Valmet Oyj (VOYJF)
NEUTRALFundamental
64
Kurs
$28.68
Marktkapitalisierung
$5.20B
Teil 1 · Was das Unternehmen wert ist
Übersicht
Valmet designs, builds and services the large industrial machinery that turns wood into pulp and paper and that generates energy from biomass, plus, through a second business line, the flow-control and automation systems that run those plants and others across a wider range of industries. It does not sell a mass-market product: each pulp mill, paper machine or automation system is a large, customised capital project sold to industrial customers, followed by years of spare parts and service work.
Wie das Geld verdient wird
Revenue comes from two different rhythms: large, lumpy capital-project sales — building or upgrading a pulp mill or automation system — and steadier services revenue from maintaining, upgrading and supplying spare parts for equipment already installed at customer sites, some of it decades old. Services carry meaningfully higher margins than new capital projects, so Valmet's profitability depends as much on how well it monetises its existing installed base as on winning new orders.
Umsatz nach Segment
Pulp, paper and energy technology plus the services and spare parts that keep decades-old installed equipment running.
Flow-control and automation systems, from single measurements to plant-wide control, sold across a broad range of industries.
Wettbewerbsvorteil
Wechselkosten · SchmalOnce a pulp mill or paper machine is built around Valmet's equipment, replacing it with a competitor's system means re-engineering the plant, so customers tend to buy spare parts and service contracts from Valmet for the equipment's decades-long life. That installed base — with 35-50% market share in some biomaterial process technologies — is the main source of recurring, higher-margin revenue.
Was die Nachfrage antreibt
ZyklischNew capital-project orders rise and fall with how much pulp, paper and energy companies are willing to invest, which tracks commodity prices and the broader economic cycle; customers can and do postpone new projects when conditions are weak. Services revenue is steadier because equipment already installed needs maintenance regardless of the cycle, but it cannot fully offset a slowdown in new orders.
Wichtigste Risiken
- Cyclicality of capital spending — Customers in pulp, paper and energy can defer large new-equipment orders when commodity prices or the economy weaken, directly hitting the project side of the business.
- Currency and commodity cost exposure — Valmet hedges some of its exposure to currencies and metal costs like nickel and steel scrap, but unhedged swings can still affect project economics and margins.
- Project execution risk — As a global group delivering large, customised capital projects, Valmet is exposed to execution risks on individual contracts that can affect profitability regardless of overall demand.
Die Argumente dafür
Buyers argue that Valmet's large, decades-lived installed base locks in recurring, higher-margin services revenue that cushions the cyclicality of new capital orders, and that a leading market position in biomaterial process technologies gives it pricing power competitors with a smaller installed base cannot easily match.
Die Argumente dagegen
Sellers worry that the capital-project side of the business remains exposed to pulp, paper and energy investment cycles that can turn quickly, that a strategic review of splitting the company into two suggests management itself sees limited synergy between its two segments, and that project execution risk can erode margins on any single large contract.
Written by the editors, published on 18. August 2026
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Bilanz & Liquidität
Umsatz
$5.31B
Letzte 12 Monate bis zum zuletzt gemeldeten Quartal — Schätzung aus Kennzahlen je Aktie
Nettogewinn
$297M
Letzte 12 Monate bis zum zuletzt gemeldeten Quartal — Schätzung aus Kennzahlen je Aktie
Freier Cashflow
$280M
Gesamtes Eigenkapital
$2.49B
Gesamtverbindlichkeiten
$1.58B
Current Ratio
1.14
Zinsdeckungsgrad
-
Schulden/EBITDA
2.34
Gewinn je Aktie
Umsatz & Nettogewinn
Freier Cashflow
Ertragsaufschlüsselung
Historische Aufstellung
Margen im Zeitverlauf
Verschuldung im Zeitverlauf
Wie schwer die Schulden wiegen
Wachstumsraster
Wachstum — Umsatz
Innerer-Wert-Schätzung
Innerer Wert
$22.49
Aktueller Kurs
$28.68
Sicherheitsmarge
-27.5%
Innerer-Wert-Spanne
$15.39 - $29.59
Bewertungsmethoden
Bewertungskennzahlen
P/E-Verhältnis
17.53
ROE
12.3%
P/B-Verhältnis
2.09
P/FCF
18.61
Bruttomarge
27.2%
ROIC
10.2%
Rentabilitäts-Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
10.2%
WACC
6.2%
ROIC − WACC
+4.0 pp
ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.
Fundamentalanalyse-Kriterien
Bestanden (14)
- Price CAGR 6.62%
- ROIC 10.1%
- P/FCF 18.61
- P/B Ratio 2.09
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 8.9%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- Current Ratio
- Debt/EBITDA
- ROE 12.0%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 6.8%
- Analyst Consensus 71% Buy
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.37
- Net Margin Trend 5.4% vs 5.2%
Nicht bestanden (6)
- Gross Margin 27.2%
- CapEx intensity
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Fairly valued)
- Earnings Surprise avg -25.3%
- Piotroski F-Score 2/9
Nicht verfügbar (7)
- EPS data insufficient
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Interest Coverage
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
- Share Dilution (missing shares data)
Piotroski F-Score
Ernsthafte finanzielle Bedenken
Gewinnqualität
Hohe Qualität: Gewinne durch Cashflow gedeckt
Aktienverwässerung
Aktienrückkäufe. Aktionärsfreundlich
Unternehmensführung
Führungsteam
| Name | Position | Alter |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Thomas Hinnerskov M.Sc. | CEO & President | 54 |
| Ms. Katri Hokkanen | Chief Financial Officer | 44 |
| Mr. Pekka Rouhiainen | Vice President of Investor Relations | - |
| Mr. Rasmus Oksala | Executive VP of Legal And General Counsel & Secretary to the Board | 55 |
| Ms. Anu Pires M.Sc. | Executive VP of People, Communications & Culture | 55 |
| Mr. Aki Petri Niemi | Executive VP of Global Supply | 56 |
| Mr. Celso Luiz Tacla | Executive VP of Latin America | 61 |
| Mr. Xiangdong Zhu B.Sc. (Eng.), MBA | Executive VP of China Chair | 58 |
| Mr. Sami Riekkola M.Sc. | Executive VP of Pulp, Energy & Circularity | 51 |
| Mr. Simo Saaskilahti M.Sc. | Executive VP of Flow Control | 54 |
Prüfungsrisiko
3
Vorstandsrisiko
2
Vergütungsrisiko
3
Aktionärsrechterisiko
4
Teil 2 · Der Preis und der Einstiegszeitpunkt
Dieser Teil sagt nicht, ob das Unternehmen etwas taugt: Er hilft bei der Wahl des Kaufzeitpunkts, nachdem die Fundamentaldaten überzeugt haben. Enthalten: technische Analyse, Potenzial, historische Drawdowns, Gamma-Exposure.
Latest News
Recent headlines for VOYJF, sourced from Markets Gazette.