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AXA SA (AXAHF)

NEUTRAL
Financial ServicesInsurance - DiversifiedFrance

Fundamental

63

Precio

$43.68

Capitalización Bursátil

$91.71B

Parte 1 · Cuánto vale la empresa

Resumen

AXA insures homes, cars, businesses and people against loss, illness and death, and sells life-savings and health policies alongside its property and casualty business. It collects premiums from millions of policyholders across Europe, Asia and elsewhere, and its AXA XL unit specializes in large commercial and specialty risks. A much smaller asset management arm invests money for clients for a fee.

Cómo genera ingresos

Premiums are collected upfront and claims are paid later, sometimes decades later for life and health policies, so profit comes from underwriting discipline — pricing risk correctly — plus the investment income earned on the funds held in between. Asset management adds a smaller, fee-based income stream that depends on the value of assets managed rather than on claims experience.

Ingresos por segmento

Property & Casualty50.3%

Insurance for cars, homes, businesses and large commercial and specialty risks, including through the AXA XL unit.

Life & Health49%

Savings, protection and health policies, with health premiums growing faster than the rest of the group in the latest year.

Asset Management0.8%

Fee-based investment management, now much smaller after the 2025 sale of AXA Investment Managers to BNP Paribas.

Ventaja competitiva

Escala · Estrecha

A global brand, broad distribution and a large capital base give AXA underwriting and pricing advantages over smaller insurers. The advantage is not exclusive, however: several other large composite insurers operate at similar scale in AXA's core European and Asian markets, and policyholders can and do switch insurers at renewal.

Qué impulsa la demanda

Defensivo

Car, home and liability insurance are largely mandatory or near-mandatory, so premium volumes hold up through economic downturns better than most consumer businesses. Growth still responds to the economy at the margin, through new business formation, asset values for savings products, and how much coverage households choose to buy.

Riesgos clave

  • Frequency and severity of insured losses — The company lists the frequency and severity of insured loss events, including weather-related catastrophes, as a main risk factor; it targets a normalized natural-catastrophe load of about 4.5 points of the combined ratio, and a worse year than that assumption directly hits underwriting profit.
  • Interest rate and market conditions — The company identifies market performance and exchange- and interest-rate fluctuations as a key risk, since they affect both the value of the investment portfolio backing its policies and the cost of long-term savings guarantees.
  • Mortality and morbidity assumptions — Life and health results depend on how actual mortality and morbidity compare with the assumptions used to price policies decades in advance; the company lists these levels among its principal risk factors.

Los argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that growth across both Property & Casualty and Life & Health in 2025, together with a still-comfortable Solvency II capital ratio, shows a diversified and well-capitalized insurer, and that the sale of the asset management arm sharpens the focus on the core, better-margin insurance business.

Los argumentos en contra

Sellers fear that a normalized natural-catastrophe assumption of 4.5 points can be exceeded in a genuinely bad year for weather losses, that a large long-duration life book stays exposed to interest-rate swings for decades, and that the Solvency II capital ratio has already declined from year-end 2025 levels, leaving less buffer than before.

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 23 de agosto de 2026 with claude-opus-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 10.6Score: 68Market cap: $195.01B

Europe's other large multiline insurer, competing with AXA for the same retail, health and corporate property-and-casualty customers in Germany, France, Italy and Asia.

Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A.G

Sells life, health and property-and-casualty policies through agent networks in the same Continental European markets where AXA earns most of its premiums, Italy and France above all.

Zurich Insurance Group AGZURN

Goes head-to-head with AXA XL for the global commercial property-and-casualty programmes of large corporations, and with AXA's retail arms in Switzerland, Germany and Italy.

Chubb LimitedCB

Writes the same large-corporate and specialty property-and-casualty risks that AXA XL underwrites, competing broker by broker for the same commercial accounts.

Covéa (MAAF, MMA, GMF)Not tracked

France's leading motor and home insurer, disputing with AXA France the same domestic retail policyholders that make France AXA's largest single market.

