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KRUK Spólka Akcyjna (KRKKF)

NEUTRAL
Financial ServicesCredit ServicesPoland

Fundamental

66

Kurs

$440.20

Marktkapitalisierung

$8.44B

Teil 1 · Was das Unternehmen wert ist

Übersicht

KRUK buys overdue consumer and small-business debt from banks, telecom operators and utilities at a steep discount to its face value, then spends years collecting on it through call centres, digital channels and legal proceedings, aiming to recover more than it paid plus its running costs. It also collects debt on behalf of third parties for a fee without owning the debt itself. It operates in Poland, Italy, Romania, Spain and several smaller markets.

Wie das Geld verdient wird

Revenue comes mainly from cash collected on purchased debt portfolios, recognized over time under an amortized-cost accounting model rather than as a lump sum at purchase, plus fee income from servicing debt owned by other creditors. In 2025 the Group recovered PLN 3,920 million in cash, with Poland contributing about 40% of that, Italy about 25%, Romania about 18% and Spain about 14% — a mix the company reports as recoveries rather than as a formal revenue split by segment.

Die Argumente dafür

Buyers argue that KRUK's long track record of collecting more than it forecasts when it buys a portfolio shows disciplined underwriting, that a debt-purchasing model scales well with more capital, and that a temporary pullback from the Spanish market shows the company is willing to walk away from mispriced deals rather than chase volume.

Die Argumente dagegen

Sellers fear that a business built on buying distressed debt is inherently sensitive to how well collections actually perform against the price paid, that heavy reliance on a handful of markets such as Poland and Italy concentrates that risk, and that funding portfolio purchases depends on continued access to debt and capital markets on favorable terms.

Written by the editors, published on 18. August 2026

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Bilanz & Liquidität

Umsatz

$2.99B

Letzte 12 Monate bis zum zuletzt gemeldeten Quartal — Schätzung aus Kennzahlen je Aktie

Nettogewinn

$1.04B

Letzte 12 Monate bis zum zuletzt gemeldeten Quartal — Schätzung aus Kennzahlen je Aktie

Freier Cashflow

$343M

Gesamtes Eigenkapital

$5.65B

Gesamtverbindlichkeiten

$7.41B

Current Ratio

1.50

Zinsdeckungsgrad

-

Schulden/EBITDA

3.56

Gewinn je Aktie

Umsatz & Nettogewinn

Freier Cashflow

Ertragsaufschlüsselung

Historische Aufstellung

Margen im Zeitverlauf

Verschuldung im Zeitverlauf

Wie schwer die Schulden wiegen

Wachstumsraster

Wachstum — Umsatz

Innerer-Wert-Schätzung

Unterbewertet

Innerer Wert

$945.82

Aktueller Kurs

$440.20

Sicherheitsmarge

+53.5%

Innerer-Wert-Spanne

$614.78 - $1276.85

Bewertungsmethoden

Analyst Target:$530.90
DCF:$877.70
PE-based:$339.67
Graham Growth:$2743.37
EPV:$747.98
Analystenkonsens:Starker Kauf (7B / 1H / 0S)

Bewertungskennzahlen

P/E-Verhältnis

8.11

ROE

21.1%

P/B-Verhältnis

1.50

P/FCF

24.58

Bruttomarge

100.0%

ROIC

12.0%

Rentabilitäts-Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

12.0%

WACC

4.3%

ROIC − WACC

+7.7 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

Fundamentalanalyse-Kriterien

Bestanden (15)

  • Price CAGR 5.89%
  • ROIC 12.0%
  • Gross Margin 100.0%
  • P/FCF 24.58
  • P/B Ratio 1.50
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 49.5%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Price below Graham Number
  • ROE 21.1%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 22.7%
  • Analyst Consensus 88% Buy
  • PEG Ratio 0.12

Nicht bestanden (5)

  • CapEx intensity
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) -0.03
  • Net Margin Trend 34.1% vs 37.1%
  • Piotroski F-Score 0/9

Nicht verfügbar (7)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Earnings Surprise (Finnhub)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-Score

0/9

Ernsthafte finanzielle Bedenken

score
criteria

Gewinnqualität

-0.03

Niedrige Qualität: Rechnungslegung prüfen

Aktienverwässerung

-

Aktienrückkäufe. Aktionärsfreundlich

Unternehmensführung

Führungsteam

NamePositionAlter
Mr. Piotr KrupaPresident of the Management Board & CEO-
Mr. Michal ZasepaCFO & Member of the Management Board-
Ms. Urszula OkarmaChief Investment Officer & Member of the Management Board-
Mr. Piotr KowalewskiCOO & Member of the Management Board-
Mr. Adam LodygowskiMember of Management Board and Chief Data & Technology Officer-
Mr. Damian BabkaInvestor Relations & Business Development Manager-

Teil 2 · Der Preis und der Einstiegszeitpunkt

Dieser Teil sagt nicht, ob das Unternehmen etwas taugt: Er hilft bei der Wahl des Kaufzeitpunkts, nachdem die Fundamentaldaten überzeugt haben. Enthalten: technische Analyse, Potenzial, historische Drawdowns, Gamma-Exposure.

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