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SAP SE (SAPGF)

NEUTRAL
TechnologySoftware - ApplicationGermany

Fundamental

63

Kurs

$185.46

Marktkapitalisierung

$215.70B

Teil 1 · Was das Unternehmen wert ist

Übersicht

SAP makes the software many large companies run their core operations on — accounting, supply chain, manufacturing and human resources — bundled into a system called ERP (enterprise resource planning). Once a company builds its finance and operations processes around SAP's system, that software becomes the record of how the business runs, which is why customers rarely switch providers. SAP is shifting its customers from software installed on their own servers to cloud subscriptions it hosts and updates itself.

Wie das Geld verdient wird

Cloud subscriptions are billed recurring, usually annual, fees tied to usage or number of users, and now make up the majority of what SAP calls cloud and software revenue; older on-premise licenses are sold once and then generate smaller annual maintenance fees, a mix that is shrinking as customers migrate. Services revenue, a smaller and less profitable slice, comes from consultants helping customers implement and migrate these systems, typically billed by the project or by time.

Umsatz nach Segment

Cloud and Software88.4%

Cloud subscription revenue, now SAP's largest line, plus remaining on-premise software licenses and their maintenance fees.

Services11.6%

Consulting, implementation and training services that help customers deploy and migrate SAP software, billed separately from the software itself.

Wettbewerbsvorteil

Wechselkosten · Breit

SAP's software becomes deeply embedded in how a large company records its finances and runs its operations, with years of customization, staff training and connections to other internal systems built on top of it. Independent studies have found that switching ERP providers typically costs several times the original software price and takes over a year, which is why SAP keeps the large majority of its enterprise customers even when rivals offer comparable features.

Was die Nachfrage antreibt

Mäßig zyklisch

Recurring cloud subscriptions make revenue more predictable than a typical software license business, since customers rarely cancel core ERP systems even when budgets tighten. Still, corporate IT spending does slow in downturns, and the pace at which customers commit to new cloud migrations can stretch out when their own businesses are under pressure.

Wichtigste Risiken

  • Intense competition in enterprise software — The company faces sustained competition from large rivals such as Oracle and Salesforce, who are also embedding AI features into cloud applications, which pressures pricing and can slow customer wins.
  • Cloud migration execution risk — Moving large customers from on-premise systems to the cloud involves remediating custom code, cleaning data and securing internal support within the customer's organization, and on-premise license revenue is declining meaningfully as this transition proceeds.
  • Data, antitrust and regulatory exposure — The company is subject to data-access and antitrust-related claims, including allegations of lock-in effects, as well as dependence on third-party cloud infrastructure and web services it does not fully control.

Die Argumente dafür

Buyers see a company that has successfully shifted the majority of its revenue to recurring cloud subscriptions, still holds the deepest customer lock-in in enterprise software, and can raise prices on a captive base of hundreds of thousands of customers as it layers AI features onto the same ERP backbone.

Die Argumente dagegen

Sellers worry that the on-premise license decline is eroding a historically high-margin revenue stream faster than cloud subscriptions can fully replace it, that cloud backlog growth is expected to moderate as the business scales, and that well-funded rivals embedding their own AI agents could chip away at renewal pricing over time.

Written by the editors, published on 18. August 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Bilanz & Liquidität

Umsatz

$38.19B

Letzte 12 Monate (bis 30.6.2026)

Nettogewinn

$7.80B

Letzte 12 Monate (bis 30.6.2026)

Freier Cashflow

$9.09B

Gesamtes Eigenkapital

$44.74B

Gesamtverbindlichkeiten

$9.94B

Current Ratio

1.15

Zinsdeckungsgrad

-

Schulden/EBITDA

0.85

Gewinn je Aktie

Umsatz & Nettogewinn

Freier Cashflow

Ertragsaufschlüsselung

Historische Aufstellung

Margen im Zeitverlauf

Verschuldung im Zeitverlauf

Wie schwer die Schulden wiegen

Wachstumsraster

Wachstum — Umsatz

Innerer-Wert-Schätzung

Überbewertet

Innerer Wert

$146.32

Aktueller Kurs

$185.46

Sicherheitsmarge

-26.7%

Innerer-Wert-Spanne

$101.17 - $191.46

Bewertungsmethoden

Analyst Target:$205.77
DCF:$130.06
PE-based:$114.54
Graham Growth:$131.91
EPV:$67.02
Analystenkonsens:Kaufen (30B / 7H / 2S)
Letzte Gewinnüberraschung:-11.11%

Bewertungskennzahlen

P/E-Verhältnis

27.98

ROE

18.3%

P/B-Verhältnis

4.82

P/FCF

23.73

Bruttomarge

73.7%

ROIC

15.2%

Rentabilitäts-Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

15.2%

WACC

9.9%

ROIC − WACC

+5.3 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

Fundamentalanalyse-Kriterien

Bestanden (14)

  • Price CAGR 8.32%
  • ROIC 15.2%
  • Gross Margin 73.7%
  • P/FCF 23.73
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • ROE 17.6%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 6.1%
  • Analyst Consensus 77% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.26
  • Net Margin Trend 20.4% vs 9.1%

Nicht bestanden (5)

  • P/B Ratio 4.82
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg -0.8%
  • PEG Ratio 3.78
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

Nicht verfügbar (8)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Operating Margin NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-Score

2/9

Ernsthafte finanzielle Bedenken

score
criteria

Gewinnqualität

1.26

Hohe Qualität: Gewinne durch Cashflow gedeckt

Aktienverwässerung

-

Aktienrückkäufe. Aktionärsfreundlich

Unternehmensführung

Führungsteam

NamePositionAlter
Mr. Christian KleinCEO & Member of Executive Board45
Mr. Lars LamadeHead of Global Sponsorships & Deputy Chairperson of the Supervisory Board54
Mr. Dominik AsamCFO & Member of Executive Board56
Mr. Thomas SaueressigMember of Executive Board40
Mr. Sebastian SteinhaeuserChief Strategy Officer & COO and Member of Executive Board39
Ms. Gina Vargiu-BreuerChief People Officer, Labor Director & Member of Executive Board49
Mr. Muhammad AlamLead Product Engineering & Member of Executive Board47
Mr. Andreas HahnChairperson of Works Council Europe & Works Council Europe Rep Member of Supervisory Board54
Jakub CernyDemand Manager & Works Council Europe Representative Member of Supervisory Board43
Mr. Pascal DematSolution Advisor HCM & Works Council Europe Representative Member of Supervisory Board58

Prüfungsrisiko

10

Vorstandsrisiko

2

Vergütungsrisiko

1

Aktionärsrechterisiko

1

Teil 2 · Der Preis und der Einstiegszeitpunkt

Dieser Teil sagt nicht, ob das Unternehmen etwas taugt: Er hilft bei der Wahl des Kaufzeitpunkts, nachdem die Fundamentaldaten überzeugt haben. Enthalten: technische Analyse, Potenzial, historische Drawdowns, Gamma-Exposure.

Latest News

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