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Genmab A/S (GMAB)

POSITIVE
HealthcareBiotechnologyDenmark

Fundamental

80

Precio

$34.23

Capitalización Bursátil

$20.56B

Parte 1 · Cuánto vale la empresa

Resumen

Genmab, a Danish biotech, discovers antibody drugs and then largely lets bigger pharmaceutical companies manufacture and sell them, collecting a royalty on those sales instead. Its most important invention, daratumumab, is a multiple-myeloma antibody that Johnson & Johnson sells worldwide as DARZALEX; Genmab gets a cut of every dose sold. It also sells two of its own antibody drugs directly, EPKINLY/TEPKINLY for lymphoma, and keeps a pipeline of earlier-stage antibodies aimed at cancer and other diseases.

Cómo genera ingresos

Most revenue is royalty income: a contractual percentage of what Johnson & Johnson and Novartis book selling DARZALEX and Kesimpta, which Genmab receives without bearing the cost of manufacturing, marketing or a sales force for those drugs. A smaller and faster-growing slice is net product sales from EPKINLY/TEPKINLY, which Genmab commercializes itself in some territories. The royalty model keeps margins very high but ties most of Genmab's fortunes to a single antibody it does not control commercially.

Ingresos por segmento

Royalty revenue83.4%

Contractual royalties on DARZALEX sales by Johnson & Johnson and Kesimpta sales by Novartis, the core of Genmab's income.

Net product sales10.2%

Direct sales of EPKINLY/TEPKINLY, the lymphoma antibody Genmab commercializes itself in the territories it retains.

Milestone, collaboration and other revenue6.4%

One-time and reimbursement payments from partners tied to development progress, a small and less predictable part of total revenue.

Ventaja competitiva

Patentes y licencias · Estrecha

Genmab's royalty stream is protected by patents on daratumumab and by an exclusive license that bars Genmab itself from developing a competing antibody against the same CD38 target. That protection is time-limited: the relevant patents begin expiring in the late 2020s and early 2030s across the US, Europe and Japan, after which royalty rates and revenue are expected to decline.

Qué impulsa la demanda

Defensivo

Cancer treatment spending is not discretionary: patients and physicians do not defer chemotherapy or a myeloma drug because of the economy, and the drugs are largely covered by insurance or national health systems. Genmab's own revenue growth depends more on how many patients Johnson & Johnson's sales force reaches with DARZALEX and on Genmab's own launch execution for EPKINLY than on macroeconomic conditions.

Riesgos clave

  • Dependence on a single partnered drug — About two-thirds of revenue comes from DARZALEX royalties, a drug Genmab does not manufacture or sell itself. Genmab's fortunes hinge on decisions and execution by Johnson & Johnson, a company it does not control.
  • Patent expiration reduces future royalties — Core daratumumab patents begin expiring around 2029 in the US and later in Europe and Japan; once they lapse, generic or biosimilar competition is expected to erode DARZALEX sales and Genmab's royalty income with them.
  • Disputes with licensing partners — Genmab has previously entered binding arbitration with Janssen (Johnson & Johnson) over terms of the daratumumab license agreement, showing that even its most important partnership is not free of contractual disagreement.
  • Manufacturing reliance on third parties — Genmab relies on a limited number of third-party contract manufacturers, some based in China, to produce the antibody drugs it sells directly, exposing it to supply disruption or geopolitical trade risk.

Concentración de clientes

Los principales clientes representan el 66% de los ingresos

DARZALEX royalties from Johnson & Johnson alone accounted for about 66% of Genmab's 2025 revenue. A change in DARZALEX sales, pricing or J&J's marketing effort moves the majority of Genmab's income.

Los argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that royalty income on a market-leading, still-growing drug like DARZALEX carries almost no commercial cost or execution risk for Genmab, that EPKINLY's rapid growth shows the company can also succeed as a direct seller, and that years remain before the daratumumab patent cliff meaningfully dents revenue.

