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Baytex Energy Corp. (BTE)

NEUTRAL
EnergyOil & Gas E&PCanada

Fundamental

51

Precio

$4.63

Capitalización Bursátil

$3.34B

Parte 1 · Cuánto vale la empresa

Resumen

Baytex is a Calgary-based oil and gas producer that pumps crude oil and natural gas out of the ground in Western Canada and sells it into commodity markets. After selling its U.S. Eagle Ford shale assets in December 2025, it is now a pure Canadian producer, with heavy oil fields in Peace River and Lloydminster and light oil in the growing Duvernay and Viking formations. It does not refine or retail fuel — it only extracts and sells raw hydrocarbons.

Cómo genera ingresos

Baytex earns revenue by selling barrels of oil and cubic metres of natural gas at prices it does not control — set by global crude benchmarks and, for its heavy oil, by a discount to those benchmarks that reflects transport and blending costs. It books a sale the moment production is delivered to a pipeline or buyer; there are no long-term supply contracts locking in price. Profitability depends almost entirely on the gap between the market price received and the cost of extracting each barrel.

Ingresos por segmento

Heavy Oil74.9%

Thick, discounted crude from Peace River and Lloydminster that requires blending with lighter diluent before it can move through pipelines.

Light Oil and Condensate21.8%

Higher-value light crude, increasingly from the growing Duvernay formation, priced closer to benchmark levels than heavy oil.

Natural Gas Liquids1.8%

Natural gas liquids such as propane and butane recovered alongside oil and gas production.

Natural Gas1.6%

Natural gas produced alongside the oil, a small and stable share of total sales.

Ventaja competitiva

Sin ventaja identificada · Ninguna

Baytex sells an undifferentiated commodity at prices set by global and regional benchmarks it cannot influence. Its heavy oil assets carry no pricing power — buyers pay a standard discount to WCS regardless of who produced the barrel — and any competitor with capital and drilling rights can access the same Alberta formations.

Qué impulsa la demanda

Cíclico

Revenue rises and falls with global oil prices, which are set by OPEC+ supply decisions, global demand and pipeline capacity out of Western Canada. The 2025 divestiture of Eagle Ford removed exposure to U.S. shale economics but concentrated the company further on a single, cyclical commodity: Canadian heavy and light oil.

Riesgos clave

  • Commodity price volatility — Baytex states that its financial condition is highly sensitive to prevailing crude oil and natural gas prices, which are set by factors entirely outside its control, including OPEC+ decisions and geopolitical events.
  • Need to keep replacing reserves — Oil and gas reserves deplete as they are produced, so long-term results depend on finding and developing new reserves at acceptable cost, with no assurance the company will succeed at economic prices.
  • Pipeline capacity and heavy-oil discount — Insufficient pipeline capacity to move Canadian crude to market has repeatedly forced Canadian producers to accept steep discounts to benchmark prices, and the company does not control the regulatory processes governing new pipeline capacity.
  • Climate regulation and emissions costs — Baytex is subject to evolving emissions, carbon and environmental regulation, with no assurance its capital budget will be sufficient to cover future obligations tied to greenhouse gas emissions.
  • Indigenous land and rights claims — Opposition by Indigenous groups to the company's operations or development activities could delay projects, raise legal and advisory costs, and damage its ability to explore and develop new properties.

Los argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that the Eagle Ford sale simplified the story into a focused, lower-decline Canadian heavy-oil and Duvernay producer with a much lighter debt load, freeing cash flow for buybacks and giving the market a cleaner read on the value of its Alberta acreage.

Los argumentos en contra

Sellers fear that concentrating entirely on Canadian heavy oil leaves the company more exposed to WCS price swings and pipeline bottlenecks than before, with less geographic diversification to cushion a downturn in any single basin.

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance y Liquidez

Ingresos

$892M

Últimos 12 meses (hasta 30/6/2026)

Beneficio Neto

$-717M

Últimos 12 meses (hasta 30/6/2026)

Flujo de Caja Libre

$-226M

Patrimonio Neto Total

$1.54B

Pasivo Total

$149M

Ratio de Liquidez

2.82

Cobertura de Intereses

-

Deuda/EBITDA

0.21

Beneficio Por Acción

Ingresos y Beneficio Neto

Flujo de Caja Libre

Desglose de Ingresos

Estado histórico

Márgenes en el tiempo

La deuda en el tiempo

Cuánto pesa la deuda

Cuadro de crecimiento

Crecimiento — Ingresos

Estimación de Valor Justo

Valoración Justa

Valor Justo

$5.22

Precio Actual

$4.63

Margen de Seguridad

+11.3%

Rango de Valor Justo

$4.96 - $5.48

Métodos de Estimación

Analyst Target:-
DCF:-
PE-based:-
Graham Growth:-
EPV:$5.22
Consenso de Analistas:Comprar (8B / 6H / 0S)
Última Sorpresa de Resultados:+153.03%

Métricas de Valoración

Ratio P/E

30.47

ROE

-8.8%

Ratio P/B

2.17

P/FCF

-

Margen Bruto

59.0%

ROIC

32.0%

Radar de Rentabilidad

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

32.0%

WACC

7.7%

ROIC − WACC

+24.3 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

Criterios de Análisis Fundamental

Superado (8)

  • ROIC 32.0%
  • Gross Margin 59.0%
  • P/B Ratio 2.17
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 12.8%
  • Analyst Consensus 57% Buy

Fallido (7)

  • Price CAGR -0.14%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • ROE 4.9%
  • Earnings Surprise avg -1502.9%
  • Net Margin Trend -18.2% vs 5.6%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

No disponible (12)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Operating Margin NaN%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-Score

2/9

Preocupaciones financieras graves

score
criteria

Calidad de los Beneficios

-

Baja calidad: investigue la contabilidad

Dilución de Acciones

-

Recomprando acciones. Favorable para el accionista

Gobernanza

Equipo Directivo

NombreCargoEdad
Mr. Chad E. LundbergPresident, CEO & Director43
Mr. Chad L. Kalmakoff C.A.Executive VP & CFO48
Mr. Kendall D. ArthurChief Operating Officer44
Mr. James R. MacleanSenior VP of Commercial & General Counsel45
Mr. Chris M.P. LessowayVP of Finance & Treasurer40

Riesgo de Auditoría

2

Riesgo del Consejo

6

Riesgo de Compensación

4

Riesgo de Derechos del Accionista

1

Parte 2 · El precio y el momento de entrar

Esta parte no sirve para saber si la empresa vale: sirve para elegir cuándo comprarla, una vez que los fundamentales te han convencido. Dentro: análisis técnico, potencial, caídas históricas, exposición gamma.

Latest News

Recent headlines for BTE, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 3/5/2026NEUTRAL
    Baytex Energy (BTE) Q4 2025 Earnings Transcript

    The Q4 2025 earnings transcript for Baytex Energy (BTE) has been released. While the detailed content is unavailable, the mere release of an earnings transcript is a standard event for publicly traded companies. This event, in itself, does not provide direct insight into the company's financial performance or future outlook. Therefore, without access to the actual earnings figures, guidance discussions, or analyst Q&A, it is impossible to determine a directional impact on the stock price. Investors will need to review the full document for implications.

via Markets Gazette