The Boston Beer Company, Inc. (SAM)
NEUTRALFundamental
49
Precio
$187.64
Capitalización Bursátil
$1.94B
Parte 1 · Cuánto vale la empresa
Resumen
Boston Beer makes and sells alcohol beverages under a portfolio of brands built around flavor rather than one core beer style: Twisted Tea, Truly Hard Seltzer, Samuel Adams, Angry Orchard, Dogfish Head and newer entries like Sun Cruiser. It brews some of its own volume at four company-owned breweries and contracts the rest out to third parties. Sales go almost entirely through independent beer wholesalers, who then sell into bars, restaurants and retailers across the United States and a handful of export markets.
Cómo genera ingresos
Revenue comes from selling finished cans, bottles and kegs to distributors, who resell to retailers and bars; Boston Beer books the sale on shipment, not on what the end consumer eventually buys. Because volume has been shrinking across most brands, growth now depends on premium pricing and shifting the mix toward faster-growing lines like Sun Cruiser and Twisted Tea Extreme rather than on selling more total gallons. Contract-brewing shortfall fees can eat into margin when actual volume misses committed minimums.
Ventaja competitiva
Marca · EstrechaTwisted Tea has been the largest-selling flavored malt beverage brand in the U.S. since 2022, and Boston Beer ranks as the second-largest supplier in the 'Beyond Beer' category with about 20% share. Those positions took decades and heavy marketing spend to build, but the moat is narrow: rivals with far deeper pockets, from AB InBev to Coca-Cola-backed brands, compete hard for the same shelf space.
Qué impulsa la demanda
Moderadamente cíclicoDemand tracks discretionary consumer spending on alcohol more than the broader economy — sales hold up reasonably well in downturns but face growing pressure from a structural shift toward moderation and non-alcoholic alternatives among younger drinkers. The U.S. beer market overall declined about 4% by volume in 2025, a headwind that predates any recession.
Riesgos clave
- Substantial competition — The company competes against much larger brewers such as AB InBev and Molson Coors, growing imported beer brands, and non-alcoholic giants like Coca-Cola and PepsiCo that have entered the alcohol category through licensing deals, all fighting for the same shelf and tap space.
- Changing consumer attitudes — The company states that younger generations are embracing moderation or abstinence, that U.S. beer volumes fell about 4% in 2025, and that further declines in alcohol consumption could materially hurt results.
- Dependence on distributors — About 94% of Boston Beer's U.S. volume is sold through independent distributors it does not control, and changes in ownership or support within that network could weaken sales without a direct fix available to the company.
- Contract-production shortfall fees — The company has committed to minimum annual volumes with third-party producers such as City Brewing and expects to fall short of those commitments, incurring shortfall fees of about $19 million in future years on top of $21.4 million already recorded in 2025.
Concentración de clientes
Los principales clientes representan el 7% de los ingresos
No single distributor is disclosed as a concentration risk: the largest individual distributor accounted for about 3% of gross sales in 2025, and the top three together for about 7%, reflecting a network of over 300 wholesalers.
Los argumentos a favor
Buyers argue that Boston Beer's move toward higher-margin innovations like Sun Cruiser and Twisted Tea Extreme, combined with supply-chain efficiency gains that have cut inventory write-offs since 2023, position the company to grow earnings even as overall beer volumes shrink.
Los argumentos en contra
Sellers fear that a structural decline in U.S. alcohol consumption among younger drinkers will keep pressuring volumes across nearly every brand in the portfolio, and that shortfall fees on contract-production commitments will keep weighing on margins as demand undershoots the levels the company planned for.
Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
No editorial profile for this company yet
No competitor list for this company yet.
Balance y Liquidez
Ingresos
$1.93B
Últimos 12 meses (hasta 27/6/2026)
Beneficio Neto
$-70M
Últimos 12 meses (hasta 27/6/2026)
Flujo de Caja Libre
$216M
Patrimonio Neto Total
$846M
Pasivo Total
$347M
Ratio de Liquidez
1.05
Cobertura de Intereses
-
Deuda/EBITDA
0.13
Beneficio Por Acción
Ingresos y Beneficio Neto
Flujo de Caja Libre
Desglose de Ingresos
Estado histórico
Márgenes en el tiempo
La deuda en el tiempo
Cuánto pesa la deuda
Cuadro de crecimiento
Crecimiento — Ingresos
Estimación de Valor Justo
Valor Justo
$199.85
Precio Actual
$187.64
Margen de Seguridad
+6.1%
Rango de Valor Justo
$189.85 - $209.84
Métodos de Estimación
Métricas de Valoración
Ratio P/E
19.08
ROE
12.8%
Ratio P/B
2.21
P/FCF
7.67
Margen Bruto
48.9%
ROIC
-9.4%
Radar de Rentabilidad
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
-9.4%
WACC
8.9%
ROIC − WACC
-18.4 pp
ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.
Criterios de Análisis Fundamental
Superado (11)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR 9.94%
- Gross Margin 48.9%
- P/FCF 7.67
- P/B Ratio 2.21
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- Current Ratio
- Debt/EBITDA
- Share Dilution -7.0%
- Piotroski F-Score 7/9
Fallido (12)
- Price CAGR 0.91%
- ROIC -9.4%
- Operating Margin -4.7%
- CapEx intensity
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- DCF valuation (Unknown)
- ROE -8.9%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 2.5%
- Analyst Consensus 4% Buy
- Earnings Surprise avg 0.3%
- Net Margin Trend -3.6% vs 3.9%
No disponible (5)
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Interest Coverage
- Price below Graham Number
- PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
- Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)
Piotroski F-Score
Solidez financiera fuerte
Calidad de los Beneficios
Baja calidad: investigue la contabilidad
Dilución de Acciones
Recomprando acciones. Favorable para el accionista
Gobernanza
Equipo Directivo
| Nombre | Cargo | Edad |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. C. James Koch J.D. | Founder, Chairman, President & CEO | 75 |
| Mr. Diego Reynoso | CFO & Treasurer | 49 |
| Mr. Philip A. Hodges | Chief Operating Officer | 59 |
| Ms. Tara L. Heath | Chief Legal Officer & General Counsel | 50 |
| Mr. Michael R. Crowley | Chief Sales Officer | 55 |
| Mr. Samuel A. Calagione III | Founder, Brewer of Dogfish Head & Director | 55 |
| Mr. Matthew Donal Murphy | Chief Accounting Officer & VP of Finance | 56 |
| Ms. Laura J. Boynton | Chief People Officer | 49 |
| Ms. Lesya Lysyj | Advisor | 62 |
| Mr. Paul Weaver | Director & Head of Cannabis | - |
Riesgo de Auditoría
8
Riesgo del Consejo
9
Riesgo de Compensación
10
Riesgo de Derechos del Accionista
10
Parte 2 · El precio y el momento de entrar
Esta parte no sirve para saber si la empresa vale: sirve para elegir cuándo comprarla, una vez que los fundamentales te han convencido. Dentro: análisis técnico, potencial, caídas históricas, exposición gamma.
Latest News
Recent headlines for SAM, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 2/24/2026NEUTRALBoston Beer Co Earnings Review: Q4 Summary
Boston Beer Co has announced its Q4 earnings review, but the specific details of the report have not been made available at this time. Without key data such as revenues, earnings per share, or future guidance, investors are unable to fully assess the company's performance or its potential impact on the stock price. The market awaits more comprehensive information to form an informed judgment on the financial health and growth prospects of the craft beer and alcoholic beverage producer, leaving the stock in a state of uncertainty.
via Markets Gazette