Los argumentos en contra

Sellers worry that a company earning two-thirds of its revenue from one partner's drug has limited control over its own destiny, that the patent cliff later this decade will eventually shrink the royalty stream that funds everything else, and that Genmab's own commercial drugs are not yet large enough to replace that income if the transition goes slowly.

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

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Who this company fights with for the same customers

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Balance y Liquidez

Ingresos

$4.13B

Últimos 12 meses (hasta 30/6/2026)

Beneficio Neto

$788M

Últimos 12 meses (hasta 30/6/2026)

Flujo de Caja Libre

$1.13B

Patrimonio Neto Total

$5.85B

Pasivo Total

$7.03B

Ratio de Liquidez

2.02

Cobertura de Intereses

20.49

Deuda/EBITDA

3.95

Beneficio Por Acción

Ingresos y Beneficio Neto

Flujo de Caja Libre

Desglose de Ingresos

Estado histórico

Márgenes en el tiempo

La deuda en el tiempo

Cuánto pesa la deuda

Cuadro de crecimiento

Crecimiento — Ingresos

Estimación de Valor Justo

Infravalorado

Valor Justo

$141.64

Precio Actual

$34.23

Margen de Seguridad

+75.8%

Rango de Valor Justo

$92.06 - $191.21

Métodos de Estimación

Analyst Target:$38.84
DCF:$426.56
PE-based:$23.97
Graham Growth:$24.55
EPV:$168.18
Consenso de Analistas:Comprar (21B / 3H / 2S)
Última Sorpresa de Resultados:+36.61%

Métricas de Valoración

Ratio P/E

21.58

ROE

13.6%

Ratio P/B

0.35

P/FCF

1.82

Margen Bruto

93.6%

ROIC

8.6%

Radar de Rentabilidad

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

8.6%

WACC

7.8%

ROIC − WACC

+0.8 pp

ROIC is roughly in line with the cost of capital — the company is barely covering its capital cost.

Criterios de Análisis Fundamental

Superado (19)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 8.44%
  • Price CAGR 7.27%
  • ROIC 8.6%
  • Gross Margin 93.6%
  • P/FCF 1.82
  • P/B Ratio 0.35
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 33.6%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • ROE 13.6%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 19.2%
  • Analyst Consensus 81% Buy

Fallido (3)

  • Earnings Surprise avg -1.8%
  • PEG Ratio 3.49
  • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

No disponible (6)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)
  • Net Margin Trend (invalid data)

Piotroski F-Score

1/9

Preocupaciones financieras graves

score
criteria

Calidad de los Beneficios

-

Baja calidad: investigue la contabilidad

Dilución de Acciones

-

Recomprando acciones. Favorable para el accionista

Gobernanza

Equipo Directivo

NombreCargoEdad
Dr. Jan G.J. van de Winkel Ph.D.Co-Founder, President & CEO64
Mr. Anthony Pagano CPAExecutive VP & CFO47
Mr. Rayne WallerExecutive VP & Chief Technical Operations Officer57
Mr. Gregory David Emil MuellerExecutive VP, General Counsel & Chief Legal Officer54
Mr. Christopher CozicExecutive VP & Chief People Officer47
Dr. Martine J. van Vugt Ph.D.Executive VP & Chief Strategy Officer54
Mr. Martin SchultzSenior Director, Head of Development Business Partnership & Strategy and Director50
Dr. Judith V. Klimovsky M.D.Executive VP & Chief Development Officer67
Dr. Tahamtan Ahmadi M.D., Ph.D.Executive VP, Chief Medical Officer & Head of Experimental Medicines52
Dr. Mijke Zachariasse Ph.D.VP, Head of Antibody Research Materials & Director52

Parte 2 · El precio y el momento de entrar

Esta parte no sirve para saber si la empresa vale: sirve para elegir cuándo comprarla, una vez que los fundamentales te han convencido. Dentro: análisis técnico, potencial, caídas históricas, exposición gamma.

Latest News

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