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SJM Holdings Limited (SJMHF)

NEUTRAL
Consumer CyclicalResorts & CasinosHong Kong

Fundamental

35

Precio

$1.45

Capitalización Bursátil

$10.55B

Parte 1 · Cuánto vale la empresa

Resumen

SJM Holdings operates casinos in Macau, the only place in China where casino gambling is legal, under one of just six gaming concessions the Macau government grants. Its flagship is the Grand Lisboa complex, alongside other self-run properties and, until their phased closure through 2025, a network of independently owned "satellite" casinos that operated under SJM's license in exchange for a share of revenue. Beyond gaming, it also runs hotels, restaurants and retail space attached to its casino properties.

Cómo genera ingresos

Most revenue is gross gaming revenue — the amount players lose at the tables and slot machines, split between mass-market play and the smaller, lower-margin VIP baccarat segment — plus smaller amounts from hotel rooms, dining and retail. SJM has been shifting its mix toward mass-market and self-operated casinos and away from VIP and satellite arrangements, which historically carried a larger cut of revenue for its junket and satellite-casino partners. The company reported a net loss for 2025 as satellite-casino closures weighed on results.

Ventaja competitiva

Patentes y licencias · Estrecha

Macau limits casino gaming to six concessionaires, so SJM's license is a genuine barrier to new entrants — but that barrier is shared equally with five well-capitalized rivals, several of which operate newer, better-located resorts on the Cotai strip. SJM's own market share has been declining, down to 11.9% in 2025 from 13.1% a year earlier, suggesting the concession alone does not protect its competitive position.

Qué impulsa la demanda

Cíclico

Casino revenue follows tourism and disposable income in mainland China and the wider region, both of which swing with the broader Chinese economy and with government travel or currency-export policy toward Macau. Because fixed costs — casino floors, hotel staff, licensing fees — stay largely constant, a downturn in visitation compresses profit faster than it compresses revenue.

Los argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that SJM's decades-old Macau concession and flagship Grand Lisboa property give it a protected position in a gaming market only six companies may operate in, and that its shift toward self-operated mass-market casinos should improve margins now that lower-margin satellite arrangements are being phased out.

Los argumentos en contra

Sellers worry that SJM's market share has been shrinking against better-located rivals even as it posted a net loss in 2025, and that closing its satellite casino network removes revenue in the near term with no guarantee that self-operated growth will fully replace it.

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance y Liquidez

Ingresos

$28.17B

Últimos 12 meses hasta el último trimestre publicado — estimación a partir de métricas por acción

Beneficio Neto

$-430M

Últimos 12 meses hasta el último trimestre publicado — estimación a partir de métricas por acción

Flujo de Caja Libre

$-955M

Patrimonio Neto Total

$13.47B

Pasivo Total

$30.28B

Ratio de Liquidez

0.27

Cobertura de Intereses

-

Deuda/EBITDA

10.39

Beneficio Por Acción

Ingresos y Beneficio Neto

Flujo de Caja Libre

Desglose de Ingresos

Estado histórico

Márgenes en el tiempo

La deuda en el tiempo

Cuánto pesa la deuda

Cuadro de crecimiento

Crecimiento — Ingresos

Estimación de Valor Justo

Infravalorado

Valor Justo

$2.11

Precio Actual

$1.45

Margen de Seguridad

+31.3%

Rango de Valor Justo

$2.00 - $2.21

Métodos de Estimación

Analyst Target:$2.11
DCF:-
PE-based:-
Graham Growth:-
EPV:$1.56
Consenso de Analistas:Vender (1B / 9H / 10S)

Métricas de Valoración

Ratio P/E

-

ROE

-2.6%

Ratio P/B

0.78

P/FCF

-

Margen Bruto

56.6%

ROIC

1.6%

Radar de Rentabilidad

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

1.6%

WACC

2.5%

ROIC − WACC

-0.9 pp

ROIC is roughly in line with the cost of capital — the company is barely covering its capital cost.

Criterios de Análisis Fundamental

Superado (5)

  • Gross Margin 56.6%
  • P/B Ratio 0.78
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 30.3%
  • Earnings Surprise avg 48.9%

Fallido (11)

  • Price CAGR -12.67%
  • ROIC 1.6%
  • Operating Margin 4.8%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • ROE -3.1%
  • Analyst Consensus 5% Buy
  • Net Margin Trend -1.5% vs 0.0%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

No disponible (11)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-Score

2/9

Preocupaciones financieras graves

score
criteria

Calidad de los Beneficios

-

Baja calidad: investigue la contabilidad

Dilución de Acciones

-

Recomprando acciones. Favorable para el accionista

Gobernanza

Equipo Directivo

NombreCargoEdad
Ms. On Kei LeongExecutive Co-Chairman64
Mr. Tsun Ting FokExecutive Co-Chairman79
Ms. Chiu Fung HoExecutive Chairman60
Mr. Hong Kuen ShumExecutive Director70
Dr. Un Chan ChanExecutive Director70
Mr. Sean Czoon TanChief Financial Officer46
Joseph TamAdministrative Manager of Finance & Accounts Department-
Mr. Jonathan Charles PyneChief Legal Counsel-
Dr. Shu Fai SoAdvisor74
Ms. Shuk Chong KwokCompany Secretary-

Riesgo de Auditoría

5

Riesgo del Consejo

2

Riesgo de Compensación

8

Riesgo de Derechos del Accionista

7

Parte 2 · El precio y el momento de entrar

Esta parte no sirve para saber si la empresa vale: sirve para elegir cuándo comprarla, una vez que los fundamentales te han convencido. Dentro: análisis técnico, potencial, caídas históricas, exposición gamma.

Latest News

Recent headlines for SJMHF, sourced from Markets Gazette.

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