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VNV Global AB (publ) (VSTKF)

NEGATIVE
Financial ServicesAsset ManagementSweden

Fundamental

25

Kurs

$17.70

Marktkapitalisierung

$2.27B

Teil 1 · Was das Unternehmen wert ist

Übersicht

VNV Global does not run an operating business of its own. It is a Swedish investment company that buys minority stakes — mostly single-digit to mid-teens percentages — in privately held, fast-growing internet companies with network effects, such as the ride-sharing marketplace BlaBlaCar and the e-scooter operator Voi, and sells them later, typically to a strategic buyer or through a public listing. Its own reported result is the change in the estimated fair value of those stakes, not the sales of the companies it invests in.

Wie das Geld verdient wird

VNV does not earn revenue in the conventional sense: it holds equity stakes recorded at estimated fair value, and its profit or loss each period is simply the change in that valuation, driven by portfolio companies' own funding rounds, market comparables and eventual sale prices. About 97% of the investment portfolio consists of such equity stakes rather than interest-bearing assets, so results can swing sharply with venture-capital sentiment even before any company is sold.

Wichtigste Risiken

  • Execution risk inside portfolio companies — The company states that all portfolio companies carry the risk of losses from deficient procedures, failure to improve products, failure to renew licensing agreements or failure to stay competitive.
  • Valuation of unlisted holdings — The company states that a 10% decrease in the price of its non-quoted shares would have affected post-tax profit and equity by about USD 63 million at the end of 2024, illustrating how sensitive results are to estimated fair value.
  • Exposure to early-stage companies — The company states that most of its portfolio consists of startups and other early-stage companies that typically generate negative cash flow and may need additional capital to keep operating.
  • Disposal risk — VNV states it has an explicit exit strategy of selling holdings to strategic investors or through the market, and that there is a risk it will not succeed in selling at the price recorded on its balance sheet.
  • Dependence on key individuals — The company states it is dependent on its senior executives, naming its Managing Director as of particular significance, and that it could be seriously affected if a senior executive left.

Die Argumente dafür

Buyers argue that VNV's network and experience let it back internet companies with strong network effects before they are widely recognized, that several holdings such as BlaBlaCar and Voi have reached positive EBITDA, and that the stock has historically traded at a discount to its own reported net asset value.

Die Argumente dagegen

Sellers fear that most of the portfolio is unlisted and internally valued, making reported results hard to verify, that early-stage companies can need repeated capital injections that dilute value, and that a discount to net asset value can persist for years without closing.

Written by the editors, published on 18. August 2026

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Bilanz & Liquidität

Umsatz

0

Geschäftsjahr zum 31.12.2025

Nettogewinn

$-259M

Geschäftsjahr zum 31.12.2025

Freier Cashflow

$-84M

Gesamtes Eigenkapital

$461M

Gesamtverbindlichkeiten

$27M

Current Ratio

8.28

Zinsdeckungsgrad

-

Schulden/EBITDA

-

Gewinn je Aktie

Umsatz & Nettogewinn

Freier Cashflow

Ertragsaufschlüsselung

Historische Aufstellung

Margen im Zeitverlauf

Verschuldung im Zeitverlauf

Wie schwer die Schulden wiegen

Wachstumsraster

Wachstum — Umsatz

Innerer-Wert-Schätzung

Unterbewertet

Innerer Wert

$23.63

Aktueller Kurs

$17.70

Sicherheitsmarge

+25.1%

Innerer-Wert-Spanne

$22.45 - $24.81

Bewertungsmethoden

Analyst Target:$23.63
DCF:-
PE-based:-
Graham Growth:-
EPV:-
Analystenkonsens:Starker Kauf (5B / 1H / 0S)

Bewertungskennzahlen

P/E-Verhältnis

-

ROE

-24.8%

P/B-Verhältnis

5.23

P/FCF

-

Bruttomarge

0.0%

ROIC

-2.1%

Rentabilitäts-Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

-2.1%

WACC

10.0%

ROIC − WACC

-12.1 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

Fundamentalanalyse-Kriterien

Bestanden (4)

  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 10.8%
  • Current Ratio
  • Analyst Consensus 83% Buy

Nicht bestanden (9)

  • Price CAGR -26.04%
  • ROIC -2.1%
  • Gross Margin 0.0%
  • P/B Ratio 5.23
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • ROE -25.5%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y -69.7%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

Nicht verfügbar (14)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • Earnings Surprise (Finnhub)
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)
  • Net Margin Trend (invalid data)

Piotroski F-Score

2/9

Ernsthafte finanzielle Bedenken

score
criteria

Gewinnqualität

-

Niedrige Qualität: Rechnungslegung prüfen

Aktienverwässerung

-

Aktienrückkäufe. Aktionärsfreundlich

Unternehmensführung

Führungsteam

NamePositionAlter
Mr. Per BriliothCEO, MD & Board Member56
Mr. Bjorn Von SiversChief Financial Officer37
Ms. Elise KlackenbergGeneral Counsel32
Mr. Dennis MohammadInvestment Manager-

Prüfungsrisiko

5

Vorstandsrisiko

5

Vergütungsrisiko

10

Aktionärsrechterisiko

1

Teil 2 · Der Preis und der Einstiegszeitpunkt

Dieser Teil sagt nicht, ob das Unternehmen etwas taugt: Er hilft bei der Wahl des Kaufzeitpunkts, nachdem die Fundamentaldaten überzeugt haben. Enthalten: technische Analyse, Potenzial, historische Drawdowns, Gamma-Exposure.

Latest News

Recent headlines for VSTKF, sourced from Markets Gazette.

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