menu offerings, such as diners opting for more economical beef cuts, suggests a robust operational strategy. Investors will be watching for continued margin management and sales growth in the upcoming quarters.

via Markets Gazette