Apellis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (APLS)
NEGATIVEFundamental
~0
Precio
$-
Capitalización Bursátil
-
Parte 1 · Cuánto vale la empresa
Resumen
Apellis Pharmaceuticals is a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company built around one scientific idea: blocking C3, the central protein of the complement system, an arm of the immune system that can damage the body's own tissue when it becomes overactive. Its molecule, pegcetacoplan, is sold under two brand names. SYFOVRE, approved by the FDA in February 2023, is an eye injection for geographic atrophy secondary to age-related macular degeneration, a disease the company says affects roughly 1.5 million people in the United States. EMPAVELI, approved in May 2021 for paroxysmal nocturnal hemoglobinuria (PNH) and in July 2025 for the rare kidney diseases C3 glomerulopathy and primary IC-MPGN, is an infusion for rare blood and kidney conditions. Apellis sells both drugs itself in the United States; outside the United States, systemic pegcetacoplan is commercialized by its Swedish partner Sobi under the name Aspaveli. In 2025 the company reported total revenue of $1,003.8 million and its first net profit, $22.4 million, against net losses of $197.9 million in 2024 and $528.6 million in 2023. The pipeline includes APL-3007 (an siRNA to be combined with SYFOVRE in the eye), two pivotal EMPAVELI trials started in late 2025 in FSGS and delayed graft function, and a preclinical gene-editing program with Beam Therapeutics.
Cómo genera ingresos
Money comes in three ways. First and foremost, U.S. product sales: Apellis sells SYFOVRE and EMPAVELI to a small set of specialty pharmacies and specialty distributors, which in turn supply retina practices and treatment centres; revenue is booked net of rebates, discounts and chargebacks, and payment terms run 30–65 days for EMPAVELI and 60–150 days for SYFOVRE. In 2025 net product revenue was $689.4 million, slightly below the $710.0 million of 2024, because higher rebates more than offset higher volume. Second, the Sobi collaboration: Apellis manufactures and supplies pegcetacoplan to Sobi ($26.2 million in 2025) and earns royalties on Sobi's ex-U.S. sales ($13.2 million in 2025). Third, one-off payments from that same partnership: in July 2025 Apellis sold Sobi a 90% reduction of its future royalty obligations for $275.0 million up front, recognised in 2025 revenue, plus a $25.0 million milestone paid in February 2026 after EMA approval of Aspaveli. That $275.0 million is the reason total revenue jumped to $1,003.8 million in 2025 from $781.4 million in 2024 even though product sales fell.
Ingresos por segmento
An intravitreal injection for geographic atrophy, sold in the United States to retina specialists through specialty pharmacies and distributors. U.S. net product revenue was $586.9 million in 2025, down from $611.9 million in 2024.
Everything earned from the partner Sobi, which holds the ex-U.S. rights to systemic pegcetacoplan: $275.0 million from the July 2025 royalty buy-down agreement, $26.2 million for product supplied to Sobi and $13.2 million of royalties, for $314.4 million in total. The largest piece is a one-off payment and does not repeat in 2026.
A systemic infusion for rare diseases — PNH since 2021, and C3 glomerulopathy and primary IC-MPGN since the July 2025 FDA approval — sold in the United States to haematology and nephrology treatment centres. U.S. net product revenue was $102.4 million in 2025, up from $98.1 million in 2024.
Ventaja competitiva
Patentes y licencias · EstrechaWhat protects Apellis is regulatory and legal, not commercial: FDA approvals for two products, patents on pegcetacoplan licensed in part from the University of Pennsylvania, orphan designations, and the sheer cost and time it takes anyone else to run the trials needed to treat these diseases. That is a real barrier, but a narrow one. The company's own risk factors state that it faces substantial competition and that others may develop or commercialise products before it does — in geographic atrophy a rival complement inhibitor is already approved and selling. SYFOVRE revenue fell in 2025, which is what an eroding position looks like in the numbers. The 10-K also warns that patents may expire before or shortly after a candidate reaches the market, and that the company may lose licensed rights if it fails to meet its obligations to its licensors.