Aviva plcAV.

Competes with AXA's UK and Irish operations for the same general insurance, group health and commercial customers.

Balance y Liquidez

Ingresos

$96.20B

Últimos 12 meses hasta el último trimestre publicado — estimación a partir de métricas por acción

Beneficio Neto

$10.17B

Últimos 12 meses hasta el último trimestre publicado — estimación a partir de métricas por acción

Flujo de Caja Libre

$-26.39B

Patrimonio Neto Total

$46.19B

Pasivo Total

$61.11B

Ratio de Liquidez

11.53

Cobertura de Intereses

-

Deuda/EBITDA

-

Beneficio Por Acción

Ingresos y Beneficio Neto

Flujo de Caja Libre

Desglose de Ingresos

Estado histórico

Márgenes en el tiempo

La deuda en el tiempo

Cuánto pesa la deuda

Cuadro de crecimiento

Crecimiento — Ingresos

Estimación de Valor Justo

Infravalorado

Valor Justo

$82.95

Precio Actual

$43.68

Margen de Seguridad

+47.3%

Rango de Valor Justo

$53.92 - $111.98

Métodos de Estimación

Analyst Target:$50.51
DCF:$132.71
PE-based:$37.13
Graham Growth:$190.99
EPV:$42.55
Consenso de Analistas:Compra Fuerte (25B / 3H / 0S)
Última Sorpresa de Resultados:-2.91%

Métricas de Valoración

Ratio P/E

9.07

ROE

14.9%

Ratio P/B

2.00

P/FCF

-

Margen Bruto

14.9%

ROIC

8.5%

Radar de Rentabilidad

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

8.5%

WACC

5.9%

ROIC − WACC

+2.6 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

Criterios de Análisis Fundamental

Superado (12)

  • Price CAGR 6.77%
  • ROIC 8.5%
  • P/B Ratio 2.00
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 11.6%
  • Current Ratio
  • Price below Graham Number
  • ROE 21.9%
  • Analyst Consensus 89% Buy
  • PEG Ratio 0.32
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.52
  • Net Margin Trend 10.7% vs 9.0%

Fallido (6)

  • Gross Margin 14.9%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • Revenue Growth 5Y -4.2%
  • Earnings Surprise avg -2.0%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

No disponible (9)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-Score

2/9

Preocupaciones financieras graves

score
criteria

Calidad de los Beneficios

1.52

Alta calidad: beneficios respaldados por efectivo

Dilución de Acciones

-

Recomprando acciones. Favorable para el accionista

Gobernanza

Equipo Directivo

NombreCargoEdad
Dr. Thomas Buberl Ph.D.CEO & Director52
Ms. Helen BrowneGroup General Counsel & Employee Shareholders Representative Director63
Mr. Alban de Mailly NesleGroup Chief Financial Officer55
Gregoire de MontchalinChief Accounting & Reporting Officer-
Mr. Matthieu CaillatGroup Chief Technology & AI Officer, Chief Executive Officer of AXA Group Operations-
Ms. Anu VenkataramanGroup Chief Strategy Officer & Head of Investor Relations-
Ms. Ulrike DecoeneGroup Chief Communication, Brand & Sustainability Officer-
Ms. Karima SilventDeputy General Secretary, in charge of HR, Compliance, Audit, AXA EssentiALL & GIE AXA51
Mr. Hassan El-ShabrawishiChief Executive Officer of International Markets-
Mr. Guillaume BorieGlobal Head of Finance, Strategy, Underwriting, Risk & Technology39

Riesgo de Auditoría

3

Riesgo del Consejo

2

Riesgo de Compensación

6

Riesgo de Derechos del Accionista

6

Parte 2 · El precio y el momento de entrar

Esta parte no sirve para saber si la empresa vale: sirve para elegir cuándo comprarla, una vez que los fundamentales te han convencido. Dentro: análisis técnico, potencial, caídas históricas, exposición gamma.

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