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Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM)

Overvalued
EnergyOil & Gas IntegratedUnited States

Fundamental

70

Price

$168.94

Market Cap

$676.33B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation engages in the exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company operates through Upstream, Energy Products, Chemical Products, and Specialty Products segments. Its Upstream segment explores for and produces crude oil and natural gas. The Energy Products segment offers fuels, aromatics, and catalysts, as well as licensing services. Its Chemical Products segment manufactures and sells olefins, polyolefins, and intermediates. The Specialty Products segment offers finished lubricants, basestocks, waxes, synthetics, elastomers, and resins. It is also involved in the manufacture, trade, transport, and sale of crude oil, natural gas, petroleum products, petrochemicals, and other specialty products; and pursuit of lower-emission and business opportunities, including carbon capture and storage, hydrogen, lower-emission fuels, Proxxima resin systems, carbon materials, low-carbon data center, and lithium. In addition, the company offers aviation fuel. It sells its products under the Exxon, Esso, and Mobil brands. The company was formerly known as Exxon Mobil Corporation and changed its name to ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation in July 2026. ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation was founded in 1870 and is headquartered in Spring, Texas.

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Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

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No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$361.06B

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Net Income

$32.76B

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Free Cash Flow

-

Total Equity

$266.63B

Total Liabilities

$182.35B

Current Ratio

1.15

Interest Coverage

68.44

Debt/EBITDA

0.62

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

CyclicalOvervalued

Fair Value

$124.30

Current Price

$168.94

Margin of Safety

-35.9%

Fair Value Range

$91.98 - $156.62

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$173.41
Discounted cash flow (DCF):Not applicable to this type of company
Earnings multiple (P/E):$111.44
Graham growth formula:Not applicable to this type of company
Earnings power value (EPV):$98.49
Justified P/B:Not applicable to this type of company
Dividend discount (Gordon):Not applicable to this type of company
P/FFO, funds from operations:Not applicable to this type of company
Mid-cycle earnings:$103.59
Revenue multiple:Not applicable to this type of company
Analyst Consensus:Buy (14B / 16H / 0S)
Last Earnings Surprise:-1.86%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

24.55

ROE

11.2%

P/B Ratio

2.54

P/FCF

-

Gross Margin

-

ROIC

8.7%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

8.7%

WACC

7.5%

ROIC − WACC

+1.1 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (16)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 6.28%
  • ROIC 8.7%
  • P/B ratio 2.54
  • Debt/equity ratio
  • Operating margin 12.4%
  • Current ratio
  • Interest coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on tangible assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 12.7%
  • Revenue growth 5Y 12.7%
  • Earnings surprise, average 3.8%
  • Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income) 1.75
  • Share dilution -0.7%

Failed (6)

  • EPS CAGR 3.29%
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • Analyst consensus: 47% buy
  • Net margin trend 9.0% vs 10.0%
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

Unavailable (6)

  • Gross margin –
  • P/FCF –
  • Dividend payout –
  • Positive free cash flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • PEG ratio (needs P/E > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-Score

4/9

Mixed signals: some areas need attention

ROA > 0
Operating cash flow > 0
ΔROA > 0
Cash flow > net income
Leverage ↓
Current ratio ↑
No dilution
Gross margin ↑
Asset turnover ↑

Earnings Quality

1.75

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

-0.7%

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Institutional Holdings

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Darren W. WoodsChairman of the Board & CEO60
Mr. Jon M. GibbsSenior President of ExxonMobil Global Operations53
Mr. Neil A. ChapmanSenior Vice President63
Mr. Jack P. Williams Jr.Senior Vice President61
Mr. James R. ChapmanPresident & Treasurer55
Mr. Neil A. HansenSenior VP & CFO50
Ms. Susan E. BuchananVP, Chief Accounting Officer & Controller43
Mr. Jeffrey A. Taylor J.D.VP, General Counsel & Secretary60
Inge A. Van CoppenolleVice President of Human Resources-
Ms. Tracey C. GunnlaugssonPresident of Global Trading-

Audit Risk

9

Board Risk

7

Compensation Risk

9

Shareholder Rights Risk

1

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Documents

  • Quarterly Report (10-Q)

    A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.