Qué impulsa la demanda
DefensivoDemand does not follow the economic cycle. Geographic atrophy, PNH and C3 glomerulopathy are progressive diseases: a patient who needs an injection needs it in a recession too, and the bill is paid by insurers and Medicare rather than out of household budgets. What actually moves Apellis's volumes is clinical and administrative, not macroeconomic — how many retina specialists decide the benefit is worth a repeated eye injection, how many patients stay on treatment rather than dropping out, whether payors keep covering the drug and at what net price, and how many treatment centres adopt EMPAVELI for the kidney indications approved in July 2025. That is visible in 2025: volumes grew but net revenue for SYFOVRE fell, because rebates absorbed more than the extra units brought in. Competitive share loss, not the economy, is the swing factor.
Riesgos clave
- The whole business rests on two drugs being accepted — The company warns it may fail to achieve the degree of market acceptance by physicians, patients, third-party payors and others in the medical community that EMPAVELI and SYFOVRE need to be commercially successful, in which case it may not generate significant revenues or remain profitable, and the market opportunity may prove smaller than it estimates.
- Safety or efficacy could look worse later than it did in the trials — Apellis discloses that it or others may later discover that EMPAVELI or SYFOVRE is less effective than previously believed, or causes safety issues that were not identified in clinical trials, which could compromise its ability, or that of its collaborators, to market the product. It separately notes that questions about SYFOVRE's benefit/risk profile may reduce market acceptance and hurt product revenues.
- Substantial competition — The filing states that the company faces substantial competition, which may result in others discovering, developing or commercialising products before or more successfully than Apellis does.
- Few customers, and a lot of money tied up in receivables — Apellis flags that it carries substantial accounts receivable and that delays in collecting them, or a failure to collect them, could have a material adverse effect on its cash flows and results of operations. In practice it sells to a handful of specialty pharmacies and distributors on payment terms that stretch to 150 days for SYFOVRE, and it sold $199.4 million of receivables to a financial institution in 2025 under a factoring agreement.
- Debt covenants and repayment — The 10-K warns that the terms of its indebtedness could adversely affect operations and limit its ability to plan for or respond to changes in the business, and that if it cannot comply with the restrictions in its debt financing agreements, repayment of existing indebtedness could be accelerated. Its $425.4 million of convertible notes mature on 15 September 2026 and were reclassified as current liabilities at year-end 2025.
- Pricing, reimbursement and healthcare legislation — The company discloses that EMPAVELI, SYFOVRE or any future product may become subject to unfavourable pricing regulations, third-party payor reimbursement practices or healthcare reform initiatives, and that current and future legislation may increase the difficulty and cost of obtaining reimbursement and affect the prices it can obtain. It must also make its case for coverage to each payor separately, with no assurance that adequate reimbursement will be obtained or applied consistently.
- Dependence on the Sobi collaboration and on third parties — The filing states that prospects for developing and commercialising its product candidates depend in part on the success of current and future collaborations, and that outside the United States revenues may be lower than if Apellis marketed and sold products directly. It also relies on third parties to run its clinical trials and warns that its business could be harmed if they do not perform satisfactorily.
- History of losses and no guarantee that profitability lasts — Apellis states that it has incurred significant losses since inception, expects to incur significant expenses, and may never achieve or maintain profitability. It adds that raising additional capital may dilute stockholders, restrict operations or force it to relinquish rights to its technologies or product candidates.
- Litigation naming the company and its CEO — The company discloses that it and its chief executive officer have been named as defendants in lawsuits that could result in substantial costs and divert management's attention.
