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Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI)

NEUTRAL
TechnologyComputer HardwareUnited States

Fundamental

64

Kurs

$38.32

Marktkapitalisierung

$22.75B

Teil 1 · Was das Unternehmen wert ist

Übersicht

Supermicro designs and assembles server computers, buying processors and other chips from suppliers such as NVIDIA and AMD and building them into complete systems, racks and, increasingly, whole liquid-cooled data-centre modules. Its customers are cloud providers, AI labs and large enterprises that need computing capacity fast, and its pitch is speed of delivery and engineering flexibility rather than being the cheapest option.

Wie das Geld verdient wird

Revenue is booked when a system ships, so it is hardware sales, not subscriptions, and it moves in step with how much capacity AI data-centre builders are ordering at any given time. Because Supermicro buys the expensive components — chips above all — from a handful of suppliers, its margins are thin and depend heavily on getting favourable pricing and allocation from them, particularly NVIDIA.

Umsatz nach Segment

Server and Storage Systems97%

Complete rack-mounted server and storage systems, mostly built around GPUs for AI workloads. The vast majority of revenue.

Wettbewerbsvorteil

Kein erkennbarer Vorteil · Keiner

Supermicro assembles systems from components any well-capitalised competitor can also buy, and rivals such as Dell and HPE build comparable servers. Its advantage in any given period is operational — faster time-to-market on new chip generations and modular designs — rather than something a customer cannot get elsewhere, and it has to be defended anew each product cycle.

Was die Nachfrage antreibt

Zyklisch

Orders track the capital spending plans of a small number of large AI and cloud customers, which can be delayed, cancelled or shifted to a competitor with little warning. The business has already lived through one such swing, when server and storage revenue grew several times over in two years on the AI build-out.

Wichtigste Risiken

  • Dependence on a few large customers — Four customers each represented 10% or more of net sales in fiscal 2025. Losing one or a pause in its orders is not a marginal event for a company this concentrated.
  • Dependence on GPU supply — Supermicro's growth is tied to its ability to secure enough NVIDIA and AMD GPUs to build systems; supply shortages or being deprioritised versus other server makers directly caps revenue.
  • Thin, competitive margins — Gross margin declined in fiscal 2025 on competitive pricing and customer mix. As larger rivals with more purchasing power chase the same AI server contracts, pricing pressure is a persistent risk rather than a one-time event.
  • Rapid product transitions — New chip generations arrive quickly, and inventory or components built around the previous generation can lose value fast if a transition is mistimed.

Kundenkonzentration

Four customers each accounted for 10% or more of net sales in fiscal 2025, but the company does not disclose their combined share of revenue.

Die Argumente dafür

Buyers argue that Supermicro's speed in bringing new chip generations to market as complete systems, combined with its liquid-cooling and rack-scale engineering, keeps it a preferred partner as AI data-centre spending continues to grow.

Die Argumente dagegen

Sellers fear that Supermicro is a low-margin assembler of components anyone can buy, dependent on a handful of customers and on GPU allocations it does not control, in a market where larger, better-capitalised rivals are chasing the same contracts.

Written by the editors, published on 18. August 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Bilanz & Liquidität

Umsatz

$33.70B

Letzte 12 Monate (bis 31.3.2026)

Nettogewinn

$1.25B

Letzte 12 Monate (bis 31.3.2026)

Freier Cashflow

$1.53B

Gesamtes Eigenkapital

$6.30B

Gesamtverbindlichkeiten

$7.72B

Current Ratio

2.66

Zinsdeckungsgrad

11.02

Schulden/EBITDA

3.47

Gewinn je Aktie

Umsatz & Nettogewinn

Freier Cashflow

Ertragsaufschlüsselung

Historische Aufstellung

Margen im Zeitverlauf

Verschuldung im Zeitverlauf

Wie schwer die Schulden wiegen

Wachstumsraster

Wachstum — Umsatz

Innerer-Wert-Schätzung

Unterbewertet

Innerer Wert

$66.59

Aktueller Kurs

$38.32

Sicherheitsmarge

+42.5%

Innerer-Wert-Spanne

$43.28 - $89.89

Bewertungsmethoden

Analyst Target:$42.38
DCF:$91.20
PE-based:$27.27
Graham Growth:$167.82
EPV:$10.85
Analystenkonsens:Halten (10B / 13H / 4S)
Letzte Gewinnüberraschung:+74.06%

