Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL)
POSITIVEFundamental
70
Precio
$198.50
Capitalización Bursátil
$41.90B
Parte 1 · Cuánto vale la empresa
Resumen
Old Dominion Freight Line moves freight that is too small to fill a full truck — a few pallets or boxes rather than an entire trailer — picking up shipments from many customers, sorting them at regional service centers, and combining them onto trucks headed the same direction. It operates this less-than-truckload, or LTL, network itself across the United States with its own drivers, terminals and trucks rather than through franchisees or outside carriers, and adds services like expedited and guaranteed delivery.
Cómo genera ingresos
Revenue is charged per shipment, based mainly on weight and distance, so it rises and falls with how much freight moves through the economy rather than with any subscription or long-term contract base. Because the network's fixed costs — terminals, trucks and staff — barely change with volume, profitability depends heavily on keeping trucks and terminals full: a small change in shipment density can swing operating margins by a large amount in either direction.
Ventaja competitiva
Ventaja de costes · EstrechaDecades of investment in a dense, non-union terminal network let Old Dominion run at some of the lowest costs and highest on-time delivery rates in the LTL industry, a combination that is hard for a new or smaller carrier to match quickly. That efficiency shows up in an industry-leading operating ratio, but the LTL market remains competitive on price, so the edge is durable rather than unassailable.
Qué impulsa la demanda
CíclicoLTL shipment volumes track industrial production, retail restocking and manufacturing activity closely, so freight demand slows sharply when the broader economy weakens — 2025 revenue fell as shipment volumes declined during a soft freight market. Pricing tends to be more resilient than volume, since carriers are reluctant to cut rates even when demand softens.
Riesgos clave
- Freight cycle and industrial activity — Shipment volumes fall when industrial production, retail restocking and manufacturing activity slow, as happened in 2025; revenue and profitability move directly with the broader freight cycle.
- Fixed cost operating leverage — Terminals, trucks and drivers are largely fixed costs regardless of volume, so a drop in shipments cannot easily be matched by cost cuts, and operating margins compress quickly in a downturn.
- Driver and labor availability — The business depends on recruiting and retaining enough qualified drivers and dock workers; a shortage or higher wage costs would raise expenses or limit how much freight the network can move.
- Fuel price volatility — Diesel is a major operating cost; while fuel surcharges pass much of the cost through to customers, sharp price swings can still create timing mismatches that pressure margins.
Concentración de clientes
Los principales clientes representan el 16% de los ingresos
The customer base is highly diversified: the single largest customer represented about 4% of 2025 revenue, and the top 10 customers combined represented about 16%.
Los argumentos a favor
Buyers argue that Old Dominion's dense, non-union network gives it a durable cost and service advantage over LTL rivals, reflected in an industry-leading operating ratio, and that a highly diversified customer base with no meaningful concentration limits the damage any single account can do.
Los argumentos en contra
Sellers fear that the business is fundamentally tied to the industrial and freight cycle, that 2025's volume decline shows how quickly a soft economy erodes results, and that heavy fixed costs in terminals and trucks turn even a modest downturn in shipments into a larger hit to margins.
Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
No editorial profile for this company yet
No competitor list for this company yet.
Balance y Liquidez
Ingresos
$5.60B
Últimos 12 meses (hasta 30/6/2026)
Beneficio Neto
$1.09B
Últimos 12 meses (hasta 30/6/2026)
Flujo de Caja Libre
$955M
Patrimonio Neto Total
$4.31B
Pasivo Total
$1.16B
Ratio de Liquidez
1.89
Cobertura de Intereses
-
Deuda/EBITDA
0.01
Beneficio Por Acción
Ingresos y Beneficio Neto
Flujo de Caja Libre
Desglose de Ingresos
Estado histórico
Márgenes en el tiempo
La deuda en el tiempo
Cuánto pesa la deuda
Cuadro de crecimiento
Crecimiento — Ingresos
Estimación de Valor Justo
Valor Justo
$160.21
Precio Actual
$198.50
Margen de Seguridad
-23.9%
Rango de Valor Justo
$104.13 - $216.28
Métodos de Estimación
Métricas de Valoración
Ratio P/E
38.75
ROE
23.7%
Ratio P/B
9.19
P/FCF
37.48
Margen Bruto
-
ROIC
22.0%
Radar de Rentabilidad
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
22.0%
WACC
11.1%
ROIC − WACC
+10.9 pp
ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.
Criterios de Análisis Fundamental
Superado (18)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR 8.39%
- Price CAGR 21.86%
- ROIC 22.0%
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 25.8%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- Current Ratio
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- ROE 24.9%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 6.5%
- Earnings Surprise avg 4.9%
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.28
- Share Dilution -2.3%
- Net Margin Trend 19.4% vs 19.4%
- Piotroski F-Score 6/9
Fallido (7)
- P/FCF 37.48
- P/B Ratio 9.19
- CapEx intensity
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- Analyst Consensus 45% Buy
- PEG Ratio 3.67
No disponible (3)
- Gross Margin NaN%
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Interest Coverage
Piotroski F-Score
Señales mixtas: algunas áreas requieren atención
Calidad de los Beneficios
Alta calidad: beneficios respaldados por efectivo
Dilución de Acciones
Recomprando acciones. Favorable para el accionista
Gobernanza
Equipo Directivo
| Nombre | Cargo | Edad |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. David S. Congdon | Executive Chairman of the Board | 68 |
| Mr. Kevin M. Freeman | President, CEO & Director | 66 |
| Mr. Adam N. Satterfield CPA | Executive VP, Assistant Secretary & CFO | 50 |
| Mr. Gregory B. Plemmons | Executive VP & COO | 59 |
| Mr. Ross H. Parr | Senior VP of Legal Affairs, General Counsel & Secretary | 53 |
| Mr. Cecil E. Overbey Jr. | Senior Vice President of Strategic Development | 63 |
| Mr. Earl E. Congdon | Chairman Emeritus & Senior Advisor | 94 |
| Mr. Clayton G. Brinker | VP of Accounting & Finance and Principal Accounting Officer | 39 |
| Mr. Jack Lawrence Atkins | Director of Investor Relations | - |
| Sam Faucette | Vice President of Safety & Compliance | - |
Riesgo de Auditoría
5
Riesgo del Consejo
9
Riesgo de Compensación
2
Riesgo de Derechos del Accionista
9
Parte 2 · El precio y el momento de entrar
Esta parte no sirve para saber si la empresa vale: sirve para elegir cuándo comprarla, una vez que los fundamentales te han convencido. Dentro: análisis técnico, potencial, caídas históricas, exposición gamma.
Latest News
Recent headlines for ODFL, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 6/20/2026NEGATIVEHere's Why Old Dominion Freight Line Stock Slumped This Week
Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL) stock experienced a significant downturn this week, despite a general recovery observed in the broader freight market. The market's anticipation of this recovery appears to have already been factored into sector stock valuations, leaving little room for further upside. Investors are likely reassessing the stock's premium in light of this 'priced-in' recovery, leading to the price slump. This suggests that while the industry fundamentals are improving, ODFL may have been overvalued based on future expectations.
via Markets Gazette