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Evolution AB (publ) (EVGGF)

NEUTRAL
Consumer CyclicalGamblingSweden

Fundamental

58

Kurs

$839.00

Marktkapitalisierung

$155.01B

Teil 1 · Was das Unternehmen wert ist

Übersicht

Evolution supplies live-dealer casino games and computer-generated (RNG) casino games to online gambling operators around the world, rather than running its own casino or taking bets from consumers directly. It builds and staffs television-style studios where real dealers run roulette, blackjack and game-show-style formats streamed live to players on partner websites, and separately develops slot-style games generated entirely by software. Its customers are the licensed gambling operators who put Evolution's games on their own platforms.

Wie das Geld verdient wird

Evolution is paid a share of the betting revenue its games generate for the gambling operators that license them — a business-to-business model with no direct consumer transactions or marketing spend of its own. Most of that revenue still comes from live-dealer games, the format the company pioneered and where its studio scale is hardest to replicate; a smaller and growing share comes from RNG games following recent studio acquisitions. Full-year 2025 group revenue was essentially flat at €2.07 billion.

Wettbewerbsvorteil

Skaleneffekte · Schmal

Running live-dealer studios profitably requires enough volume across many tables and languages to spread fixed costs like staffing, real estate and broadcast technology — a scale advantage the largest live-casino supplier holds over smaller rivals. It is not unassailable: RNG games face lower barriers to entry, and gambling operators can and do work with more than one games supplier at once.

Was die Nachfrage antreibt

Mäßig zyklisch

Demand follows overall online gambling activity, which grows steadily with internet penetration and the legalization of regulated online gambling in new markets, but is less tied to the broader economic cycle than most consumer sectors since gambling spending persists in downturns. Regulatory swings in individual countries — new taxes, advertising limits or market restrictions — can move revenue faster than the economic cycle does.

Die Argumente dafür

Buyers argue that Evolution's live-dealer studio scale and first-mover advantage are difficult for smaller suppliers to replicate, that legalization of regulated online gambling in new markets extends its growth runway, and that a business-to-business licensing model without direct consumer acquisition costs supports high margins.

Die Argumente dagegen

Sellers worry that 2025's roughly flat revenue points to a maturing core live-casino market in its largest regions, that regulatory tightening in individual European markets can remove revenue with little warning, and that RNG games face lower barriers to entry than the live-dealer format that built the company's lead.

Written by the editors, published on 18. August 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Bilanz & Liquidität

Umsatz

$2.00B

Letzte 12 Monate bis zum zuletzt gemeldeten Quartal — Schätzung aus Kennzahlen je Aktie

Nettogewinn

$997M

Letzte 12 Monate bis zum zuletzt gemeldeten Quartal — Schätzung aus Kennzahlen je Aktie

Freier Cashflow

$915M

Gesamtes Eigenkapital

$4.09B

Gesamtverbindlichkeiten

$90M

Current Ratio

2.04

Zinsdeckungsgrad

-

Schulden/EBITDA

0.07

Gewinn je Aktie

Umsatz & Nettogewinn

Freier Cashflow

Ertragsaufschlüsselung

Historische Aufstellung

Margen im Zeitverlauf

Verschuldung im Zeitverlauf

Wie schwer die Schulden wiegen

Wachstumsraster

Wachstum — Umsatz

Innerer-Wert-Schätzung

Fair bewertet

Innerer Wert

$791.37

Aktueller Kurs

$839.00

Sicherheitsmarge

-6.0%

Innerer-Wert-Spanne

$514.39 - $1068.35

Bewertungsmethoden

Analyst Target:$735.17
DCF:$378.85
PE-based:$639.34
Graham Growth:$3026.51
EPV:$61.98
Analystenkonsens:Halten (5B / 8H / 12S)
Letzte Gewinnüberraschung:-1.86%

Bewertungskennzahlen

P/E-Verhältnis

155.41

ROE

26.7%

P/B-Verhältnis

37.90

P/FCF

169.34

Bruttomarge

100.0%

ROIC

22.3%

Rentabilitäts-Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

22.3%

WACC

8.0%

ROIC − WACC

+14.3 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

Fundamentalanalyse-Kriterien

Bestanden (12)

  • Price CAGR 30.74%
  • ROIC 22.3%
  • Gross Margin 100.0%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 58.8%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • ROE 25.9%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 30.4%
  • PEG Ratio 0.44
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.23

Nicht bestanden (9)

  • P/FCF 169.34
  • P/B Ratio 37.90
  • CapEx intensity
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Analyst Consensus 20% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 1.4%
  • Net Margin Trend 51.4% vs 60.3%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

Nicht verfügbar (6)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-Score

2/9

Ernsthafte finanzielle Bedenken

score
criteria

Gewinnqualität

1.23

Hohe Qualität: Gewinne durch Cashflow gedeckt

Aktienverwässerung

-

Aktienrückkäufe. Aktionärsfreundlich

Unternehmensführung

Führungsteam

NamePositionAlter
Mr. Jens von BahrCo-Founder, Chairman & President54
Mr. Martin CarlesundGroup Chief Executive Officer55
Mr. Fredrik ÖsterbergCo-Founder & Director55
Mr. Joakim AnderssonChief Financial Officer51
Amy RichesHead of Marketing-
Ms. Louise Wivén-NilssonChief Human Resources Officer53
Mr. Todd HaushalterChief Product Officer & Games Operations47

Prüfungsrisiko

8

Vorstandsrisiko

3

Vergütungsrisiko

6

Aktionärsrechterisiko

1

Teil 2 · Der Preis und der Einstiegszeitpunkt

Dieser Teil sagt nicht, ob das Unternehmen etwas taugt: Er hilft bei der Wahl des Kaufzeitpunkts, nachdem die Fundamentaldaten überzeugt haben. Enthalten: technische Analyse, Potenzial, historische Drawdowns, Gamma-Exposure.

Latest News

Recent headlines for EVGGF, sourced from Markets Gazette.

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