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Paychex, Inc. (PAYX)

NEUTRAL
TechnologySoftware - ApplicationUnited States

Fundamental

65

Precio

$125.31

Capitalización Bursátil

$44.27B

Parte 1 · Cuánto vale la empresa

Resumen

Paychex runs payroll and handles human resources administration for small and mid-sized businesses in the United States, calculating pay, filing payroll taxes and managing benefits enrolment so a business owner does not have to. Alongside that core service it sells a professional employer organisation (PEO) offering, where Paychex becomes the legal co-employer of a client's staff, taking on compliance and offering access to larger-scale health and workers' compensation insurance plans.

Cómo genera ingresos

Most revenue is recurring fees charged per employee per pay period for payroll processing and related HR services, so revenue grows both from adding new clients and from clients adding employees. The PEO business earns a fee built into the insurance premiums it administers, and the company also earns interest on client funds it holds briefly between collecting payroll taxes from a business and remitting them to tax authorities, so its results have some sensitivity to interest rates.

Ingresos por segmento

Management Solutions75.18%

Core payroll processing, tax filing, HR administration and related software services sold to small and mid-sized businesses.

PEO and Insurance Solutions24.82%

Professional employer organisation services, where Paychex co-employs a client's staff, plus workers' compensation and related insurance offerings.

Ventaja competitiva

Costes de cambio · Estrecha

Payroll touches tax filings, benefits and compliance obligations that a small business owner does not want to risk getting wrong, so once a client is set up on Paychex, moving to a competitor is a real, disruptive project rather than a casual switch. The moat is narrow rather than wide because ADP, Gusto, Rippling and other well-capitalised rivals compete hard for new clients, especially smaller ones with simpler needs.

Qué impulsa la demanda

Moderadamente cíclico

Existing clients keep paying recurring fees regardless of the economic cycle as long as they stay in business and keep employees on payroll, which makes the base revenue fairly resilient. New client growth and total employee counts at existing clients do track the broader economy, however, since a slowdown that reduces small-business formation or hiring shows up directly in Paychex's growth rate.

Riesgos clave

  • Competition from established and newer HCM providers — ADP, Gusto, Rippling and other human capital management platforms compete aggressively for small and mid-sized business clients, pressuring pricing and making client retention harder to take for granted.
  • Integration of the Paycor acquisition — Paychex closed its acquisition of Paycor during fiscal 2025; combining systems, products and client bases from a large deal carries execution risk and could distract from running the core business.
  • Sensitivity of float income to interest rates — Interest earned on client funds held briefly before remittance is a real part of profitability; a period of falling interest rates would reduce this income without any change in the underlying payroll business.
  • Cybersecurity and data protection — Paychex holds sensitive payroll, tax and personal data for millions of employees at its client companies; a data breach would damage trust in a business built on handling that information correctly.
  • Regulatory and tax law changes — Payroll processing must keep pace with changing federal, state and local tax and employment rules; errors or delays in adapting to new requirements create compliance risk for both Paychex and its clients.

Los argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that payroll is a service clients rarely switch once set up, that the Paycor acquisition adds scale and a stronger position with larger small-business clients, and that combined Management Solutions and PEO revenue growth shows the business keeps taking share even against well-funded competitors.

Los argumentos en contra

Sellers worry that newer, cloud-native HCM platforms are winning smaller and younger businesses away from incumbents like Paychex, that integrating Paycor could prove more disruptive than expected, and that float income built into recent results would fade if interest rates fall meaningfully.

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance y Liquidez

Ingresos

$6.30B

Últimos 12 meses (hasta 31/5/2026)

Beneficio Neto

$1.76B

Últimos 12 meses (hasta 31/5/2026)

Flujo de Caja Libre

$2.32B

Patrimonio Neto Total

$3.74B

Pasivo Total

$12.44B

Ratio de Liquidez

1.26

Cobertura de Intereses

9.32

Deuda/EBITDA

1.57

Beneficio Por Acción

Ingresos y Beneficio Neto

Flujo de Caja Libre

Desglose de Ingresos

Estado histórico

Márgenes en el tiempo

La deuda en el tiempo

Cuánto pesa la deuda

Cuadro de crecimiento

Crecimiento — Ingresos

Estimación de Valor Justo

Valoración Justa

Valor Justo

$114.91

Precio Actual

$125.31

Margen de Seguridad

-9.1%

Rango de Valor Justo

$87.00 - $142.81

Métodos de Estimación

Analyst Target:$111.00
DCF:$155.96
PE-based:$94.28
Graham Growth:$122.99
EPV:$61.18
Consenso de Analistas:Mantener (2B / 15H / 7S)
Última Sorpresa de Resultados:-0.76%

Métricas de Valoración

Ratio P/E

25.77

ROE

47.1%

Ratio P/B

12.00

P/FCF

19.30

Margen Bruto

73.4%

ROIC

21.3%

Radar de Rentabilidad

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

21.3%

WACC

8.6%

ROIC − WACC

+12.6 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

Criterios de Análisis Fundamental

Superado (19)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 6.55%
  • Price CAGR 7.42%
  • ROIC 21.2%
  • Gross Margin 73.4%
  • P/FCF 19.30
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 39.8%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 45.1%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 9.9%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.45
  • Share Dilution -0.5%
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

Fallido (8)

  • P/B Ratio 12.00
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Analyst Consensus 8% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg -0.2%
  • PEG Ratio 2.42
  • Net Margin Trend 27.9% vs 30.6%

No disponible (1)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%

Piotroski F-Score

7/9

Solidez financiera fuerte

score
criteria

Calidad de los Beneficios

1.45

Alta calidad: beneficios respaldados por efectivo

Dilución de Acciones

-0.5%

Recomprando acciones. Favorable para el accionista

Gobernanza

Equipo Directivo

NombreCargoEdad
Mr. John B. Gibson Jr.President, CEO & Director58
Mr. Robert Lewis SchraderSenior VP & CFO52
Mr. Adam Brooks AnteSenior Vice President of HCM44
Ms. Elizabeth RoaldsenSenior Vice President of Operations & Customer Experience53
Mr. Ryan Norman BergstromChief Product & Technology Officer46
Ms. Prabha Sipi BhandariSenior VP, Chief Legal Officer, Chief Ethics Officer & Secretary54

Riesgo de Auditoría

1

Riesgo del Consejo

6

Riesgo de Compensación

5

Riesgo de Derechos del Accionista

2

Parte 2 · El precio y el momento de entrar

Esta parte no sirve para saber si la empresa vale: sirve para elegir cuándo comprarla, una vez que los fundamentales te han convencido. Dentro: análisis técnico, potencial, caídas históricas, exposición gamma.

Latest News

Recent headlines for PAYX, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 3/25/2026NEUTRAL
    Paychex Gears Up For Q3 Print; Here Are The Recent Forecast Changes From Wall Street's Most Accurate Analysts

    Paychex Inc. (NASDAQ: PAYX) is scheduled to report its third-quarter earnings on March 25th. Wall Street analysts are forecasting earnings per share of $1.67 and revenue of $1.78 billion. Ahead of the print, the stock experienced a 3.1% decline, closing at $90.61 on Tuesday. The upcoming earnings report will be crucial for investors to assess the company's performance against these expectations and gauge future growth prospects.

  • 2/21/2026NEUTRAL
    Paychex: A Strong Contender in the Payroll Processing Arena

    The article dissects Paychex's business model and financial health, a leader in payroll processing. It questions whether the stock is a good investment, suggesting a fundamental analysis rather than a news with immediate market impact.

via Markets Gazette