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Cincinnati Financial Corporation (CINF)

POSITIVE
Financial ServicesInsurance - Property & CasualtyUnited States

Fundamental

85

Precio

$171.64

Capitalización Bursátil

$25.83B

Parte 1 · Cuánto vale la empresa

Resumen

Cincinnati Financial sells property, casualty and life insurance almost entirely through independent local insurance agencies rather than direct-to-consumer channels or salaried agents. Commercial Lines covers businesses, Personal Lines covers homes and cars, Excess & Surplus Lines covers harder-to-place risks other insurers decline, and a life insurance subsidiary adds a smaller, steadier income stream. The company's pitch to agents is long-term partnership and quick, local claims handling, not the lowest price in the market.

Cómo genera ingresos

Customers pay premiums up front for a year of coverage, which Cincinnati recognizes as earned revenue gradually over that period; profit depends on collecting more in premiums than it pays out in claims and expenses, a ratio insurers call the combined ratio. Between collecting a premium and eventually paying a claim, the company invests that cash — its "float" — in bonds and stocks, and the investment income earned on that float is a second, separate source of profit.

Ventaja competitiva

Sin ventaja identificada · Ninguna

Property-casualty insurance is a commodity product — a policy from Cincinnati and a similar policy from a competitor cover the same risk — so there is no structural barrier stopping a rival from underwriting the same business. What differentiates Cincinnati is execution: underwriting discipline and multi-decade relationships with independent agents, which are valuable but can be matched by a well-run competitor over time.

Qué impulsa la demanda

Cíclico

Insurance pricing moves in multi-year cycles: after a run of heavy catastrophe losses, insurers raise rates and tighten terms (a "hard market"), then competition eventually pushes prices back down. On top of that pricing cycle, actual results in any given year swing with the weather — a bad hurricane or hailstorm season can outweigh years of careful underwriting.

Riesgos clave

  • Catastrophe losses — The company can face unusually high catastrophe losses from weather, wildfire, cyberattacks or civil unrest, and states its own catastrophe models may be inaccurate or based on incomplete data.
  • Reliance on independent agents — Agents are not obligated to sell Cincinnati's products and can promote competitors' policies instead; a weaker relationship with key agencies could shift new business elsewhere.
  • State rate and coverage regulation — State regulators can restrict premium rates, limit the ability to cancel unprofitable policies, or impose new underwriting standards, constraining how the company responds to rising costs.
  • Reinsurance availability and cost — Cincinnati manages catastrophe exposure partly through reinsurance; if that coverage becomes more expensive or harder to obtain, more risk stays on the company's own balance sheet.

Concentración de clientes

Cincinnati insures millions of individual homes, cars and businesses through thousands of independent agencies, so no single policyholder concentration exists; the company does not disclose one.

Los argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that decades of stable relationships with independent agents and a track record of underwriting discipline let Cincinnati grow through insurance cycles that hurt less disciplined competitors, while investment income on its float adds a second profit engine largely uncorrelated with underwriting results.

Los argumentos en contra

Sellers fear that property-casualty insurance is a commodity business where any underwriting edge erodes over time, that a severe catastrophe year or a soft pricing cycle can wipe out several years of gains, and that reliance on independent agents leaves distribution outside the company's direct control.

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance y Liquidez

Ingresos

$13.95B

Últimos 12 meses (hasta 30/6/2026)

Beneficio Neto

$3.33B

Últimos 12 meses (hasta 30/6/2026)

Flujo de Caja Libre

$3.09B

Patrimonio Neto Total

$15.91B

Pasivo Total

$25.09B

Ratio de Liquidez

2.08

Cobertura de Intereses

-

Deuda/EBITDA

0.20

Beneficio Por Acción

Ingresos y Beneficio Neto

Flujo de Caja Libre

Desglose de Ingresos

Estado histórico

Márgenes en el tiempo

La deuda en el tiempo

Cuánto pesa la deuda

Cuadro de crecimiento

Crecimiento — Ingresos

Estimación de Valor Justo

Infravalorado

Valor Justo

$424.59

Precio Actual

$171.64

Margen de Seguridad

+59.6%

Rango de Valor Justo

$275.98 - $573.20

Métodos de Estimación

Analyst Target:$191.67
DCF:$772.45
PE-based:$417.96
Graham Growth:$724.26
EPV:$136.41
Consenso de Analistas:Comprar (8B / 8H / 0S)
Última Sorpresa de Resultados:-23.86%

Métricas de Valoración

Ratio P/E

8.08

ROE

15.0%

Ratio P/B

1.58

P/FCF

7.73

Margen Bruto

-

ROIC

-

Radar de Rentabilidad

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

-

WACC

7.9%

ROIC − WACC

-

Criterios de Análisis Fundamental

Superado (21)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 10.88%
  • Price CAGR 8.31%
  • P/FCF 7.73
  • P/B Ratio 1.58
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • ROE 20.9%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 10.9%
  • Analyst Consensus 50% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 8.0%
  • PEG Ratio 0.52
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.03
  • Share Dilution 0.0%
  • Net Margin Trend 23.8% vs 15.6%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

Fallido (1)

  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)

No disponible (6)

  • ROIC NaN%
  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Operating Margin NaN%
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage

Piotroski F-Score

5/9

Señales mixtas: algunas áreas requieren atención

score
criteria

Calidad de los Beneficios

1.03

Alta calidad: beneficios respaldados por efectivo

Dilución de Acciones

0.0%

Recomprando acciones. Favorable para el accionista

Gobernanza

Equipo Directivo

NombreCargoEdad
Mr. Steven Justus Johnston C.F.A., CERA, FCAS, MAAAExecutive Chairman65
Mr. Stephen Michael SprayPresident, CEO & Director59
Mr. Michael James Sewell CPACFO, Principal Accounting Officer, Executive VP & Treasurer61
Ms. Teresa Currin Cracas Esq.Chief Risk Officer & Executive VP of The Cincinnati Insurance Company59
Mr. Steven Anthony Soloria C.F.A., C.P.C.U.Executive VP & Chief Investment Officer58
Mr. Dennis E. McDaniel C.M.A., CPA, C.P.C.U., CFMVP & Investor Relations Officer65
Mr. Thomas Christopher Hogan Esq.Executive VP, Chief Legal Officer & Company Secretary32
Betsy E. Ertel C.P.C.U.Vice President of Corporate Communications-
Mr. Donald Joseph Doyle Jr., AIM, C.P.C.U.Senior Vice President of The Cincinnati Insurance Company58
Mr. William Harold Van Den HeuvelExecutive Vice President58

Riesgo de Auditoría

6

Riesgo del Consejo

10

Riesgo de Compensación

4

Riesgo de Derechos del Accionista

8

Parte 2 · El precio y el momento de entrar

Esta parte no sirve para saber si la empresa vale: sirve para elegir cuándo comprarla, una vez que los fundamentales te han convencido. Dentro: análisis técnico, potencial, caídas históricas, exposición gamma.

Latest News

Recent headlines for CINF, sourced from Markets Gazette.

No recent news for CINF.