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Warner Music Group Corp. (WMG)

POSITIVE
Communication ServicesEntertainmentUnited States

Fundamental

76

Kurs

$27.97

Marktkapitalisierung

$14.19B

Teil 1 · Was das Unternehmen wert ist

Übersicht

Warner Music Group signs recording artists and songwriters, then owns or controls the rights to their recordings and compositions for decades. Recorded Music, built around labels like Atlantic and Warner Records, earns royalties whenever a song streams, plays or sells. Music Publishing owns the underlying songwriting rights and collects a separate royalty whenever those songs are performed, synced into film and TV, or recorded by anyone. It is one of only three companies — alongside Universal and Sony — that control most of the world's recorded music catalog.

Wie das Geld verdient wird

Streaming is the dominant source of revenue: digital services pay Warner a share of subscription and advertising revenue, or a per-stream rate, based on negotiated licensing deals. Because the company owns decades of back catalog, much of this income keeps arriving with little new spending — an old hit streamed today still pays a royalty today. Music Publishing works the same way but on the composition side, collecting whenever a song is used, not just when the original recording plays.

Umsatz nach Segment

Recorded Music81%

Owning and licensing sound recordings from artists on Atlantic, Warner Records and other labels, monetized through streaming, downloads and physical sales.

Music Publishing19%

Owning songwriting and composition rights, collecting royalties when songs are performed, synced to film and TV, or covered by other artists.

Wettbewerbsvorteil

Patente und Lizenzen · Schmal

A catalog of owned master recordings and publishing rights keeps paying royalties for decades after the original spending on an artist, which a new entrant cannot buy quickly. But Warner competes against two labels of similar scale, Universal and Sony, so the advantage comes from being one of few, not from being unique.

Was die Nachfrage antreibt

Mäßig zyklisch

Music streaming subscriptions are a relatively small, sticky household expense that tends to survive economic downturns better than discretionary entertainment spending, so demand is fairly resilient. Advertising-supported streaming and physical/merchandise sales are more exposed to consumer spending cycles, and a weak year for new superstar releases can also soften growth independent of the economy.

Wichtigste Risiken

  • Dependence on a few streaming platforms — Spotify, Google/YouTube and Apple together accounted for about 43% of fiscal 2025 revenue; a change in their pricing or royalty terms could materially reduce revenue.
  • Digital piracy — The company identifies organized, industrial-scale piracy as a continuing threat that diverts listening away from paid and licensed channels.
  • Retaining artists and songwriters — Future growth depends on signing and keeping successful recording artists and songwriters, and on having superstar releases in any given year — neither of which is guaranteed.
  • Rates set by regulators and collecting societies — A meaningful share of revenue is subject to rates set by government bodies or local collecting societies rather than freely negotiated, which can cap profitability regardless of demand.

Kundenkonzentration

Die größten Kunden machen 43 % des Umsatzes aus

A limited number of digital music services — Spotify, Google/YouTube and Apple among them — together accounted for approximately 43% of fiscal 2025 revenue, so a dispute with any one of them is not a minor event.

Die Argumente dafür

Buyers argue that owning a decades-deep catalog of masters and publishing rights produces royalties with almost no incremental cost, that streaming still has room to grow globally, and that being one of only three major labels gives Warner real leverage in negotiating terms with platforms.

Die Argumente dagegen

Sellers fear that a handful of streaming platforms have enough bargaining power to squeeze per-stream payouts over time, that piracy and rate-regulated income cap upside, and that a run of weak new releases can hurt results in ways a deep catalog cannot fully offset.

Written by the editors, published on 18. August 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Bilanz & Liquidität

Umsatz

$7.30B

Letzte 12 Monate (bis 30.6.2026)

Nettogewinn

$672M

Letzte 12 Monate (bis 30.6.2026)

