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SAP SE (SAPGF)

NEUTRAL
TechnologySoftware - ApplicationGermany

Fundamental

63

Precio

$185.64

Capitalización Bursátil

$215.70B

Parte 1 · Cuánto vale la empresa

Resumen

SAP makes the software many large companies run their core operations on — accounting, supply chain, manufacturing and human resources — bundled into a system called ERP (enterprise resource planning). Once a company builds its finance and operations processes around SAP's system, that software becomes the record of how the business runs, which is why customers rarely switch providers. SAP is shifting its customers from software installed on their own servers to cloud subscriptions it hosts and updates itself.

Cómo genera ingresos

Cloud subscriptions are billed recurring, usually annual, fees tied to usage or number of users, and now make up the majority of what SAP calls cloud and software revenue; older on-premise licenses are sold once and then generate smaller annual maintenance fees, a mix that is shrinking as customers migrate. Services revenue, a smaller and less profitable slice, comes from consultants helping customers implement and migrate these systems, typically billed by the project or by time.

Ingresos por segmento

Cloud and Software88.4%

Cloud subscription revenue, now SAP's largest line, plus remaining on-premise software licenses and their maintenance fees.

Services11.6%

Consulting, implementation and training services that help customers deploy and migrate SAP software, billed separately from the software itself.

Ventaja competitiva

Costes de cambio · Amplia

SAP's software becomes deeply embedded in how a large company records its finances and runs its operations, with years of customization, staff training and connections to other internal systems built on top of it. Independent studies have found that switching ERP providers typically costs several times the original software price and takes over a year, which is why SAP keeps the large majority of its enterprise customers even when rivals offer comparable features.

Qué impulsa la demanda

Moderadamente cíclico

Recurring cloud subscriptions make revenue more predictable than a typical software license business, since customers rarely cancel core ERP systems even when budgets tighten. Still, corporate IT spending does slow in downturns, and the pace at which customers commit to new cloud migrations can stretch out when their own businesses are under pressure.

Riesgos clave

  • Intense competition in enterprise software — The company faces sustained competition from large rivals such as Oracle and Salesforce, who are also embedding AI features into cloud applications, which pressures pricing and can slow customer wins.
  • Cloud migration execution risk — Moving large customers from on-premise systems to the cloud involves remediating custom code, cleaning data and securing internal support within the customer's organization, and on-premise license revenue is declining meaningfully as this transition proceeds.
  • Data, antitrust and regulatory exposure — The company is subject to data-access and antitrust-related claims, including allegations of lock-in effects, as well as dependence on third-party cloud infrastructure and web services it does not fully control.

Los argumentos a favor

Buyers see a company that has successfully shifted the majority of its revenue to recurring cloud subscriptions, still holds the deepest customer lock-in in enterprise software, and can raise prices on a captive base of hundreds of thousands of customers as it layers AI features onto the same ERP backbone.

Los argumentos en contra

Sellers worry that the on-premise license decline is eroding a historically high-margin revenue stream faster than cloud subscriptions can fully replace it, that cloud backlog growth is expected to moderate as the business scales, and that well-funded rivals embedding their own AI agents could chip away at renewal pricing over time.

Datos por segmento del ejercicio fiscal 2025Fuentes: SAP Announces Q4 and FY 2025 ResultsSAP SE — Annual Report on Form 20-F 2025

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance y Liquidez

Ingresos

$38.19B

Últimos 12 meses (hasta 30/6/2026)

Beneficio Neto

$7.80B

Últimos 12 meses (hasta 30/6/2026)

Flujo de Caja Libre

$9.09B

Patrimonio Neto Total

$44.74B

Pasivo Total

$9.94B

Ratio de Liquidez

1.15

Cobertura de Intereses

-

Deuda/EBITDA

0.85

Beneficio Por Acción

Ingresos y Beneficio Neto

Flujo de Caja Libre

Desglose de Ingresos

Estado histórico

Márgenes en el tiempo

La deuda en el tiempo

Cuánto pesa la deuda

Cuadro de crecimiento

Crecimiento — Ingresos

Estimación de Valor Justo

Sobrevalorado

Valor Justo

$146.32

Precio Actual

$185.64

Margen de Seguridad

-26.9%

Rango de Valor Justo

$101.17 - $191.46

Métodos de Estimación

Analyst Target:$205.77
DCF:$130.06
PE-based:$114.54
Graham Growth:$131.91
EPV:$67.02
Consenso de Analistas:Comprar (30B / 7H / 2S)
Última Sorpresa de Resultados:-11.11%

Métricas de Valoración

Ratio P/E

27.98

ROE

18.3%

Ratio P/B

4.82

P/FCF

23.73

Margen Bruto

73.7%

ROIC

15.2%

Radar de Rentabilidad

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

15.2%

WACC

9.9%

ROIC − WACC

+5.3 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

Criterios de Análisis Fundamental

Superado (14)

  • Price CAGR 8.32%
  • ROIC 15.2%
  • Gross Margin 73.7%
  • P/FCF 23.73
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • ROE 17.6%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 6.1%
  • Analyst Consensus 77% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.26
  • Net Margin Trend 20.4% vs 9.1%

Fallido (5)

  • P/B Ratio 4.82
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg -0.8%
  • PEG Ratio 3.78
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

No disponible (8)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Operating Margin NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-Score

2/9

Preocupaciones financieras graves

score
criteria

Calidad de los Beneficios

1.26

Alta calidad: beneficios respaldados por efectivo

Dilución de Acciones

-

Recomprando acciones. Favorable para el accionista

Gobernanza

Equipo Directivo

NombreCargoEdad
Mr. Christian KleinCEO & Member of Executive Board45
Mr. Lars LamadeHead of Global Sponsorships & Deputy Chairperson of the Supervisory Board54
Mr. Dominik AsamCFO & Member of Executive Board56
Mr. Thomas SaueressigMember of Executive Board40
Mr. Sebastian SteinhaeuserChief Strategy Officer & COO and Member of Executive Board39
Ms. Gina Vargiu-BreuerChief People Officer, Labor Director & Member of Executive Board49
Mr. Muhammad AlamLead Product Engineering & Member of Executive Board47
Mr. Andreas HahnChairperson of Works Council Europe & Works Council Europe Rep Member of Supervisory Board54
Jakub CernyDemand Manager & Works Council Europe Representative Member of Supervisory Board43
Mr. Pascal DematSolution Advisor HCM & Works Council Europe Representative Member of Supervisory Board58

Riesgo de Auditoría

10

Riesgo del Consejo

2

Riesgo de Compensación

1

Riesgo de Derechos del Accionista

1

Parte 2 · El precio y el momento de entrar

Esta parte no sirve para saber si la empresa vale: sirve para elegir cuándo comprarla, una vez que los fundamentales te han convencido. Dentro: análisis técnico, potencial, caídas históricas, exposición gamma.

Latest News

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