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Summerset Group Holdings Limited (SMGRF)

NEUTRAL
HealthcareMedical Care FacilitiesNew Zealand

Fundamental

48

Kurs

$7.77

Marktkapitalisierung

$1.89B

Teil 1 · Was das Unternehmen wert ist

Übersicht

Summerset builds and operates retirement villages in New Zealand and Australia, where it sells residents the right to occupy a unit for life in exchange for an upfront payment, then provides care services — from independent living to full nursing care — as residents age. It is both a developer, building new villages on land it buys, and a long-term operator running dining, care and community services for thousands of residents already living in its villages.

Wie das Geld verdient wird

Revenue is a mix of several streams rather than a single product sale: weekly fees residents pay for care and village services, a share of the gain when a departing resident's occupation right is resold to a new one, and government subsidies for eligible aged-care residents that make up a majority of the care revenue. Because these streams are recognized differently — some upfront, some accrued over years of occupancy — reported revenue does not map cleanly onto new-unit sales in any given year.

Was die Nachfrage antreibt

Defensiv

Demand is driven by an aging population choosing to move into a retirement village, a decision that is only loosely tied to the economic cycle since it follows health and life-stage needs more than discretionary spending power. It is not fully immune to downturns, though, since a resident's ability to buy an occupation right often depends on selling their existing home first.

Die Argumente dafür

Buyers argue that an aging population in New Zealand and Australia gives Summerset a decades-long demand tailwind, that owning the land bank lets it capture development margin most competitors cannot, and that record deliveries and underlying profit in fiscal 2025 show the model scaling as intended.

Die Argumente dagegen

Sellers fear that resales gains depend on house-price and property-market conditions outside the company's control, that a housing downturn could slow the pace at which prospective residents can sell their own homes to buy in, and that a large land and development bank ties up capital for years before it converts into cash.

Written by the editors, published on 18. August 2026

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Bilanz & Liquidität

Umsatz

$363M

Letzte 12 Monate bis zum zuletzt gemeldeten Quartal — Schätzung aus Kennzahlen je Aktie

Nettogewinn

$262M

Letzte 12 Monate bis zum zuletzt gemeldeten Quartal — Schätzung aus Kennzahlen je Aktie

Freier Cashflow

$-74M

Gesamtes Eigenkapital

$3.34B

Gesamtverbindlichkeiten

$1.99B

Current Ratio

0.13

Zinsdeckungsgrad

-

Schulden/EBITDA

65.83

Gewinn je Aktie

Umsatz & Nettogewinn

Freier Cashflow

Ertragsaufschlüsselung

Historische Aufstellung

Margen im Zeitverlauf

Verschuldung im Zeitverlauf

Wie schwer die Schulden wiegen

Wachstumsraster

Wachstum — Umsatz

Innerer-Wert-Schätzung

Unterbewertet

Innerer Wert

$10.48

Aktueller Kurs

$7.77

Sicherheitsmarge

+25.9%

Innerer-Wert-Spanne

$8.18 - $12.78

Bewertungsmethoden

Analyst Target:$13.02
DCF:$12.94
PE-based:$7.80
Graham Growth:$10.51
EPV:$8.19
Analystenkonsens:Kaufen (8B / 2H / 0S)

Bewertungskennzahlen

P/E-Verhältnis

7.23

ROE

8.3%

P/B-Verhältnis

0.57

P/FCF

-

Bruttomarge

90.0%

ROIC

0.1%

Rentabilitäts-Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

0.1%

WACC

5.4%

ROIC − WACC

-5.3 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

Fundamentalanalyse-Kriterien

Bestanden (9)

  • Gross Margin 90.0%
  • P/B Ratio 0.57
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 75.0%
  • Price below Graham Number
  • ROE 8.0%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 16.0%
  • Analyst Consensus 80% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.11

Nicht bestanden (9)

  • Price CAGR 4.65%
  • ROIC 0.1%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • PEG Ratio 6.00
  • Net Margin Trend 71.8% vs 106.2%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

Nicht verfügbar (9)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Earnings Surprise (Finnhub)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-Score

2/9

Ernsthafte finanzielle Bedenken

score
criteria

Gewinnqualität

2.11

Hohe Qualität: Gewinne durch Cashflow gedeckt

Aktienverwässerung

-

Aktienrückkäufe. Aktionärsfreundlich

Unternehmensführung

Führungsteam

NamePositionAlter
Mr. Scott Grady Scoullar BCA, C.A., FCPAChief Executive Officer-
Mr. John O'SullivanFounder-
Ms. Margaret WarringtonChief Financial Officer-
Ms. Robyn HeymanHead of Legal & Company Secretary-
Mr. David MartinChief Sales & Marketing Transformation Lead-
Ms. Chris Lokum BMSChief People Officer-
Mr. Dean Tallentire B.Sc.Chief Construction Officer of NZ-
Ms. Eleanor Young B.Sc.Chief Operating Officer of NZ-
Mr. Aaron Smail B.E., BBSChief Development Officer of NZ-
Mr. Stewart ScottChief Operating Officer of Australia-

Prüfungsrisiko

4

Vorstandsrisiko

4

Vergütungsrisiko

6

Aktionärsrechterisiko

7

Teil 2 · Der Preis und der Einstiegszeitpunkt

Dieser Teil sagt nicht, ob das Unternehmen etwas taugt: Er hilft bei der Wahl des Kaufzeitpunkts, nachdem die Fundamentaldaten überzeugt haben. Enthalten: technische Analyse, Potenzial, historische Drawdowns, Gamma-Exposure.

Latest News

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