Freier Cashflow

$539M

Gesamtes Eigenkapital

$647M

Gesamtverbindlichkeiten

$9.07B

Current Ratio

0.73

Zinsdeckungsgrad

5.52

Schulden/EBITDA

4.60

Gewinn je Aktie

Umsatz & Nettogewinn

Freier Cashflow

Ertragsaufschlüsselung

Historische Aufstellung

Margen im Zeitverlauf

Verschuldung im Zeitverlauf

Wie schwer die Schulden wiegen

Wachstumsraster

Wachstum — Umsatz

Innerer-Wert-Schätzung

Unterbewertet

Innerer Wert

$2104991.20

Aktueller Kurs

$27.97

Sicherheitsmarge

+100.0%

Innerer-Wert-Spanne

$1368244.40 - $2841738.20

Bewertungsmethoden

Analyst Target:$36.88
DCF:$8419885.42
PE-based:$20.43
Graham Growth:$20.35
EPV:$10.59
Analystenkonsens:Starker Kauf (18B / 5H / 0S)
Letzte Gewinnüberraschung:+13.04%

Bewertungskennzahlen

P/E-Verhältnis

28.61

ROE

56.4%

P/B-Verhältnis

0.00

P/FCF

0.00

Bruttomarge

45.8%

ROIC

12.6%

Rentabilitäts-Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

12.6%

WACC

9.6%

ROIC − WACC

+3.0 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

Fundamentalanalyse-Kriterien

Bestanden (16)

  • ROIC 12.6%
  • Gross Margin 45.8%
  • P/FCF 0.00
  • P/B Ratio 0.00
  • Operating Margin 13.7%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • ROE 67.1%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 8.5%
  • Analyst Consensus 78% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.40
  • Net Margin Trend 9.2% vs 4.6%

Nicht bestanden (6)

  • Price CAGR -5.46%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Current Ratio
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Earnings Surprise avg -2.2%
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

Nicht verfügbar (5)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-Score

4/9

Gemischte Signale: Einige Bereiche bedürfen Aufmerksamkeit

score
criteria

Gewinnqualität

1.40

Hohe Qualität: Gewinne durch Cashflow gedeckt

Aktienverwässerung

-

Aktienrückkäufe. Aktionärsfreundlich

Unternehmensführung

Führungsteam

NamePositionAlter
Mr. Robert KynclPresident, CEO & Director54
Ms. Carletta HigginsonExecutive VP & Chief Digital Officer47
Mr. Armin ZerzaExecutive Officer55
Mr. Guy MootCo-Chair & CEO of Warner Chappell Music59
Ms. Carianne MarshallCo-Chair & COO of Warner Chappell Music47
Mr. Louis DicklerActing CFO, Senior VP, Global Controller & Chief Accounting Officer47
Mr. Tom CorsonChief Operating Officer-
Mr. Leho NigulChief Technology Officer-
Mr. Kareem ChinSenior VP & Head of Investor Relations-
Mr. Paul Martin Robinson Esq., J.D.Executive VP & General Counsel67

Prüfungsrisiko

4

Vorstandsrisiko

9

Vergütungsrisiko

8

Aktionärsrechterisiko

10

Teil 2 · Der Preis und der Einstiegszeitpunkt

Dieser Teil sagt nicht, ob das Unternehmen etwas taugt: Er hilft bei der Wahl des Kaufzeitpunkts, nachdem die Fundamentaldaten überzeugt haben. Enthalten: technische Analyse, Potenzial, historische Drawdowns, Gamma-Exposure.

Latest News

Recent headlines for WMG, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 5/8/2026POSITIVE
    Warner Music Hits All The Right Notes With Blowout Quarter, Analyst Says More Growth Ahead

    Warner Music Group (WMG) shares surged following a robust Q2 performance that significantly surpassed Wall Street's expectations for both earnings and revenue. The company's strong growth in streaming services, coupled with notable margin expansion, has positioned it favorably. This blowout quarter, highlighted by positive analyst ratings including an initiation of coverage with a 'Buy' from Deutsche Bank and an 'Outperform' from Credit Suisse, suggests continued upward momentum. Investors are likely to see this as a strong indicator of WMG's operational efficiency and market resilience, potentially driving further stock appreciation.

  • 4/1/2026POSITIVE
    Warner Music Targets Indie Boom With Revelator Buyout

    Warner Music Group (WMG) has announced the acquisition of Revelator, a music technology company specializing in rights management and label services. This strategic move aims to bolster WMG's capabilities in serving independent artists and labels, enhancing its digital infrastructure for royalty distribution and metadata management. The acquisition is expected to streamline operations and unlock new revenue streams within the rapidly growing independent music sector. For investors, this acquisition signals WMG's commitment to innovation and expansion in a key growth area, potentially leading to increased market share and improved profitability.

via Markets Gazette