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Daimler Truck Holding AG (DTGHF)

POSITIVE
IndustrialsFarm & Heavy Construction MachineryGermany

Fundamental

70

Precio

$46.99

Capitalización Bursátil

$35.08B

Parte 1 · Cuánto vale la empresa

Resumen

Daimler Truck builds and sells heavy trucks and buses under brands including Freightliner, Western Star and Mercedes-Benz. Spun off from Mercedes-Benz Group in 2021, it makes money selling the vehicles themselves and, through a captive finance arm, financing and leasing them to the fleets and operators that buy them. North America and Europe are its two largest markets.

Cómo genera ingresos

Revenue is booked when a truck or bus is delivered to a dealer or fleet customer, so it tracks the industry-wide replacement cycle for commercial vehicles rather than steady consumption. A smaller, steadier stream comes from financial services — loans and leases on the vehicles Daimler Truck itself sold — and from parts and service, which holds up better than new-vehicle sales when the market slows.

Ingresos por segmento

Mercedes-Benz Trucks39.9%

Heavy trucks sold mainly in Europe and Latin America under the Mercedes-Benz brand.

Trucks North America38.5%

Freightliner and Western Star trucks sold in the United States, Canada and Mexico — historically the group's largest and most cyclical market.

Daimler Buses12.1%

City, intercity and coach buses sold under the Mercedes-Benz and Setra brands, mostly in Europe and Latin America.

Trucks Asia9.7%

Trucks sold under the Fuso and BharatBenz brands across Japan, India and other Asian markets.

Qué impulsa la demanda

Cíclico

Truck orders follow freight volumes and haulage rates: when shippers have more goods to move and can charge more for it, fleets buy new trucks; when freight demand slumps, as it did through 2025, orders can fall for several quarters even after the freight market itself starts to recover, because fleets first work through excess capacity.

Riesgos clave

  • Prolonged freight-market downturn — The company reported that the 2025 freight recession lasted longer than it had anticipated, with North American heavy-duty unit sales down sharply year over year, showing how quickly a soft freight market can cut into truck demand.
  • US tariff exposure — Daimler Truck recorded roughly €250 million of tariff-related costs in 2025, concentrated in North America, which by the company's own account cut its return on sales by more than a full percentage point.
  • Regional concentration and market cyclicality — North America and Europe together account for the large majority of unit sales, so a downturn in either region — as seen with the 6% decline in the European heavy-duty market in 2025 — has an outsized effect on group results.

Los argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that Daimler Truck's roughly 40% share of the North American Class 8 market gives it pricing power once the freight cycle turns, and that its size lets it absorb a tough year like 2025 while smaller rivals struggle more.

Los argumentos en contra

Sellers fear that the freight recession has already lasted longer than management expected, that US tariffs keep eating into North American margins, and that a business this dependent on two cyclical regions offers little shelter when both slow down at once.

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance y Liquidez

Ingresos

$44.47B

Últimos 12 meses hasta el último trimestre publicado — estimación a partir de métricas por acción

Beneficio Neto

$2.55B

Últimos 12 meses hasta el último trimestre publicado — estimación a partir de métricas por acción

Flujo de Caja Libre

$5.42B

Patrimonio Neto Total

$22.57B

Pasivo Total

$29.14B

Ratio de Liquidez

1.70

Cobertura de Intereses

-

Deuda/EBITDA

7.76

Beneficio Por Acción

Ingresos y Beneficio Neto

Flujo de Caja Libre

Desglose de Ingresos

Estado histórico

Márgenes en el tiempo

La deuda en el tiempo

Cuánto pesa la deuda

Cuadro de crecimiento

Crecimiento — Ingresos

Estimación de Valor Justo

Valoración Justa

Valor Justo

$49.87

Precio Actual

$46.99

Margen de Seguridad

+5.8%

Rango de Valor Justo

$32.41 - $67.32

Métodos de Estimación

Analyst Target:$50.81
DCF:$148.13
PE-based:$15.36
Graham Growth:$23.61
EPV:$28.22
Consenso de Analistas:Comprar (16B / 5H / 2S)
Última Sorpresa de Resultados:+118.11%

Métricas de Valoración

Ratio P/E

13.84

ROE

5.0%

Ratio P/B

1.57

P/FCF

6.47

Margen Bruto

17.9%

ROIC

4.8%

Radar de Rentabilidad

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

4.8%

WACC

5.0%

ROIC − WACC

-0.2 pp

ROIC is roughly in line with the cost of capital — the company is barely covering its capital cost.

Criterios de Análisis Fundamental

Superado (13)

  • Price CAGR 7.68%
  • P/FCF 6.47
  • P/B Ratio 1.57
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 5.6%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • ROE 11.7%
  • Analyst Consensus 70% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 8.8%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.93

Fallido (7)

  • ROIC 4.8%
  • Gross Margin 17.9%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 4.8%
  • Net Margin Trend 4.0% vs 5.4%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

No disponible (7)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-Score

2/9

Preocupaciones financieras graves

score
criteria

Calidad de los Beneficios

1.93

Alta calidad: beneficios respaldados por efectivo

Dilución de Acciones

-

Recomprando acciones. Favorable para el accionista

Gobernanza

Equipo Directivo

NombreCargoEdad
Ms. Karin RadstromPresident, CEO & Member of the Board of Management46
Ms. Eva SchererCFO, Finance & Controlling and Member of the Management Board42
Mr. Jurgen HartwigHuman Resource Officer, Labor Director & Member of the Board of Management58
Mr. John O'LearyMember of the Board of Management65
Dr. Andreas GorbachMember of the Board of Management50
Mr. Achim PuchertMember of the Board of Management46
Mr. Raghavendra VaidyaChief Information Officer-
Mr. Marcus PoppeHead of Investor Relations-
Dr. Florian HoferChief Legal & Compliance Officer-
Mr. Thomas HovermannHead of Corporate Communications-

Riesgo de Auditoría

5

Riesgo del Consejo

6

Riesgo de Compensación

3

Riesgo de Derechos del Accionista

1

Parte 2 · El precio y el momento de entrar

Esta parte no sirve para saber si la empresa vale: sirve para elegir cuándo comprarla, una vez que los fundamentales te han convencido. Dentro: análisis técnico, potencial, caídas históricas, exposición gamma.

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