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NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI)

POSITIVE
TechnologySemiconductorsNetherlands

Fundamental

72

Precio

$224.54

Capitalización Bursátil

$56.09B

Parte 1 · Cuánto vale la empresa

Resumen

NXP designs semiconductors that let machines sense, connect and make decisions — chips embedded inside cars, factory equipment, phones and payment terminals rather than sold to consumers directly. Like many chip designers it uses a mix of its own factories and external foundries to manufacture what it designs. Automotive is by far its largest market: NXP supplies chips that manage a car's battery, run its dashboard displays, and let it talk to other vehicles and infrastructure.

Cómo genera ingresos

NXP books revenue when a chip ships to a carmaker, an industrial equipment maker, or a distributor who resells to smaller customers — there is no subscription component. Its chips are typically designed into a specific car model or industrial product years before mass production starts, so a design win locks in years of predictable volume once the product launches, but also means today's revenue reflects decisions engineers made long ago rather than orders placed today.

Ingresos por segmento

Automotive58%

Chips for battery management, infotainment, driver-assistance and vehicle-to-vehicle communication — by far the largest and the main growth driver.

Industrial & IoT18.5%

Chips for factory automation, smart metering and connected devices outside the automotive and mobile world.

Mobile12.9%

Chips for secure payments and device authentication embedded in smartphones and wearables.

Communication Infrastructure & Other10.6%

Chips for network base stations and other communications equipment, plus revenue that does not fit the other three markets.

Ventaja competitiva

Costes de cambio · Estrecha

A chip designed into a car model stays there for the years that model is in production, because re-qualifying a different supplier's part means retesting the whole electrical system. That gives NXP predictable revenue on won designs, but every new vehicle platform is a fresh competition against Infineon, STMicroelectronics and Texas Instruments, so the advantage resets with each product generation rather than compounding.

Qué impulsa la demanda

Cíclico

Demand tracks global vehicle and industrial production, both of which swing with the broader economy, and the semiconductor industry has its own separate inventory cycle on top: customers overorder when chips are scarce and underorder to work down stock when supply catches up, amplifying swings that have nothing to do with how many cars are actually being driven.

Riesgos clave

  • Cyclical semiconductor demand — Automotive and industrial chip demand swings with the broader economy and with customers' own inventory cycles, which have produced sharp order swings in the past.
  • Dependence on external and owned foundries — NXP relies partly on third-party foundries for manufacturing capacity; a shortage or disruption at a key supplier can delay shipments it cannot quickly make up elsewhere.
  • Long automotive design cycles cut both ways — Winning a design today does not generate revenue for years, and losing one means years without that customer; NXP cannot quickly adjust to a design loss once a vehicle platform is set.
  • Geopolitical and export exposure — A global manufacturing footprint and sales into China expose NXP to export controls, tariffs and trade tensions between the US, Europe and China that can change with little notice.

Concentración de clientes

No single customer accounted for 10% or more of 2025 revenue, and NXP states its top 20 customers together made up less than 45% of revenue — a broad base by chip-industry standards.

Los argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that vehicles keep adding more chips per car as electrification and driver-assistance features spread, that NXP's broad, unconcentrated customer base cushions any single loss, and that automotive design wins provide years of visible, contracted-in-practice revenue once production starts.

Los argumentos en contra

Sellers fear that a slowdown in global auto and industrial production hits NXP directly, that the semiconductor inventory cycle can turn an order backlog into a glut within a few quarters, and that trade restrictions between major economies could cut off a meaningful part of its manufacturing or sales base.

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

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Balance y Liquidez

Ingresos

$12.62B

Últimos 12 meses (hasta 29/3/2026)

Beneficio Neto

$2.65B

Últimos 12 meses (hasta 29/3/2026)

Flujo de Caja Libre

$2.42B

Patrimonio Neto Total

$10.06B

Pasivo Total

$16.11B

Ratio de Liquidez

2.24

Cobertura de Intereses

8.08

Deuda/EBITDA

3.54

Beneficio Por Acción

Ingresos y Beneficio Neto

Flujo de Caja Libre

Desglose de Ingresos

Estado histórico

Márgenes en el tiempo

La deuda en el tiempo

Cuánto pesa la deuda

Cuadro de crecimiento

Crecimiento — Ingresos

Estimación de Valor Justo

Infravalorado

Valor Justo

$299.48

Precio Actual

$224.54

Margen de Seguridad

+25.0%

Rango de Valor Justo

$194.66 - $404.29

Métodos de Estimación

Analyst Target:$311.10
DCF:$379.63
PE-based:$172.30
Graham Growth:$603.86
EPV:$89.65
Consenso de Analistas:Compra Fuerte (28B / 7H / 1S)
Última Sorpresa de Resultados:+1.61%

Métricas de Valoración

Ratio P/E

21.27

ROE

20.1%

Ratio P/B

5.14

P/FCF

20.72

Margen Bruto

55.0%

ROIC

12.9%

Radar de Rentabilidad

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

12.9%

WACC

12.3%

ROIC − WACC

+0.5 pp

ROIC is roughly in line with the cost of capital — the company is barely covering its capital cost.

Criterios de Análisis Fundamental

Superado (21)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 8.69%
  • ROIC 12.9%
  • Gross Margin 55.0%
  • P/FCF 20.72
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 30.4%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 28.1%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 7.3%
  • Analyst Consensus 78% Buy
  • PEG Ratio 0.17
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.15
  • Share Dilution -1.5%
  • Net Margin Trend 21.0% vs 19.2%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

Fallido (5)

  • P/B Ratio 5.14
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg 0.3%

No disponible (1)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%

Piotroski F-Score

5/9

Señales mixtas: algunas áreas requieren atención

score
criteria

Calidad de los Beneficios

1.15

Alta calidad: beneficios respaldados por efectivo

Dilución de Acciones

-1.5%

Recomprando acciones. Favorable para el accionista

Gobernanza

Equipo Directivo

NombreCargoEdad
Mr. Rafael SotomayorCEO, President & Executive Director56
Mr. William J. BetzExecutive VP & CFO48
Mr. Andrew J. MicallefExecutive VP & Chief Operations and Manufacturing Officer60
Mr. Christopher L. JensenExecutive VP & Chief Human Resources Officer56
Ms. Jennifer B. WuamettExecutive VP & Chief Sustainability Officer60
Mr. Lars Reger M.B.A.Executive VP & CTO55
Mr. Michael C. LucarelliSenior Vice President of Investor Relations-
Mr. Michael HoffmannSenior VP, Chief Commercial Counsel & General Counsel-
Mr. Andrew HardyExecutive VP & Chief Sales Officer48
Mr. Jeff PalmerAdvisor-

Riesgo de Auditoría

2

Riesgo del Consejo

2

Riesgo de Compensación

2

Riesgo de Derechos del Accionista

4

Parte 2 · El precio y el momento de entrar

Esta parte no sirve para saber si la empresa vale: sirve para elegir cuándo comprarla, una vez que los fundamentales te han convencido. Dentro: análisis técnico, potencial, caídas históricas, exposición gamma.

Latest News

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