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OGE Energy Corp. (OGE)

NEUTRAL
UtilitiesUtilities - Regulated ElectricUnited States

Fundamental

53

Precio

$46.05

Capitalización Bursátil

$9.43B

Parte 1 · Cuánto vale la empresa

Resumen

OGE Energy is a holding company whose main asset is OG&E, the largest electric utility in Oklahoma. OG&E generates, transmits, distributes and sells electricity to about 913,000 retail customers across a 30,000-square-mile service area covering Oklahoma City and Fort Smith, Arkansas. It owns coal, natural-gas, wind and solar generation and operates as a regulated monopoly: state and federal commissions set the rates it can charge in exchange for an obligation to serve every customer in its territory.

Cómo genera ingresos

OG&E earns a regulated return on the capital it invests in power plants, wires and grid infrastructure, set by the Oklahoma and Arkansas commissions and the FERC. It collects revenue by billing customers for electricity used, plus a separate fuel-adjustment clause that passes coal and natural-gas costs through to customers without markup. Growth comes mainly from adding new customer load and from rate increases approved after the company files for a general rate review.

Ventaja competitiva

Escala · Estrecha

OG&E holds an exclusive franchise to serve retail electricity customers across its territory, and no competitor can build a rival grid there. That exclusivity is granted and limited by regulators, who cap the return OG&E earns on its investments, so the advantage shows up as a stable, low-risk business rather than outsized profit.

Qué impulsa la demanda

Defensivo

Electricity is a necessity with limited substitutes, so OG&E's demand is far steadier than the broader economy — the risk framework the company describes is regulatory and weather-driven rather than tied to the business cycle. Demand does peak seasonally with summer air-conditioning load, and the company notes rising interest from data-center and cryptocurrency-mining customers as a new source of growth.

Riesgos clave

  • Regulatory cost-recovery risk — OG&E's profitability depends on regulators approving rate increases that let it recover its costs and cost of capital. The company states that a denial or delay of rate relief, or a future disallowance, could adversely affect its results.
  • Weather-driven demand and outage costs — Demand peaks with summer heat and results fluctuate seasonally; the company also warns that severe weather — tornadoes, ice storms, wildfires and droughts — can cause outages and restoration costs it may not fully recover through rates.
  • Dependence on coal and natural-gas suppliers — OG&E relies on suppliers and transporters to deliver coal and natural gas under contract, and states there is no assurance these counterparties will fulfill their obligations; disruption could force it to buy replacement power at higher cost.
  • Holding-company structure limits OGE Energy's access to cash — OGE Energy's only substantial asset is OG&E; its ability to pay dividends and service debt depends on dividends OG&E sends up, which state regulators can restrict, and OG&E's creditors are paid before OGE Energy's.
  • Concentration risk from large new customers — OG&E notes rising demand from data centers and cryptocurrency-mining operations, which could come to represent a significant share of revenue; nonpayment or reduced demand from such large loads would expose the company to counterparty credit risk.

Los argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that OG&E's exclusive franchise and essential service produce steady, regulator-approved returns, that its 92%-Oklahoma rate base benefits from a historically constructive regulatory relationship, and that new large loads from data centers and crypto mining could accelerate rate-base growth for years.

Los argumentos en contra

Sellers fear that returns are capped by regulators who can deny or delay rate increases, that the shift to renewables and battery storage requires heavy capital spending with no guarantee of full recovery, and that a large new customer failing to materialize or pay could leave OG&E with stranded investment.

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

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Balance y Liquidez

Ingresos

$3.19B

Últimos 12 meses (hasta 31/3/2026)

Beneficio Neto

$458M

Últimos 12 meses (hasta 31/3/2026)

Flujo de Caja Libre

$83M

Patrimonio Neto Total

$4.98B

Pasivo Total

$9.39B

Ratio de Liquidez

0.66

Cobertura de Intereses

2.96

Deuda/EBITDA

4.31

Beneficio Por Acción

Ingresos y Beneficio Neto

Flujo de Caja Libre

Desglose de Ingresos

Estado histórico

Márgenes en el tiempo

La deuda en el tiempo

Cuánto pesa la deuda

Cuadro de crecimiento

Crecimiento — Ingresos

Estimación de Valor Justo

Infravalorado

Valor Justo

$89.80

Precio Actual

$46.05

Margen de Seguridad

+48.7%

Rango de Valor Justo

$58.37 - $121.23

Métodos de Estimación

Analyst Target:$50.45
DCF:$224.52
PE-based:$42.63
Graham Growth:$37.12
EPV:$37.27
Consenso de Analistas:Comprar (7B / 11H / 0S)
Última Sorpresa de Resultados:+0.00%

Métricas de Valoración

Ratio P/E

20.43

ROE

9.5%

Ratio P/B

1.92

P/FCF

42.16

Margen Bruto

60.1%

ROIC

4.7%

Radar de Rentabilidad

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

4.7%

WACC

6.4%

ROIC − WACC

-1.7 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

Criterios de Análisis Fundamental

Superado (14)

  • Gross Margin 60.1%
  • P/B Ratio 1.92
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 24.5%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 9.5%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 9.0%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.83
  • Share Dilution 0.6%
  • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

Fallido (12)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR -0.42%
  • Price CAGR 3.15%
  • ROIC 4.6%
  • P/FCF 42.16
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Analyst Consensus 39% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg -0.3%
  • Net Margin Trend 14.4% vs 15.8%

No disponible (2)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-Score

8/9

Solidez financiera fuerte

score
criteria

Calidad de los Beneficios

2.83

Alta calidad: beneficios respaldados por efectivo

Dilución de Acciones

0.6%

El número de acciones es estable

Gobernanza

Equipo Directivo

NombreCargoEdad
Mr. Robert Sean TrauschkeChairman, President & CEO58
Mr. Charles B. Walworth CPAChief Financial Officer50
Mr. William H. Sultemeier J.D.General Counsel, Corporate Secretary & Chief Compliance Officer57
Mr. Donnie O. JonesSenior Vice President of Utility Operations of OG&E58
Mr. David A. ParkerChief Information Officer of OG&E48
Ms. Sarah R. StaffordChief Accounting Officer & Controller43
Mr. Jason BaileyTreasurer & Director of Investor Relations-
Mr. John Paul LawsChief Commercial Officer50
Cassandra StrangeInvestor Relations Manager-
Ms. Christine Ostendorf WoodworthVice President of Marketing & Communications - OG&E Company54

Riesgo de Auditoría

6

Riesgo del Consejo

5

Riesgo de Compensación

2

Riesgo de Derechos del Accionista

3

Parte 2 · El precio y el momento de entrar

Esta parte no sirve para saber si la empresa vale: sirve para elegir cuándo comprarla, una vez que los fundamentales te han convencido. Dentro: análisis técnico, potencial, caídas históricas, exposición gamma.

Latest News

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