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Li Auto Inc. (LI)

NEGATIVE
Consumer CyclicalAuto ManufacturersChina

Fundamental

27

Kurs

$12.28

Marktkapitalisierung

$12.23B

Teil 1 · Was das Unternehmen wert ist

Übersicht

Li Auto designs, manufactures and sells premium electric family SUVs in China, mostly under its own brand through company-owned stores rather than independent dealers. Most of its models are extended-range electric vehicles: a small petrol engine charges the battery instead of powering the wheels directly, which removes the range anxiety of a pure battery car without the emissions of a conventional one. The company is now also expanding into fully battery-electric models.

Wie das Geld verdient wird

Almost all revenue comes from selling vehicles outright to the end customer, recognized when the car is delivered to its owner; a small remainder comes from after-sales service, charging infrastructure, accessories and a paid membership programme. Because Li Auto owns its retail stores instead of using independent franchised dealers, it captures the full retail margin on every car sold, but also carries the fixed cost of that store network directly on its own books rather than passing it to a dealer.

Umsatz nach Segment

Vehicle sales95%

Revenue from delivering new vehicles to customers. Fell 23% in 2025 as intense price competition and the phase-out of purchase subsidies weighed on volumes and pricing.

Other sales and services5%

After-sales service, charging stalls, accessories, the paid membership programme, and commissions — a small and steadier complement to vehicle sales.

Wettbewerbsvorteil

Kein erkennbarer Vorteil · Keiner

Li Auto has a recognized brand among Chinese families and a distinctive extended-range design, but neither has stopped 2025 revenue from falling 23% and net income from collapsing under price competition. Chinese electric-vehicle makers compete mainly on price, technology refresh cycles and manufacturing cost, none of which is a durable advantage that protects margins once a rival matches the offer.

Was die Nachfrage antreibt

Zyklisch

Vehicle demand depends on consumer confidence, the availability of government purchase incentives, and how aggressively rivals are cutting prices at any given moment. In early 2026 the Chinese new-energy-vehicle market itself contracted year-on-year as subsidies were phased out and supply outran demand, illustrating how quickly the environment can turn against every player at once.

Wichtigste Risiken

  • Intense price competition — The company faces aggressive rivals including BYD, Tesla and new entrants backed by Huawei and Xiaomi. Chinese regulators themselves describe the resulting price war as 'involutionary' competition that erodes margins industry-wide.
  • Dependence on government subsidies — Reduction or elimination of purchase subsidies and tax incentives for new-energy vehicles has already contributed to weaker demand and could keep doing so, since the company does not control this lever.
  • Regulatory limits on price competition — Authorities have tightened restrictions on cutthroat pricing tactics and supplier payment terms, which could limit the company's own ability to compete on price precisely when it might need to.
  • Industry overcapacity and consolidation — The Chinese electric-vehicle industry is widely expected to consolidate around a handful of profitable manufacturers within a few years, implying that many current players, including possibly Li Auto, may not survive as independent companies.

Die Argumente dafür

Buyers argue that Li Auto's direct-to-consumer retail model and extended-range technology have built real brand loyalty among Chinese families, that the expansion into pure battery-electric models diversifies away from a single powertrain approach, and that a shakeout in the industry could ultimately favour the stronger, better-capitalized survivors.

Die Argumente dagegen

Sellers fear that 2025's 23% revenue decline and collapse in profit show the price war is already doing real damage, that subsidy withdrawal removes a tailwind the whole industry relied on, and that larger, better-funded rivals can sustain a price war longer than Li Auto can.

Segmentzahlen aus dem Geschäftsjahr 2025Quellen: Li Auto Inc. — Form 20-F, esercizio 2025

Written by the editors, published on 18. August 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Bilanz & Liquidität

Umsatz

$109.37B

Letzte 12 Monate (bis 31.3.2026)

Nettogewinn

$-1.82B

Letzte 12 Monate (bis 31.3.2026)

Freier Cashflow

$-15.60B

Gesamtes Eigenkapital

$8.31B

Gesamtverbindlichkeiten

$17.74B

Current Ratio

1.88

Zinsdeckungsgrad

-

Schulden/EBITDA

13.40

Gewinn je Aktie

Umsatz & Nettogewinn

Freier Cashflow

Ertragsaufschlüsselung

Historische Aufstellung

Margen im Zeitverlauf

Verschuldung im Zeitverlauf

Wie schwer die Schulden wiegen

Wachstumsraster

Wachstum — Umsatz

Innerer-Wert-Schätzung

Unterbewertet

Innerer Wert

$18.23

Aktueller Kurs

$12.28

Sicherheitsmarge

+32.6%

Innerer-Wert-Spanne

$17.31 - $19.14

Bewertungsmethoden

Analyst Target:$18.23
DCF:-
PE-based:-
Graham Growth:-
EPV:-
Analystenkonsens:Kaufen (15B / 15H / 2S)
Letzte Gewinnüberraschung:-87.73%