Concentración de clientes
Los principales clientes representan el 90% de los ingresos
Extremely concentrated, in the way typical of specialty pharma. Apellis does not sell to patients or to hospitals directly; it sells to a handful of specialty pharmacies and specialty distributors that then serve the clinics. In 2025 three customers each accounted for 10% or more of gross product revenues: Customer D 58%, Customer C 19% and Customer A 13% — about 90% between them, on a similar footing to 2024. On the balance sheet the picture is the same: Customer D was 66% and Customer C 22% of product sales receivable at 31 December 2025. Losing or renegotiating with one of these intermediaries would touch a very large share of the top line at once. The end-users, however, are thousands of retina practices and treatment centres, so the concentration is in the distribution channel rather than in actual demand.
Los argumentos a favor
Buyers argue that 2025 was the year the model finally worked: Apellis posted net income of $22.4 million after losses of $197.9 million in 2024 and $528.6 million in 2023, and it did so while still funding a full pipeline. They point out that one molecule, pegcetacoplan, now carries four approved indications after the July 2025 FDA clearance of EMPAVELI in C3 glomerulopathy and primary IC-MPGN — two rare kidney diseases with no established treatment — which widens the addressable population without the cost of discovering a new drug. They note that SYFOVRE's underlying volumes kept growing even as net revenue slipped, so the shortfall came from rebates rather than from patients leaving. They see the Sobi relationship as a source of non-dilutive cash: $275.0 million received in July 2025 and a further $25.0 million milestone in February 2026 after Aspaveli's EMA approval, money raised without issuing shares. And they see optionality in the pipeline — APL-3007 combined with SYFOVRE in the eye, the two pivotal EMPAVELI trials in FSGS and delayed graft function started in the fourth quarter of 2025, and the Beam gene-editing collaboration — as several shots on goal from a platform that has already proved it can get drugs approved and sold.
Los argumentos en contra
Sellers fear that the profit is an accounting event rather than a business turning the corner. Of the $1,003.8 million of 2025 revenue, $275.0 million was a one-off payment from Sobi; strip it out and revenue was below 2024, and the $22.4 million of net income would not have survived. They point at SYFOVRE, which is roughly six-sevenths of product sales and whose U.S. net revenue fell from $611.9 million in 2024 to $586.9 million in 2025 — in a launch drug, in its third year, with a rival complement inhibitor already approved in the same indication. Rebates growing faster than volume is exactly the pattern of a product defending share on price. They note that the $275.0 million was not free: Apellis gave up 90% of its future ex-U.S. royalties to get it, which is why royalty income fell to $13.2 million from $18.4 million, and it will keep falling until the cap is reached. They see a balance sheet with $425.4 million of convertible notes maturing on 15 September 2026, now sitting in current liabilities, plus a secured Sixth Street facility whose covenants the company itself warns could accelerate repayment. They see 58% of gross product revenue running through a single customer. And they read the company's own admission that it may never achieve or maintain profitability as the more reliable guide than a single profitable year.
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Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated on 23 de agosto de 2026 with claude-opus-5 — shared with all users
Through its Alexion unit it sells Soliris, Ultomiris and Voydeya, the long-established complement drugs that Empaveli must displace in paroxysmal nocturnal haemoglobinuria.
Its pozelimab plus cemdisiran combination is being positioned as a next-generation complement therapy for paroxysmal nocturnal haemoglobinuria, and Eylea competes for the same retina specialists who inject Syfovre.
Izervay (avacincaptad pegol) is the only other approved intravitreal complement therapy for geographic atrophy, competing directly with Syfovre for the same retina specialists and the same patients.
Fabhalta (iptacopan) is an oral complement inhibitor competing with Empaveli both in paroxysmal nocturnal haemoglobinuria and in the rare kidney disease C3G, where it reached the market first.
Its subcutaneous anti-C5 antibody PiaSky (crovalimab) treats the same paroxysmal nocturnal haemoglobinuria patients, while Vabysmo competes for the same retina clinics' injection capacity.
Datos financieros limitados disponibles (0% de las métricas). Las puntuaciones pueden no reflejar con precisión los fundamentos de esta empresa.
