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Bayer Aktiengesellschaft (BAYRY)

NEUTRAL
HealthcareDrug Manufacturers - GeneralGermany

Fundamental

60

Precio

$49.26

Capitalización Bursátil

$46.97B

Parte 1 · Cuánto vale la empresa

Resumen

Bayer runs three separate businesses under one roof: seeds and crop-protection chemicals sold to farmers, prescription drugs sold through healthcare systems, and over-the-counter health products such as vitamins and pain relievers sold directly to consumers. The three have little in common operationally — different customers, regulators and sales channels — and are grouped together mainly for historical reasons, which is why Bayer has repeatedly weighed splitting them apart.

Cómo genera ingresos

Crop Science sells seeds and chemicals to farmers and distributors on a seasonal cycle tied to planting calendars, so revenue is lumpy through the year and sensitive to weather and crop prices. Pharmaceuticals earns money when hospitals, pharmacies and health insurers buy prescription drugs, with prices and volumes shaped by each country's reimbursement system rather than by open retail pricing. Consumer Health sells packaged over-the-counter products through retailers at ordinary retail margins, the most straightforward of the three revenue streams.

Ingresos por segmento

Crop Science47.4%

Seeds, herbicides, fungicides and other crop-protection products sold to farmers worldwide; the largest of Bayer's three divisions.

Pharmaceuticals39.1%

Prescription drugs sold through healthcare systems, covering areas including cardiology, oncology and women's health.

Consumer Health12.7%

Over-the-counter brands such as vitamins, allergy and pain-relief products sold directly to consumers through retailers.

Ventaja competitiva

Patentes y licencias · Estrecha

Patented seed traits and drugs under patent protection give temporary pricing power in Crop Science and Pharmaceuticals, but that protection expires and competitors sell generic or biosimilar equivalents once it does. Consumer Health brands carry some loyalty but compete against store brands and other established names, so none of the three divisions has a durable, wide advantage on its own.

Qué impulsa la demanda

Moderadamente cíclico

Crop Science demand depends on farmers' planting decisions, which swing with crop prices and weather and can be genuinely cyclical in a bad year. Pharmaceuticals and Consumer Health are steadier, since people keep taking prescribed medicines and buying basic health products in most economic conditions, which offsets some of the agricultural volatility at the group level.

Riesgos clave

  • Glyphosate litigation — Bayer carries billions of euros in provisions for lawsuits alleging its glyphosate-based Roundup herbicide causes cancer, and paid roughly $1.3 billion in settlements and judgments in 2025 alone; the final cost of resolving remaining and future claims is still uncertain.
  • Patent expirations — Both Crop Science and Pharmaceuticals rely on patent-protected products for their best margins, and once a patent expires generic or biosimilar competitors typically erode price and volume quickly.
  • Regulatory and reimbursement risk — Crop-protection products face ongoing regulatory review that can restrict or ban active ingredients in some markets, while pharmaceutical prices depend on reimbursement decisions by governments and insurers that can change with little notice.

Los argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that the glyphosate litigation is closer to its end than its beginning after large settlements were reached, that the pharmaceutical pipeline can refill as older drugs lose patent protection, and that the sum of three global, essential businesses is worth more than the market allows while the legal overhang lasts.

Los argumentos en contra

Sellers worry that litigation costs and provisions could keep growing beyond what has already been set aside, that key drugs face patent cliffs without fully proven replacements, and that running three unrelated global businesses under one roof dilutes management focus compared with more focused pure-play competitors.

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance y Liquidez

Ingresos

$45.38B

Últimos 12 meses (hasta 30/6/2026)

Beneficio Neto

$-1.74B

Últimos 12 meses (hasta 30/6/2026)

Flujo de Caja Libre

$6.56B

Patrimonio Neto Total

$29.58B

Pasivo Total

$38.43B

Ratio de Liquidez

1.04

Cobertura de Intereses

-

Deuda/EBITDA

3.79

Beneficio Por Acción

Ingresos y Beneficio Neto

Flujo de Caja Libre

Desglose de Ingresos

Estado histórico

Márgenes en el tiempo

La deuda en el tiempo

Cuánto pesa la deuda

Cuadro de crecimiento

Crecimiento — Ingresos

Estimación de Valor Justo

Valoración Justa

Valor Justo

$56.13

Precio Actual

$49.26

Margen de Seguridad

+12.2%

Rango de Valor Justo

$36.49 - $75.78

Métodos de Estimación

Analyst Target:$56.83
DCF:$104.53
PE-based:-
Graham Growth:-
EPV:$6.69
Consenso de Analistas:Compra Fuerte (23B / 5H / 0S)
Última Sorpresa de Resultados:+14.80%

Métricas de Valoración

Ratio P/E

-

ROE

-5.7%

Ratio P/B

1.59

P/FCF

7.16

Margen Bruto

60.5%

ROIC

4.8%

Radar de Rentabilidad

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

4.8%

WACC

6.2%

ROIC − WACC

-1.4 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

Criterios de Análisis Fundamental

Superado (10)

  • Gross Margin 60.5%
  • P/FCF 7.16
  • P/B Ratio 1.59
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • Analyst Consensus 82% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 28.3%

Fallido (7)

  • Price CAGR -7.13%
  • ROIC 4.8%
  • CapEx intensity
  • ROE -6.1%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 1.9%
  • Net Margin Trend -7.9% vs -5.5%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

No disponible (10)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Operating Margin NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-Score

2/9

Preocupaciones financieras graves

score
criteria

Calidad de los Beneficios

-

Baja calidad: investigue la contabilidad

Dilución de Acciones

-

Recomprando acciones. Favorable para el accionista

Gobernanza

Equipo Directivo

NombreCargoEdad
Mr. William N. AndersonChairman of the Management Board & CEO59
Mr. Stefan OelrichPresident of the Pharmaceuticals Division & Member of the Board of Management57
Ms. Heike PrinzChief Talent Officer, Labor Director & Member of Management Board61
Dr. Judith HartmannCFO & Member of Management Board56
Mr. Rodrigo SantosMember of Management Board, Head of the Crop Science Division & President of Crop Science Division52
Mr. Julio TrianaMember of Management Board & President of Consumer Health Division60
Mr. Alex BuschermohleChief Information Officer, Head-Digital Transformation & IT-Crop Science Division-
Ms. Jana Marlen AckermannHead of the Investor Relations41
Mr. Bill DoderoGeneral Counsel and Senior VP of Law Patents & Compliance-
Mr. Michael PreussHead of Communications, Government Relations and Corporate Brand-

Riesgo de Auditoría

6

Riesgo del Consejo

1

Riesgo de Compensación

2

Riesgo de Derechos del Accionista

1

Parte 2 · El precio y el momento de entrar

Esta parte no sirve para saber si la empresa vale: sirve para elegir cuándo comprarla, una vez que los fundamentales te han convencido. Dentro: análisis técnico, potencial, caídas históricas, exposición gamma.

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