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Calix, Inc. (CALX)

NEUTRAL
TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureUnited States

Fundamental

68

Precio

$39.92

Capitalización Bursátil

$2.54B

Parte 1 · Cuánto vale la empresa

Resumen

Calix sells the equipment, software and cloud platform that internet, phone and cable companies use to deliver broadband to homes and businesses. Roughly 1,600 mostly small and mid-sized providers use its systems to run their networks and its software to sell and support subscriber services such as security and Wi-Fi management. The U.S. and Canada, boosted by government broadband subsidy programs, account for the large majority of sales.

Cómo genera ingresos

Revenue comes mostly from selling network appliances — the physical boxes that carry broadband into homes — recognized when shipped, plus a smaller but faster-growing stream of software and platform subscriptions billed over time. The appliance business still funds most of the company today, but management is steering providers toward the subscription software, which carries higher margins and recurs, rather than being a one-time equipment sale.

Ingresos por segmento

Appliance82.6%

Physical broadband access equipment installed in the network and at the customer premises, sold upfront when shipped.

Software and Services17.4%

Cloud platform subscriptions, managed Wi-Fi and subscriber-facing apps billed over time — the smaller, faster-growing part of the business.

Qué impulsa la demanda

Moderadamente cíclico

Purchases are tied to broadband providers' own capital spending plans, which follow both their subscriber growth ambitions and the availability of government funding programs for rural and underserved areas. A change in public subsidy timing can move orders forward or back independent of underlying demand for internet access.

Riesgos clave

  • Reliance on third-party manufacturing — Calix depends on outside manufacturers and sole- or limited-source suppliers, many concentrated in Asia, to build its equipment. A disruption at one of these partners can delay shipments the company cannot quickly replace.
  • Competition on price and functionality — The company competes in a broadband equipment and software market where rivals with greater financial resources can undercut it on price, and it expects at least two fiber providers to be competing for subscribers in most markets.
  • Dependence on public broadband funding — A meaningful part of demand rides on public and private funding programs for broadband buildout in underserved areas; changes in the size, timing or rules of those programs can delay or reduce customer orders.

Concentración de clientes

The company states that no single customer accounted for more than 10% of revenue in the periods it reports, spreading demand across roughly 1,600 broadband providers rather than a handful of large accounts.

Los argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that broadband providers are steadily adopting Calix's cloud platform on top of its equipment, that no single customer concentration risk exists across roughly 1,600 accounts, and that government-funded rural buildout gives the appliance business years of visible demand.

Los argumentos en contra

Sellers fear that the appliance business still drives most revenue and remains exposed to lumpy capital spending by small providers, that larger competitors can undercut Calix on price, and that a slowdown or redesign of public broadband subsidy programs would remove a meaningful source of near-term demand.

Datos por segmento del ejercicio fiscal 2025Fuentes: Calix, Inc. — Form 10-K for fiscal year 2025Calix Q4 2025 Shareholder Letter

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance y Liquidez

Ingresos

$1.11B

Últimos 12 meses (hasta 27/6/2026)

Beneficio Neto

$51M

Últimos 12 meses (hasta 27/6/2026)

Flujo de Caja Libre

$116M

Patrimonio Neto Total

$859M

Pasivo Total

$199M

Ratio de Liquidez

2.83

Cobertura de Intereses

-

Deuda/EBITDA

0.36

Beneficio Por Acción

Ingresos y Beneficio Neto

Flujo de Caja Libre

Desglose de Ingresos

Estado histórico

Márgenes en el tiempo

La deuda en el tiempo

Cuánto pesa la deuda

Cuadro de crecimiento

Crecimiento — Ingresos

Estimación de Valor Justo

Sobrevalorado

Valor Justo

$31.17

Precio Actual

$39.92

Margen de Seguridad

-28.1%

Rango de Valor Justo

$20.26 - $42.08

Métodos de Estimación

Analyst Target:$62.33
DCF:$19.87
PE-based:$17.71
Graham Growth:$5.68
EPV:$6.30
Consenso de Analistas:Compra Fuerte (12B / 2H / 0S)
Última Sorpresa de Resultados:+13.94%

Métricas de Valoración

Ratio P/E

53.07

ROE

2.1%

Ratio P/B

3.53

P/FCF

29.34

Margen Bruto

56.6%

ROIC

6.5%

Radar de Rentabilidad

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

6.5%

WACC

11.7%

ROIC − WACC

-5.1 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

Criterios de Análisis Fundamental

Superado (17)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 17.95%
  • ROIC 6.5%
  • Gross Margin 56.6%
  • P/FCF 29.34
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 5.5%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 13.1%
  • Analyst Consensus 86% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 10.2%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.14
  • Net Margin Trend 4.6% vs -3.1%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

Fallido (7)

  • P/B Ratio 3.53
  • CapEx intensity
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • ROE 6.5%
  • Share Dilution 4.1%

No disponible (3)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-Score

6/9

Señales mixtas: algunas áreas requieren atención

score
criteria

Calidad de los Beneficios

2.14

Alta calidad: beneficios respaldados por efectivo

Dilución de Acciones

4.1%

Emitiendo nuevas acciones, diluyendo la participación

Gobernanza

Equipo Directivo

NombreCargoEdad
Mr. Michael WeeningCEO, President & Director56
Mr. Cory J. Sindelar CPAChief Financial Officer56
Mr. John DurocherChief Operations Officer58
Mr. Shane Todd-Marshall EleniakChief Product Officer57
Ms. Nancy FazioliVice President of Investor Relations-
Mr. Douglas W. McNittExecutive VP, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary60
Mr. Mark DresslerChief Revenue Officer-
Ms. Martha GalleyChief Sustainability Officer-
Ms. Parul KapoorChief Talent & Culture Officer-
Mr. Jonathan LindsellChief Customer Officer-

Riesgo de Auditoría

2

Riesgo del Consejo

6

Riesgo de Compensación

6

Riesgo de Derechos del Accionista

7

Parte 2 · El precio y el momento de entrar

Esta parte no sirve para saber si la empresa vale: sirve para elegir cuándo comprarla, una vez que los fundamentales te han convencido. Dentro: análisis técnico, potencial, caídas históricas, exposición gamma.

Latest News

Recent headlines for CALX, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 4/21/2026NEUTRAL
    Calix Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

    Calix Inc. held its Q1 2026 Earnings Call on April 21, 2026. While the transcript is available, no specific financial figures, forward-looking statements, or significant market-moving announcements were detailed in the provided summary. The call likely covered operational updates, segment performance, and strategic initiatives. Investors would typically look for revenue growth, profitability metrics, and guidance for future quarters. Without these details, the immediate market impact remains neutral, pending further analysis of the full transcript for any subtle shifts in performance or outlook.

  • 3/4/2026POSITIVE
    Fund Discloses New $6 Million Bet on Calix Amid 55% Stock Surge

    An investment fund has disclosed a new $6 million long bet on Calix Inc. (CALX), a move that comes as the company's stock has already surged 55%. Calix, which delivers cloud-based platforms and analytics to broadband service providers across U.S. and international markets, appears to be benefiting from renewed investor interest. This significant fund investment suggests strong conviction in the company's future growth potential, despite the recent rally. For investors, this could signal further capital appreciation opportunities.

via Markets Gazette