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ICON plc (ICLR)

NEUTRAL
HealthcareDiagnostics & ResearchIreland

Fundamental

50

Kurs

$168.69

Marktkapitalisierung

$13.38B

Teil 1 · Was das Unternehmen wert ist

Übersicht

ICON is a contract research organization: pharmaceutical, biotech and medical device companies hire it to run their clinical trials instead of building the capability in-house. ICON recruits patients, manages trial sites in dozens of countries, collects and analyzes the data, and prepares the regulatory submissions that get a drug approved. It does not develop or own any drugs itself — its business is running other companies' research, under contracts that can span years and multiple trial phases.

Wie das Geld verdient wird

Contracts are typically fixed-price or unit-based, spanning the multi-year life of a clinical trial, and revenue is recognized as work is performed rather than at signing. A large share of new business comes from ICON's existing large pharmaceutical clients rather than new logos, so revenue depends heavily on how much those clients keep spending on drug development and how many of their trials get cancelled partway through — a 2025 accounting investigation found the company had been recognizing some of that revenue too early.

Wettbewerbsvorteil

Wechselkosten · Schmal

Once a clinical trial is underway, switching to a different CRO mid-study is expensive and risky: it means re-training investigators, migrating patient data and potentially triggering new regulatory scrutiny. That keeps ICON's existing contracts sticky, but it does little to help win the next trial, where price and track record matter more and competition is intense.

Was die Nachfrage antreibt

Mäßig zyklisch

Demand follows how much biopharma companies spend on developing new drugs, which is funded partly by cash-rich large pharma budgets and partly by biotech financing that dries up when capital markets turn cautious. Multi-year contract backlog smooths some of that swing, but trial delays and cancellations show up quickly when sponsors tighten spending.

Wichtigste Risiken

  • Accounting restatement and internal control weakness — ICON restated 2023 and 2024 results after an internal investigation found revenue had been overstated, and management concluded its internal controls over financial reporting were not effective as of the end of 2025.
  • Client and industry concentration — Revenue depends on a relatively small number of large pharmaceutical clients whose merger, consolidation or budget cuts would remove a meaningful share of ICON's business at once.
  • Trial delays and cancellations — Clients can pause, shrink or cancel a clinical trial for reasons unrelated to ICON's performance — a failed earlier-phase result, a strategic pivot, or a funding shortfall — and ICON loses the remaining contract value.
  • Competitive, price-sensitive market — The CRO industry includes several large global competitors and many smaller specialized ones, and sponsors routinely negotiate on price, putting pressure on margins for large multi-year programs.

Kundenkonzentration

Die größten Kunden machen 25 % des Umsatzes aus

No single client exceeded 10% of 2024 revenue, but the top five combined accounted for about 25%. Losing or shrinking a relationship with any of them would be felt company-wide.

Die Argumente dafür

Buyers argue that outsourced clinical research keeps growing structurally as biopharma R&D gets more complex, that ICON's scale and global site network are hard for smaller CROs to match, and that the accounting issue is a one-time governance failure rather than a sign of a broken business.

Die Argumente dagegen

Sellers fear that the restatement signals deeper cultural or control problems, that client concentration and trial cancellations make revenue less predictable than the multi-year contract backlog suggests, and that price competition in a crowded CRO market limits how much of that growth reaches the bottom line.

Written by the editors, published on 18. August 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Bilanz & Liquidität

Umsatz

$8.37B

Letzte 12 Monate (bis 30.6.2026)

Nettogewinn

$-217M

Letzte 12 Monate (bis 30.6.2026)

Freier Cashflow

$623M

Gesamtes Eigenkapital

$9.38B

Gesamtverbindlichkeiten

$3.53B

Current Ratio

0.95

Zinsdeckungsgrad

-

Schulden/EBITDA

6.74

Gewinn je Aktie

Umsatz & Nettogewinn

Freier Cashflow

Ertragsaufschlüsselung

Historische Aufstellung

Margen im Zeitverlauf

Verschuldung im Zeitverlauf

Wie schwer die Schulden wiegen

Wachstumsraster

Wachstum — Umsatz

Innerer-Wert-Schätzung

Überbewertet

Innerer Wert

$109.51

Aktueller Kurs

$168.69

Sicherheitsmarge

-54.0%

Innerer-Wert-Spanne

$71.18 - $147.84

Bewertungsmethoden

Analyst Target:$185.56
DCF:$90.61
PE-based:$9.50
Graham Growth:$4.86
EPV:$29.20
Analystenkonsens:Kaufen (16B / 7H / 1S)
Letzte Gewinnüberraschung:-0.20%

Bewertungskennzahlen

P/E-Verhältnis

266.89

ROE

0.3%

P/B-Verhältnis

1.43

P/FCF

21.50

Bruttomarge

23.9%

ROIC

4.8%

Rentabilitäts-Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

4.8%

WACC

8.9%

ROIC − WACC

-4.1 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

Fundamentalanalyse-Kriterien

Bestanden (9)

  • Price CAGR 8.64%
  • P/FCF 21.50
  • P/B Ratio 1.43
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 24.1%
  • Analyst Consensus 67% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 4.85

Nicht bestanden (9)

  • ROIC 4.8%
  • Gross Margin 23.9%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • ROE 0.8%
  • Earnings Surprise avg -5.2%
  • Net Margin Trend 2.8% vs 9.6%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

Nicht verfügbar (9)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Operating Margin NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-Score

2/9

Ernsthafte finanzielle Bedenken

score
criteria

Gewinnqualität

4.85

Hohe Qualität: Gewinne durch Cashflow gedeckt

Aktienverwässerung

-

Aktienrückkäufe. Aktionärsfreundlich

Unternehmensführung

Führungsteam

NamePositionAlter
Mr. Barry BalfeCEO & Director46
Dr. John Climax Ph.D.Founder & Independent Non-Executive Director72
Mr. Nigel Clerkin A.C.A.Chief Financial Officer51
Mr. Steve EmpolitiChief Commercial Officer-
Lyons EmerChief Accounting Officer-
Mr. Thomas N. O'LearyChief Information Officer-
Mr. Diarmaid CunninghamChief Administrative Officer, General Counsel & Company Secretary50
Ms. Niamh MurphyDirector of Corporate Communications-
Mr. David GreenVice President of Marketing-
Mr. Joe CroninChief Human Resources Officer-

Teil 2 · Der Preis und der Einstiegszeitpunkt

Dieser Teil sagt nicht, ob das Unternehmen etwas taugt: Er hilft bei der Wahl des Kaufzeitpunkts, nachdem die Fundamentaldaten überzeugt haben. Enthalten: technische Analyse, Potenzial, historische Drawdowns, Gamma-Exposure.

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