Bewertungskennzahlen

P/E-Verhältnis

18.41

ROE

16.6%

P/B-Verhältnis

2.79

P/FCF

13.80

Bruttomarge

8.4%

ROIC

7.8%

Rentabilitäts-Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

7.8%

WACC

13.7%

ROIC − WACC

-5.9 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

Fundamentalanalyse-Kriterien

Bestanden (17)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 6.54%
  • Price CAGR 29.52%
  • ROIC 7.8%
  • P/FCF 13.80
  • P/B Ratio 2.79
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 18.2%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 45.8%
  • Earnings Surprise avg 32.5%
  • PEG Ratio 0.34
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

Nicht bestanden (9)

  • Gross Margin 8.4%
  • Operating Margin 4.5%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Analyst Consensus 37% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) -5.37
  • Share Dilution 4.0%
  • Net Margin Trend 3.7% vs 5.3%

Nicht verfügbar (2)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • CapEx intensity

Piotroski F-Score

5/9

Gemischte Signale: Einige Bereiche bedürfen Aufmerksamkeit

score
criteria

Gewinnqualität

-5.37

Niedrige Qualität: Rechnungslegung prüfen

Aktienverwässerung

4.0%

Neue Aktien werden ausgegeben, Eigentum wird verwässert

Unternehmensführung

Führungsteam

NamePositionAlter
Mr. Charles LiangFounder, Chairman of the Board, President & CEO67
Ms. Chiu-Chu Liu LiangCo-Founder, Senior VP & Director63
Mr. David E. WeigandCFO, Company Secretary & Senior VP66
Mr. Kenneth CheungChief Accounting Officer-
Mr. Yitai HuSVP of Corporate Development & General Counsel-
Ms. DeAnna LunaActing Chief Compliance Officer-
Mr. Shin-Chun HsuSr. Chief Executive of Strategic Business76
Mr. Vik MalyalaChief Business Officer-
Mr. Michael Thomas StaigerSenior Vice President of Corporate Development-
Mr. Jin XiaoSenior Corporate Vice President of Engineering61

Prüfungsrisiko

10

Vorstandsrisiko

10

Vergütungsrisiko

9

Aktionärsrechterisiko

9

Teil 2 · Der Preis und der Einstiegszeitpunkt

Dieser Teil sagt nicht, ob das Unternehmen etwas taugt: Er hilft bei der Wahl des Kaufzeitpunkts, nachdem die Fundamentaldaten überzeugt haben. Enthalten: technische Analyse, Potenzial, historische Drawdowns, Gamma-Exposure.

Latest News

Recent headlines for SMCI, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 5d agoNEUTRAL
    Supermicro investigation clears CEO in alleged $2.5 billion smuggling scheme while a criminal trial involving a cofounder is set for next year

    Super Micro Computer's board has concluded its investigation into alleged smuggling activities, finding no evidence that CEO Charles Liang was aware of the scheme. This internal review clears the CEO, potentially alleviating some direct leadership concerns. However, the company still faces significant legal headwinds as a criminal trial involving a co-founder is scheduled for next year. This pending trial could still expose the company to further legal and reputational damage, creating an uncertain outlook for investors despite the CEO's exoneration.

  • 13d agoNEUTRAL
    Super Micro gives a big sales forecast, but analysts wonder how long the momentum can last

    Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) has issued an optimistic sales forecast, signaling strong near-term growth prospects that have captured Wall Street's attention. The company's profitability trends and revenue projections have impressed investors, suggesting robust demand for its products. However, a prevailing sentiment among analysts questions the long-term sustainability of this momentum. This divergence highlights a potential risk for investors, as the current bullish outlook may face headwinds if the underlying drivers of growth prove to be temporary or if competitive pressures intensify. The market will be closely watching SMCI's ability to maintain its growth trajectory beyond the current cycle.

  • 13d agoPOSITIVE
    Super Micro stock is rallying after results. Here’s what Wall Street is saying.