Bewertungskennzahlen

P/E-Verhältnis

-

ROE

-2.5%

P/B-Verhältnis

1.21

P/FCF

-

Bruttomarge

16.0%

ROIC

-43.3%

Rentabilitäts-Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

-43.3%

WACC

9.7%

ROIC − WACC

-53.0 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

Fundamentalanalyse-Kriterien

Bestanden (4)

  • P/B Ratio 1.21
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Current Ratio
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 64.0%

Nicht bestanden (12)

  • Price CAGR -12.38%
  • ROIC -43.3%
  • Gross Margin 16.0%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • ROE -2.5%
  • Analyst Consensus 47% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg -94.3%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) -11.56
  • Net Margin Trend 1.0% vs 5.6%
  • Piotroski F-Score 0/9

Nicht verfügbar (11)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Operating Margin NaN%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-Score

0/9

Ernsthafte finanzielle Bedenken

score
criteria

Gewinnqualität

-11.56

Niedrige Qualität: Rechnungslegung prüfen

Aktienverwässerung

-

Aktienrückkäufe. Aktionärsfreundlich

Unternehmensführung

Führungsteam

NamePositionAlter
Mr. Xiang LiFounder, Executive Chairman & CEO44
Mr. Donghui MaPresident & Executive Director50
Mr. Tie LiCFO & Executive Director47
Mr. Yan XieSenior VP & CTO46
Janet ChangDirector of Investor Relations-
Kobe WangHead of Capital Markets-
Mr. Liangjun ZouSenior Vice President47
Mr. Yang WangJoint Company Secretary-
Ms. Yee Wa LauJoint Company Secretary52

Teil 2 · Der Preis und der Einstiegszeitpunkt

Dieser Teil sagt nicht, ob das Unternehmen etwas taugt: Er hilft bei der Wahl des Kaufzeitpunkts, nachdem die Fundamentaldaten überzeugt haben. Enthalten: technische Analyse, Potenzial, historische Drawdowns, Gamma-Exposure.

Latest News

Recent headlines for LI, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 5/21/2026POSITIVE
    Tesla Rival Li Auto's Stock Remains Underpriced As Value Score Rises— Morgan Stanley Sees 61% Upside Potential

    Morgan Stanley has identified Li Auto (LI) as an underpriced stock with significant upside potential, projecting a 61% increase. This assessment is driven by a rising value score for the Chinese electric vehicle manufacturer, a direct competitor to Tesla. The firm's positive outlook suggests that despite current market valuations, Li Auto's fundamentals and growth prospects are not fully reflected in its stock price. Investors may find this an opportune moment to consider Li Auto, given the analyst's strong conviction in its future performance.

  • 5/17/2026NEUTRAL
    Weekend Round-Up: Li Auto's New SUV, Chinese Automakers Eye Europe, Waymo's Robotaxi Recall And Trump's Stance On Chinese EVs

    Li Auto has launched its new Li L7 SUV, a significant move in the competitive EV market. Concurrently, Chinese automakers are reportedly eyeing expansion into Europe, signaling global ambitions. However, Waymo is facing a robotaxi recall, and former President Trump has expressed concerns regarding Chinese EVs. This mixed news presents a complex outlook for the automotive sector, with individual company performances potentially diverging based on strategic execution and geopolitical factors.

  • 4/1/2026POSITIVE
    Li Auto Shares Rally As March Deliveries Hit 41,053 Units

    Li Auto Inc. (LI) experienced a significant share price increase following the announcement of robust March delivery figures, reaching 41,053 units. This strong performance in the first quarter of 2026 positions the company favorably against competitors like NIO and XPeng within the fiercely competitive Chinese electric vehicle market. The sustained delivery momentum suggests growing consumer demand for Li Auto's offerings and effective market penetration strategies. Investors are likely to view these results as a positive indicator of the company's operational efficiency and future growth prospects, potentially leading to upward price target adjustments.

  • 3/11/2026POSITIVE
    Li Auto Ramps Up i6 Production After Supply Chain Issues Ahead Of Q4 Earnings

    Li Auto Inc. has reportedly accelerated production of its pure-electric i6 SUV, signaling a resolution to prior supply chain disruptions. This ramp-up comes just ahead of the company's fourth-quarter earnings call scheduled for Thursday. Investors will be closely watching the earnings report for further insights into the company's operational performance and future outlook, particularly concerning the i6 model's market reception and contribution to revenue. The successful resolution of supply chain issues and increased production capacity are positive indicators for the company's ability to meet demand and potentially exceed earnings expectations.

via Markets Gazette