SAP SE (SAPGF)
NEUTRALFundamental
63
Precio
$185.64
Capitalización Bursátil
$215.70B
Parte 1 · Cuánto vale la empresa
Resumen
SAP makes the software many large companies run their core operations on — accounting, supply chain, manufacturing and human resources — bundled into a system called ERP (enterprise resource planning). Once a company builds its finance and operations processes around SAP's system, that software becomes the record of how the business runs, which is why customers rarely switch providers. SAP is shifting its customers from software installed on their own servers to cloud subscriptions it hosts and updates itself.
Cómo genera ingresos
Cloud subscriptions are billed recurring, usually annual, fees tied to usage or number of users, and now make up the majority of what SAP calls cloud and software revenue; older on-premise licenses are sold once and then generate smaller annual maintenance fees, a mix that is shrinking as customers migrate. Services revenue, a smaller and less profitable slice, comes from consultants helping customers implement and migrate these systems, typically billed by the project or by time.
Ingresos por segmento
Cloud subscription revenue, now SAP's largest line, plus remaining on-premise software licenses and their maintenance fees.
Consulting, implementation and training services that help customers deploy and migrate SAP software, billed separately from the software itself.
Ventaja competitiva
Costes de cambio · AmpliaSAP's software becomes deeply embedded in how a large company records its finances and runs its operations, with years of customization, staff training and connections to other internal systems built on top of it. Independent studies have found that switching ERP providers typically costs several times the original software price and takes over a year, which is why SAP keeps the large majority of its enterprise customers even when rivals offer comparable features.
Qué impulsa la demanda
Moderadamente cíclicoRecurring cloud subscriptions make revenue more predictable than a typical software license business, since customers rarely cancel core ERP systems even when budgets tighten. Still, corporate IT spending does slow in downturns, and the pace at which customers commit to new cloud migrations can stretch out when their own businesses are under pressure.
Riesgos clave
- Intense competition in enterprise software — The company faces sustained competition from large rivals such as Oracle and Salesforce, who are also embedding AI features into cloud applications, which pressures pricing and can slow customer wins.
- Cloud migration execution risk — Moving large customers from on-premise systems to the cloud involves remediating custom code, cleaning data and securing internal support within the customer's organization, and on-premise license revenue is declining meaningfully as this transition proceeds.
- Data, antitrust and regulatory exposure — The company is subject to data-access and antitrust-related claims, including allegations of lock-in effects, as well as dependence on third-party cloud infrastructure and web services it does not fully control.
Los argumentos a favor
Buyers see a company that has successfully shifted the majority of its revenue to recurring cloud subscriptions, still holds the deepest customer lock-in in enterprise software, and can raise prices on a captive base of hundreds of thousands of customers as it layers AI features onto the same ERP backbone.
Los argumentos en contra
Sellers worry that the on-premise license decline is eroding a historically high-margin revenue stream faster than cloud subscriptions can fully replace it, that cloud backlog growth is expected to moderate as the business scales, and that well-funded rivals embedding their own AI agents could chip away at renewal pricing over time.
Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
No editorial profile for this company yet
No competitor list for this company yet.
Balance y Liquidez
Ingresos
$38.19B
Últimos 12 meses (hasta 30/6/2026)
Beneficio Neto
$7.80B
Últimos 12 meses (hasta 30/6/2026)
Flujo de Caja Libre
$9.09B
Patrimonio Neto Total
$44.74B
Pasivo Total
$9.94B
Ratio de Liquidez
1.15
Cobertura de Intereses
-
Deuda/EBITDA
0.85
Beneficio Por Acción
Ingresos y Beneficio Neto
Flujo de Caja Libre
Desglose de Ingresos
Estado histórico
Márgenes en el tiempo
La deuda en el tiempo
Cuánto pesa la deuda
Cuadro de crecimiento
Crecimiento — Ingresos
Estimación de Valor Justo
Valor Justo
$146.32
Precio Actual
$185.64
Margen de Seguridad
-26.9%
Rango de Valor Justo
$101.17 - $191.46
Métodos de Estimación
Métricas de Valoración
Ratio P/E
27.98
ROE
18.3%
Ratio P/B
4.82
P/FCF
23.73
Margen Bruto
73.7%
ROIC
15.2%
Radar de Rentabilidad
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
15.2%
WACC
9.9%
ROIC − WACC
+5.3 pp
ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.
Criterios de Análisis Fundamental
Superado (14)
- Price CAGR 8.32%
- ROIC 15.2%
- Gross Margin 73.7%
- P/FCF 23.73
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- CapEx intensity
- Current Ratio
- Debt/EBITDA
- ROE 17.6%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 6.1%
- Analyst Consensus 77% Buy
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.26
- Net Margin Trend 20.4% vs 9.1%
Fallido (5)
- P/B Ratio 4.82
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- Earnings Surprise avg -0.8%
- PEG Ratio 3.78
- Piotroski F-Score 2/9
No disponible (8)
- EPS data insufficient
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Operating Margin NaN%
- Interest Coverage
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- Share Dilution (missing shares data)
Piotroski F-Score
Preocupaciones financieras graves
Calidad de los Beneficios
Alta calidad: beneficios respaldados por efectivo
Dilución de Acciones
Recomprando acciones. Favorable para el accionista
Gobernanza
Equipo Directivo
| Nombre | Cargo | Edad |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Christian Klein | CEO & Member of Executive Board | 45 |
| Mr. Lars Lamade | Head of Global Sponsorships & Deputy Chairperson of the Supervisory Board | 54 |
| Mr. Dominik Asam | CFO & Member of Executive Board | 56 |
| Mr. Thomas Saueressig | Member of Executive Board | 40 |
| Mr. Sebastian Steinhaeuser | Chief Strategy Officer & COO and Member of Executive Board | 39 |
| Ms. Gina Vargiu-Breuer | Chief People Officer, Labor Director & Member of Executive Board | 49 |
| Mr. Muhammad Alam | Lead Product Engineering & Member of Executive Board | 47 |
| Mr. Andreas Hahn | Chairperson of Works Council Europe & Works Council Europe Rep Member of Supervisory Board | 54 |
| Jakub Cerny | Demand Manager & Works Council Europe Representative Member of Supervisory Board | 43 |
| Mr. Pascal Demat | Solution Advisor HCM & Works Council Europe Representative Member of Supervisory Board | 58 |
Riesgo de Auditoría
10
Riesgo del Consejo
2
Riesgo de Compensación
1
Riesgo de Derechos del Accionista
1
Parte 2 · El precio y el momento de entrar
Esta parte no sirve para saber si la empresa vale: sirve para elegir cuándo comprarla, una vez que los fundamentales te han convencido. Dentro: análisis técnico, potencial, caídas históricas, exposición gamma.
Latest News
Recent headlines for SAPGF, sourced from Markets Gazette.