    Super Micro Computer (SMCI) shares surged following its latest earnings report, with analysts largely maintaining a positive outlook. The company's performance, driven by strong demand for its AI-optimized server solutions, exceeded expectations. While specific figures were not detailed in this summary, the positive analyst sentiment suggests robust revenue growth and improved profitability. This rally indicates investor confidence in SMCI's strategic positioning within the booming AI hardware sector, potentially signaling continued upward momentum for the stock.

  • 14d agoPOSITIVE
    Super Micro’s earnings report brings more good news, and the stock is climbing

    Super Micro Computer Inc. has once again surpassed Wall Street's expectations with its latest earnings forecast, following a period of strong profitability guidance several weeks prior. This positive outlook suggests continued operational strength and market demand for the company's products. Investors are likely to view this sustained positive performance as a signal of robust growth potential, potentially leading to further stock appreciation and increased analyst confidence in the company's future financial trajectory.

  • 7/21/2026POSITIVE
    Super Micro’s stock soars as its margins unexpectedly double

    Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) saw its stock price surge following an upward revision to its gross margin expectations. The AI server manufacturer now anticipates gross margins to land between 15% and 17%, a significant increase attributed to a more favorable customer and product mix. This development suggests stronger pricing power and improved operational efficiency. For investors, this unexpected margin expansion indicates robust demand for SMCI's specialized AI hardware and could signal a sustained period of profitable growth, potentially leading to increased analyst ratings and price targets.

  • 6/22/2026POSITIVE
    Super Micro’s stock is seeing its best run in a year thanks to Nvidia partnership

    Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) shares surged, leading gains on the S&P 500 index, marking its most significant rally in a year. This performance is largely attributed to an intensified partnership with Nvidia, a key player in artificial intelligence hardware. The collaboration is expected to drive demand for Super Micro's server solutions, crucial for AI infrastructure. Investors are reacting positively to the news, anticipating increased revenue and market share for SMCI as AI adoption accelerates. This strategic alliance positions Super Micro favorably within the rapidly expanding AI ecosystem.

  • 6/20/2026POSITIVE
    Super Micro Jumped More Than 10%. Is the AI Server Maker Finally Turning a Corner?

    Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) saw its stock surge over 10% as the AI server maker demonstrates improving margins and a robust order backlog. This positive momentum suggests a potential turnaround for the company, driven by strong demand in the AI sector. However, investors should remain cautious due to a heavier balance sheet and an ongoing investigation that could present future headwinds. The recovery in margins and order flow are key indicators for the company's operational health and future revenue potential.

  • 6/17/2026POSITIVE
    $1000 Invested In Super Micro Computer 15 Years Ago Would Be Worth This Much Today

    An investment of $1000 in Super Micro Computer (SMCI) 15 years ago would have yielded a staggering return, illustrating the company's exceptional growth trajectory. While specific figures are not provided in this snippet, the implication is a multi-fold increase in value, far outperforming broader market indices. This highlights SMCI's significant technological advancements and market positioning, likely driven by demand for its high-performance server and storage solutions, particularly in AI and cloud computing sectors. Investors who held SMCI over this period have benefited immensely from its innovation and market capture.

  • 6/12/2026POSITIVE
    Stock Of The Day – Is This The Bottom For Super Micro Computer?

    Super Micro Computer (SMCI) shares are showing signs of a potential rebound, having found support at a critical price level. This technical indicator suggests that the stock may be nearing a bottom, potentially setting the stage for a significant rally. Investors are closely watching SMCI for signs of a sustained upward trend, as a confirmed break above key resistance levels could signal a new bullish phase for the company's stock.

  • 6/12/2026NEUTRAL
    What's Going On With Super Micro Stock Friday?

    Super Micro Computer (SMCI) is experiencing significant volatility, trading below key moving averages. Technical indicators present a mixed picture, with analysts closely watching support and resistance levels, as well as MACD readings. The stock's price action suggests uncertainty in the market regarding its short-term direction. Investors are advised to monitor these technical levels for potential trading opportunities or risks, as the current environment lacks a clear directional bias.

via Markets Gazette