Balance y Liquidez
Ingresos
-
Beneficio Neto
-
Flujo de Caja Libre
-
Patrimonio Neto Total
-
Pasivo Total
-
Ratio de Liquidez
3.14
Cobertura de Intereses
-
Deuda/EBITDA
-
Beneficio Por Acción
Ingresos y Beneficio Neto
Flujo de Caja Libre
Desglose de Ingresos
Estado histórico
Márgenes en el tiempo
La deuda en el tiempo
Cuánto pesa la deuda
Cuadro de crecimiento
Crecimiento — Ingresos
Métricas de Valoración
Ratio P/E
39.41
ROE
39.7%
Ratio P/B
-
P/FCF
-
Margen Bruto
-
ROIC
-
Radar de Rentabilidad
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
-
WACC
8.0%
ROIC − WACC
-
Criterios de Análisis Fundamental
Superado (0)
Fallido (0)
No disponible (1)
- Error fetching data
Piotroski F-Score
Preocupaciones financieras graves
Calidad de los Beneficios
Baja calidad: investigue la contabilidad
Dilución de Acciones
Recomprando acciones. Favorable para el accionista
Gobernanza
Parte 2 · El precio y el momento de entrar
Esta parte no sirve para saber si la empresa vale: sirve para elegir cuándo comprarla, una vez que los fundamentales te han convencido. Dentro: análisis técnico, potencial, caídas históricas, exposición gamma.
Latest News
Recent headlines for APLS, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 4/6/2026POSITIVEApellis Stock Soars After Biogen Deal, Momentum Score Surges—Here's What Shareholders Get
Apellis Pharmaceuticals Inc. experienced a significant surge in its stock price following the announcement of a definitive agreement for its acquisition by Biogen Inc. The deal values Apellis at approximately $5.6 billion, with Biogen offering $41 per share in cash, plus potential milestone payments. This acquisition is expected to bolster Biogen's rare disease portfolio, a key strategic area for the company. For Apellis shareholders, this represents a substantial premium and a lucrative exit, validating the company's innovation and market position in the rare disease therapeutics sector.
- 3/31/2026POSITIVEBiogen Lands Two Fast-Growing Drugs In Blockbuster Apellis Deal
Apellis Pharmaceuticals Inc. has agreed to be acquired by Biogen Inc. for approximately $5.6 billion, or $41 per share. This acquisition is expected to significantly bolster Biogen's portfolio with Apellis's two fast-growing complement therapies, potentially enhancing Biogen's long-term earnings per share outlook. The deal, valued at $5.6 billion, represents a substantial premium for Apellis shareholders and signals strong confidence in the future growth prospects of its drug pipeline. Investors will be watching for regulatory approvals and the integration process.
- 2/25/2026NEUTRALApellis (APLS) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
Apellis Pharmaceuticals (APLS) has released the transcript of its Q4 2025 earnings conference call. While specific details regarding the financial results and future projections are not available in this context, the publication of such transcripts is a key event for investors. It provides a direct insight into discussions between company management and analysts, often revealing crucial insights into past performance, future strategies, product pipeline advancements, and operational challenges. For APLS investors, a thorough analysis of this document is essential for evaluating the company's financial health and growth prospects within the biopharmaceutical sector, potentially influencing short- and long-term investment decisions.
- 2/24/2026NEUTRALApellis Pharmaceuticals Earnings Report: Q4 Overview
Markets Gazette notes the upcoming announcement of Apellis Pharmaceuticals' fourth-quarter earnings report, scheduled for February 24, 2026. This event is of paramount importance for investors, as it will provide a detailed overview of the company's financial performance and future outlook. While the current release lacks specific figures or forecasts, the market eagerly awaits data on revenues, earnings per share, and guidance for the upcoming periods. The analysis of these key indicators will be crucial for assessing Apellis' operational health and its ability to generate value, potentially influencing shareholder sentiment and the direction of the APLS stock in the short to medium term.
via Markets Gazette