    Filed on 2026-08-03

    View document
  • Current Report (8-K)

    An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.

    Filed on 2026-09-25

    View document

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for XOM, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 4d agoNEUTRAL
    SEC Warns Activist Investors After Climate Push at Exxon Mobil

    The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has issued a warning to asset managers and activist investors regarding their reporting duties. This follows a 2021 shareholder campaign targeting Exxon Mobil Corp. directors over climate change policies. The SEC's advisory aims to clarify disclosure requirements for investors engaging in proxy contests, particularly those focused on environmental, social, and governance (ESG) issues. While the news does not directly impact Exxon Mobil's operations or financial performance, it highlights increased regulatory scrutiny on activist investor activities and corporate governance related to climate initiatives.

  • 5d agoNEGATIVE
    Big Oil Faces Climate Reckoning in Supreme Court

    A Supreme Court case involving Suncor and Exxon Mobil is set to determine if states can sue energy companies for damages attributed to global warming. This legal challenge represents a significant climate reckoning for 'Big Oil,' potentially exposing companies to substantial financial liabilities and increased regulatory scrutiny. Investors are closely watching as the outcome could set a precedent for future climate-related litigation against the energy sector, impacting long-term profitability and corporate strategy.

  • 17d agoNEGATIVE
    Scott Sheffield Claims Exxon CEO Betrayed Him in $60 Billion Pioneer Deal

    Scott Sheffield alleges ExxonMobil CEO Darren Woods reneged on a promise of support during a Federal Trade Commission dispute, leading to a breakdown in their relationship. This dispute reportedly impacted a $60 billion deal, suggesting potential governance or strategic missteps at ExxonMobil. Investors may view this conflict as a sign of internal friction or poor execution, potentially casting a shadow over future deal-making and strategic partnerships. The accusation of betrayal by a key figure in the industry could also signal reputational risks for ExxonMobil.

  • 28d agoPOSITIVE
    Exxon Boosts 2030 LNG Sales Forecast on Strong Demand Growth

    Exxon Mobil Corp. has revised its 2030 liquefied natural gas (LNG) sales forecast upwards, anticipating sustained high demand, particularly from Asian markets. This strategic move comes despite geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which have led some countries to re-evaluate their energy sources. The company's increased confidence in long-term LNG demand suggests a positive outlook for its gas business segment, potentially leading to higher revenues and profits. Investors may view this as a sign of Exxon's strong market position and foresight in a dynamic energy landscape.

  • 8/1/2026NEUTRAL
    Exxon, Chevron Warn Fuel Prices to Endure as War Knocks Refining

    Exxon Mobil Corporation and Chevron Corporation have issued a joint warning that elevated fuel prices are expected to persist. This outlook is attributed to a critical shortage in global refining capacity, exacerbated by ongoing geopolitical conflicts in Russia and the Middle East. Despite potential drops in crude oil prices, the companies indicate that refining margins will remain tight. This situation suggests continued pressure on consumer energy costs and potential headwinds for industries reliant on stable fuel prices, while potentially benefiting refiners with available capacity.

  • 7/31/2026POSITIVE
    Here’s how Big Oil cashed in on the historic supply crunch

    ExxonMobil reported a more than doubling of its profits in the latest quarter, a significant surge driven by the historic "Big Oil" supply crunch. While the exact figures were not detailed in this excerpt, the company's performance indicates a strong operational and market advantage. Concurrently, Chevron's improved earnings also positively impacted its stock. This suggests a favorable environment for major oil producers, potentially signaling continued investor interest in the energy sector due to sustained demand and constrained supply.

  • 7/31/2026NEUTRAL
    Exxon, Chevron Steer Windfall Profits Into Debt Reduction

    ExxonMobil and Chevron have prioritized debt reduction over significant increases in share buybacks, utilizing windfall profits from elevated oil prices. This strategic move signals a cautious outlook from the major oil companies regarding the sustainability of current price rallies, likely driven by geopolitical factors. Investors may view this as a prudent approach to strengthening balance sheets, potentially enhancing long-term stability, though it tempers immediate shareholder return expectations.

via Markets Gazette