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Vodafone Group Plc (VOD)

NEUTRAL
Communication ServicesTelecom ServicesUnited Kingdom

Fundamental

47

Kurs

$16.09

Marktkapitalisierung

$36.93B

Teil 1 · Was das Unternehmen wert ist

Übersicht

Vodafone is a multinational telecom operator providing mobile, broadband and fixed-line services to consumers and businesses across Europe and Africa. In Africa, its Vodacom-branded operations also run M-Pesa, a widely used mobile money service that lets people without bank accounts send and receive payments by phone. The group has been simplifying its footprint in recent years, selling businesses in some markets (including Italy and Spain) while consolidating around its largest markets — Germany, the UK and Vodacom in Africa.

Wie das Geld verdient wird

Most revenue is recurring subscription fees for mobile and fixed connectivity, plus device sales and business services like IoT connectivity for corporate customers. Germany, its largest single market, has been shrinking on regulatory and competitive pressure, while Africa — through Vodacom — has been growing fastest, helped by rising mobile data use and M-Pesa transaction fees. Currency swings in African and Turkish operations mean reported revenue in euros can move differently from the underlying local-currency business.

Umsatz nach Segment

Germany32.6%

Vodafone's largest single market, covering mobile and cable broadband; revenue has been declining under competitive and regulatory pressure.

Africa20.8%

Vodacom-branded mobile and M-Pesa mobile money services across several African countries, including South Africa — the group's fastest-growing region.

United Kingdom18.9%

Mobile and fixed-line services in the United Kingdom, recently merged with rival Three to form the country's largest mobile operator.

Other Europe15.2%

Mobile and fixed-line operations across several other European countries outside Germany and the UK.

Türkiye8.3%

Mobile and fixed services in Turkey, where high local inflation inflates local-currency revenue growth figures.

Wettbewerbsvorteil

Skaleneffekte · Schmal

Vodafone's mobile and fixed networks require enormous upfront capital to build, which limits how many competitors can operate in any one country. But that barrier protects an oligopoly, not a monopoly: Vodafone typically faces two or three well-funded rivals in each market, and in Germany that competition has been strong enough to shrink its revenue.

Was die Nachfrage antreibt

Defensiv

Mobile and broadband connectivity has become close to a household essential, so subscriber demand holds up reasonably well even in a downturn — people cut other spending before giving up their phone plan. The bigger swing factors are competitive intensity and regulation in mature European markets, and currency depreciation in Africa and Turkey.

Wichtigste Risiken

  • Intense competition in core markets — Germany, Vodafone's largest market, saw revenue decline as rivals compete aggressively on price; similar pressure in other mature European markets can keep squeezing margins and market share.
  • Regulatory and licensing risk across many jurisdictions — Operating in numerous countries means Vodafone answers to many different telecom regulators on spectrum, pricing and competition rules, any of which can change unfavorably with little notice.
  • Currency exposure — A meaningful share of revenue comes from African and Turkish currencies prone to sharp depreciation against the euro, which can erode reported results even when local operations perform well.
  • Data protection and customer trust — As a carrier of sensitive customer and location data across many countries, a serious data breach could trigger regulatory penalties and damage customer trust at scale.

Die Argumente dafür

Buyers argue that the UK merger with Three creates the country's largest mobile operator with better scale economics, that Africa's growth through Vodacom and M-Pesa offsets softness in mature Europe, and that a simplified footprint after recent market exits lets management focus capital on its strongest businesses.

Die Argumente dagegen

Sellers worry that intense competition keeps eroding Vodafone's largest market, Germany, that currency depreciation in Africa and Turkey can mask weak underlying growth when translated into euros, and that a capital-intensive, heavily regulated industry leaves little room to raise prices even as costs rise.

Written by the editors, published on 18. August 2026

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Bilanz & Liquidität

Umsatz

$3.97B

Letzte 12 Monate bis zum zuletzt gemeldeten Quartal — Schätzung aus Kennzahlen je Aktie

Nettogewinn

$-43M

Letzte 12 Monate bis zum zuletzt gemeldeten Quartal — Schätzung aus Kennzahlen je Aktie

Freier Cashflow

$5.17B

Gesamtes Eigenkapital

$29.21B

Gesamtverbindlichkeiten

$54.45B

Current Ratio

1.14

Zinsdeckungsgrad

-

Schulden/EBITDA

6.08

Gewinn je Aktie

Umsatz & Nettogewinn

Freier Cashflow

Ertragsaufschlüsselung

Historische Aufstellung

Margen im Zeitverlauf

Verschuldung im Zeitverlauf

Wie schwer die Schulden wiegen

Wachstumsraster

Wachstum — Umsatz

Innerer-Wert-Schätzung

Unterbewertet

Innerer Wert

$22.73

Aktueller Kurs

$16.09

Sicherheitsmarge

+29.2%

Innerer-Wert-Spanne

$14.77 - $30.68

Bewertungsmethoden

Analyst Target:$13.85
DCF:$57.25
PE-based:-
Graham Growth:-
EPV:$1.51
Analystenkonsens:Halten (14B / 8H / 6S)
Letzte Gewinnüberraschung:+40.78%

Bewertungskennzahlen

P/E-Verhältnis

-

ROE

0.1%

P/B-Verhältnis

7.29

P/FCF

7.15

Bruttomarge

31.5%

ROIC

3.0%

Rentabilitäts-Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

3.0%

WACC

2.7%

ROIC − WACC

+0.3 pp

ROIC is roughly in line with the cost of capital — the company is barely covering its capital cost.

Fundamentalanalyse-Kriterien

Bestanden (9)

  • Gross Margin 31.5%
  • P/FCF 7.15
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 8.9%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • Analyst Consensus 50% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 54.1%

Nicht bestanden (9)

  • Price CAGR -4.17%
  • ROIC 3.0%
  • P/B Ratio 7.29
  • CapEx intensity
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • ROE -0.8%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y -1.6%
  • Net Margin Trend -11.1% vs 3.1%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

Nicht verfügbar (9)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-Score

2/9

Ernsthafte finanzielle Bedenken

score
criteria

Gewinnqualität

-

Niedrige Qualität: Rechnungslegung prüfen

Aktienverwässerung

-

Aktienrückkäufe. Aktionärsfreundlich

Unternehmensführung

Führungsteam

NamePositionAlter
Ms. Margherita Della ValleGroup Chief Executive & Executive Director60
Ms. Maria Pilar López ÁlvarezGroup CFO & Executive Director55
Mr. Scott PettyChief Digital & Information Officer and Group CTO-
Matthew JohnsonInvestor Relations Director-
Stefanie ReichelDirector of Legal & Compliance-
Ms. Maaike Helena De BieGroup General Counsel & Company Secretary-
Ms. Ruth McGillChief Human Resources Officer-
Mr. António Rui de Lacerda CarrapatosoChief Executive Officer of Vodafone Portugal Operations-
Mr. Rob MukherjeeHead of North West regional business-
Mr. Joakim H. ReiterChief External & Corporate Affairs Officer49

Teil 2 · Der Preis und der Einstiegszeitpunkt

Dieser Teil sagt nicht, ob das Unternehmen etwas taugt: Er hilft bei der Wahl des Kaufzeitpunkts, nachdem die Fundamentaldaten überzeugt haben. Enthalten: technische Analyse, Potenzial, historische Drawdowns, Gamma-Exposure.

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