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Evolution Mining Limited (CAHPF)

NEUTRAL
Basic MaterialsGoldAustralia

Fundamental

68

Kurs

$15.88

Marktkapitalisierung

$32.12B

Teil 1 · Was das Unternehmen wert ist

Übersicht

Evolution Mining is an Australian miner that digs up and processes rock to extract gold, with copper as a significant byproduct at some of its mines. It operates a portfolio of underground and open-pit mines, including Cowal, Ernest Henry, Red Lake, Mungari and Northparkes, spanning Australia and Canada. It does not sell to a single end customer; it produces gold bullion and copper concentrate that are sold into global commodity markets at prevailing prices.

Wie das Geld verdient wird

Revenue is simply ounces of gold and tonnes of copper produced, multiplied by the market price on the day they are sold; Evolution has little influence over that price. Gold is the primary product across the portfolio, with copper — produced mainly at Ernest Henry and Cowal — a smaller but meaningful secondary contributor. Because mining and processing costs are largely fixed once a mine is running, profit is highly sensitive to swings in the gold and copper price.

Wettbewerbsvorteil

Kein erkennbarer Vorteil · Keiner

Gold and copper are undifferentiated commodities sold at a price set by global markets, not by Evolution. A mining company can have better or worse ore bodies and lower or higher costs than its peers, but it cannot charge more for its gold than anyone else does, so there is no durable competitive advantage in the way a brand or a patent provides one.

Was die Nachfrage antreibt

Zyklisch

Evolution's results move with global gold and copper prices, which themselves swing with macroeconomic cycles: gold tends to rise when investors seek a safe haven during uncertainty or falling real interest rates, while copper tracks industrial and construction activity worldwide. A period of high metal prices can lift profit sharply, and a downturn in prices compresses it just as fast, independent of how well the mines themselves are run.

Die Argumente dafür

Buyers argue that record gold and copper output, combined with strong metal prices, has already delivered record profit and a higher dividend, and that a long-life, multi-mine portfolio spread across two countries reduces the risk of any single operation disappointing.

Die Argumente dagegen

Sellers worry that today's record results depend on metal prices Evolution does not control and that could fall back, that mining carries operational risks such as lower ore grades or unexpected costs at any given site, and that a portfolio built around a handful of mines leaves less room to absorb a problem at one of them.

Written by the editors, published on 18. August 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

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Bilanz & Liquidität

Umsatz

$5.16B

Letzte 12 Monate bis zum zuletzt gemeldeten Quartal — Schätzung aus Kennzahlen je Aktie

Nettogewinn

$1.35B

Letzte 12 Monate bis zum zuletzt gemeldeten Quartal — Schätzung aus Kennzahlen je Aktie

Freier Cashflow

$1.16B

Gesamtes Eigenkapital

$5.86B

Gesamtverbindlichkeiten

$1.44B

Current Ratio

1.82

Zinsdeckungsgrad

-

Schulden/EBITDA

0.46

Gewinn je Aktie

Umsatz & Nettogewinn

Freier Cashflow

Ertragsaufschlüsselung

Historische Aufstellung

Margen im Zeitverlauf

Verschuldung im Zeitverlauf

Wie schwer die Schulden wiegen

Wachstumsraster

Wachstum — Umsatz

Innerer-Wert-Schätzung

Überbewertet

Innerer Wert

$12.13

Aktueller Kurs

$15.88

Sicherheitsmarge

-30.9%

Innerer-Wert-Spanne

$7.89 - $16.38

Bewertungsmethoden

Analyst Target:$13.06
DCF:$10.27
PE-based:$8.38
Graham Growth:$32.92
EPV:$4.45
Analystenkonsens:Kaufen (11B / 8H / 2S)
Letzte Gewinnüberraschung:+15.61%

Bewertungskennzahlen

P/E-Verhältnis

23.83

ROE

27.4%

P/B-Verhältnis

5.67

P/FCF

27.58

Bruttomarge

42.6%

ROIC

25.5%

Rentabilitäts-Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

25.5%

WACC

15.7%

ROIC − WACC

+9.8 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

Fundamentalanalyse-Kriterien

Bestanden (16)

  • Price CAGR 22.14%
  • ROIC 25.5%
  • Gross Margin 42.6%
  • P/FCF 27.58
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 36.7%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • ROE 25.1%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 17.5%
  • Analyst Consensus 52% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 19.6%
  • PEG Ratio 1.10
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.79
  • Net Margin Trend 26.5% vs 21.3%

Nicht bestanden (5)

  • P/B Ratio 5.67
  • CapEx intensity
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

Nicht verfügbar (6)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-Score

2/9

Ernsthafte finanzielle Bedenken

score
criteria

Gewinnqualität

1.79

Hohe Qualität: Gewinne durch Cashflow gedeckt

Aktienverwässerung

-

Aktienrückkäufe. Aktionärsfreundlich

Unternehmensführung

Führungsteam

NamePositionAlter
Mr. Lawrence John Conway BBus, C.P.A., MAICDCEO, MD & Director-

Prüfungsrisiko

2

Vorstandsrisiko

6

Vergütungsrisiko

9

Aktionärsrechterisiko

7

Teil 2 · Der Preis und der Einstiegszeitpunkt

Dieser Teil sagt nicht, ob das Unternehmen etwas taugt: Er hilft bei der Wahl des Kaufzeitpunkts, nachdem die Fundamentaldaten überzeugt haben. Enthalten: technische Analyse, Potenzial, historische Drawdowns, Gamma-Exposure.

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